Continuation Breakout Monday 12PM 9/29/2025

Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-09-29, 09:30–12:00 ET (intraday 30-minute aggregates). Note: the file you sent only includes today’s partial session, not a full 30-day history. I emphasize today’s tape and short-term momentum structure; use your daily charts to validate multi-day levels/ATR where noted.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

• Semiconductors/Data Center: Mixed. VRT and ONTO grind higher on steady volume (constructive), WDC gapped and faded (supply above), MRAM faded from the open (profit-taking). Net: selective long setups in higher-quality (VRT/ONTO) while avoiding gap-fade profiles (WDC/MRAM).
• Defense/Robotics: RCAT shows heavy participation and steady higher-lows into midday; one of the cleaner momentum tapes today.
• Industrial/Infrastructure: TLN trends strongly all morning with higher highs; PWR lagged/slipped—rotation favors TLN today.
• Software/High Beta: APP had a strong early push then retrace; APPX spiked to 157 then pulled back hard—momentum is there but prone to exhaustions. Treat as day-trade/quick swing only until a higher low forms.
• Biotech/Health/Med services: VOR trended cleanly to new session highs; ENTO and AIRS stair-stepped higher with consistent demand—this group has a bid.
• Small-cap China/ADR and Microcaps: Mixed. NAAS eased off highs; TOP firm but low liquidity; BAOS had a midday pop. These remain headline/illiquidity sensitive.
• Consumer small-cap: VEEE steady climb, eyeing 3.00 magnet—a common breakout trigger.

Notable intraday patterns:

• Strong trend and closing near session highs: TLN, RCAT, VOR, AIRS, GRAL, VEEE.
• Gap-and-fade or supply overhead: WDC, MRAM, APPX, APP (post-spike retrace).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):

• Most likely to continue up: RCAT, TLN, VOR, GRAL, AIRS, VEEE.
• Strongest bullish signals today: TLN (trend + higher highs), RCAT (accumulation + closing strength), VOR (impulsive higher-highs), AIRS (orderly stair-step).

Individual Stock Analysis (targets and stops reflect short-term swing logic; ATR components are approximations given limited history—confirm on your daily chart)

1) RCAT

• Context: Trend day up, holding near HOD with robust early volume—continuation candidate.
• Key support (daily/intraday zones):

– 10.78–10.81 (intraday shelf)
– 10.60 (minor base)
– 10.54 (session low)

• Key resistance:

– 11.05–11.10 (intraday supply/HOD area)
– 11.20 (round)
– 11.50 (next extension)

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect tight consolidation between 10.80–11.05, then a push through 11.10. If volume expands, 11.20/11.50 can tag within 1–2 sessions.
• Price targets (1–3 day swing):

– PT1: 11.20 (near resistance)
– PT2: 11.50
– PT3: 12.00 (approx 0.9–1.2 ATR extension)

• Entry ideas: 10.80–10.90 pullback buy; or 11.06–11.10 break with volume.
• Stop-loss: 10.52–10.58 (below session low/shelf); tighter traders can trail under 10.75 after breakout holds.
• 

2) TLN

• Context: Persistent uptrend from 408 to 422+, strong structure.
• Key support:

– 418.30 (intraday higher low)
– 415.60 (30-min base)
– 412.10 (morning pivot)

• Key resistance:

– 422.80 (session high)
– 425.00
– 430.00

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect a flag between 418–423; break >422.8 opens 425 first, then momentum attempt at 430 if broad tape cooperates.
• Price targets:

– PT1: 425
– PT2: 428
– PT3: 430–432 (approx 0.8–1.2% daily move typical for this tape; verify ATR)

• Entry ideas: 418.5–419.5 pullback into rising support; or 423 breakout retest.
• Stop-loss: 415.3–415.8 (beneath base); conservative swing stop 412.
• 

3) VOR

• Context: Strong trend with multiple higher highs; momentum biotech profile.
• Key support:

– 38.00 (intraday bid zone)
– 37.25–37.30 (early base)
– 37.02 (AM pivot/low of consolidation)

• Key resistance:

– 38.99 (HOD)
– 39.50
– 40.00 (psych)

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Likely bull flag above 37.8–38.2, then probe 39–40. Secondary push needs volume expansion.
• Price targets:

– PT1: 39.20–39.50
– PT2: 40.00
– PT3: 41.00 (approx 2.5–3.5 ATR dollars; confirm)

• Entry ideas: 38.05–38.25 pullback; or 39.00 break with strong tape.
• Stop-loss: 37.15–37.30 (below base); looser swing stop 36.80.
• 

4) GRAL

• Context: Large morning expansion, then orderly consolidation near highs—continuation potential if volume returns.
• Key support:

– 56.00
– 55.70–55.75
– 55.00 (round, prior demand zone)

• Key resistance:

– 56.87
– 57.43 (session HOD)
– 58.50 (extension zone)

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Watch a tight range 55.8–56.9; breakout with volume targets 57.4 then 58+.
• Price targets:

– PT1: 57.00
– PT2: 57.50–57.80
– PT3: 58.50–59.00 (rough 2–3 pts ATR idea)

• Entry ideas: 56.00–56.10 pullback buy; or 56.90–57.00 breakout through range.
• Stop-loss: 55.45–55.60 (beneath support); more conservative: under 55.00.
• 

5) AIRS

• Context: Clean stair-step higher with rising lows; steady participation.
• Key support:

– 7.68–7.70 (recent higher low)
– 7.61
– 7.56

• Key resistance:

– 7.78–7.79 (HOD)
– 8.00
– 8.20

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Expect a tight flag 7.62–7.80; push >7.80 sets a run to 8.00, then 8.20 if momentum carries.
• Price targets:

– PT1: 7.95–8.00
– PT2: 8.15–8.20
– PT3: 8.40 (approx 0.4–0.6 ATR)

• Entry ideas: 7.65–7.72 buy-the-dip; or 7.80 breakout.
• Stop-loss: 7.54–7.58 (below structure); trail under rising 30-min lows after break.
• 

6) VEEE

• Context: Persistent bid and higher highs; 3.00 magnet overhead.
• Key support:

– 2.88–2.90
– 2.86
– 2.80

• Key resistance:

– 2.95
– 3.00 (psych/key breakout)
– 3.10

• 30-min path (2–3 days): Likely test of 2.95–3.00; if absorbed and reclaimed, momentum squeeze toward low 3s.
• Price targets:

– PT1: 2.98–3.00
– PT2: 3.10
– PT3: 3.25–3.30 (approx 0.20–0.35 ATR)

• Entry ideas: 2.88–2.92 pullback near VWAP/shelf; or 3.01–3.03 breakout entry with volume.
• Stop-loss: 2.82–2.85 (below base); give microcaps extra room if thin.
• 

Honorable mentions (bullish but higher risk/less clean today):

• ENTO: Trend higher; watch 5.00 as pivot; targets 5.18/5.30; stop under 4.98.
• SNAL: Sub-$1 breakout to 1.09; watch 1.00 hold; targets 1.12/1.20; stop 0.98.
• VRT/ONTO: Slow-grind longs; buy dips into rising support; modest targets.

Names to avoid for long swing until they repair:

• WDC, MRAM: gap/fade or persistent intraday selling.
• APP/APPX: strong volatility with sharp retraces—better for tactical trades around levels than 2–3 day holds unless a higher low forms.

Risk notes:

• ATR-based targets above are approximations; confirm with your 20-day ATR on the daily before position sizing.
• Liquidity varies widely (e.g., small caps/microcaps like VEEE/SNAL/BAOS/TOP). Use hard stops and right-size positions.