Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-12-22 09:30–12:00; plus one late print 2025-12-19 15:30 for ANL)
Note: You provided intraday 30-min bars for the morning session of 2025-12-22 (EST), not a full 30-day history. The commentary below emphasizes this recent session and infers short-term momentum and supply/demand zones from the 30‑min tape and obvious round-number/daily levels.
- Industrials led on steady accumulation:
- Breakout/leadership: RBC (bearings) ripped through 457.4 to 460.6; WTS (flow control) stair-stepped higher to 284.8; GWW (distribution) grinded to new session highs near 1034.5; DOV bid to 199.2. MEC, HCI also trended.
- Pattern: higher highs/lows with dip buying near prior 30-min highs, constructive for 1–3 day continuation.
- Tech/semi and networking showed selective strength:
- PI (RFID) pushed 172 → 182+ with expanding range and strong 11:30 bar; FFIV trended 260 → 261.7. MDB climbed back above 438; HUBS range-bound; ADBE flat.
- Pattern: momentum in hardware/infrastructure; software mixed.
- Financials broadly constructive:
- APO, CB, AJG, SPGI, MKL, BLK all green and tight. SPGI pushed 522+. Banks (PNC, FCNCA) steady.
- Pattern: slow grind, low volatility, supports buy-the-dip tactics rather than chases.
- Healthcare split:
- Managed care lagged/soft: HUM, UNH, ELV, CI, MOH faded mid-morning.
- Biotech/specialty pharma saw risk-on bursts: QURE advanced to 25.06 test; RYTM firm; ALEC bid; PRAX surged late-morning.
- Materials/Chemicals stable-up: ECL and APD climbed; AMGN/REGN steady; BCPC edged up.
- Small-cap/high-beta pockets:
- ARRY surged with volume to 10.41; CADL advanced to 5.93; SIDU extremely volatile with outsized volume (trader beware); TOI constructive base.
- REIT/logistics: COLD chopped lower/high-volume churn; not a leader.
- Media: NXST range-bound.
Noticeable trends/patterns:
– Morning “creeper trend” in quality Industrials (RBC, WTS, GWW) and selective Tech (PI, FFIV).
– Biotech pockets of momentum (QURE, PRAX), while Managed Care (UNH, HUM, ELV) underperformed.
– Liquidity thinning into the holiday week favors breakouts with follow-through but also quick profit-taking near round numbers.
Ticker Performance Prediction (likely upside next 2–3 days)
– Highest-conviction longs: ARRY, PI, RBC, WTS
– Additional bullish setups: LHX, QURE, FFIV, MSCI
– On watch but more volatile/speculative: CADL, PRAX, SIDU (size smaller if trading)
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plan; levels from intraday structure and obvious round numbers)
1) ARRY
– Thesis: Strong morning expansion with volume, held 10 handle; likely bull flag/continuation above 10.40.
– Support: 10.00 (psych/flag base), 9.90 (pullback shelf), 9.68 (session low)
– Resistance: 10.41 (HOD supply), 10.50 (psych), 10.75 (extension)
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect tight flag 10.00–10.35, then breakout toward 10.75–11.10 if 10 holds.
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 10.00–10.08
– Momentum add on 10.42–10.45 break/hold
– Stops: 9.82 (below shelf) or 9.65 (below session low, wider)
– Targets (1–3 days): 10.50 / 10.75 / 11.10 (uses ~0.6–0.8 ATR-equivalent based on today’s range)
–
2) PI
– Thesis: Trend day with higher highs; buyers defended every dip. Above 179.5, room to 186–189.
– Support: 179.5 (pullback shelf), 177.9 (prior pivot), 175.6–176.0 (demand zone)
– Resistance: 182.0–182.1 (HOD), 183.5, 186.0
– 30‑min outlook: Consolidate 179.5–182; breakout through 182 can carry toward 186. Failure to hold 177.9 likely pauses the move.
– Entries:
– Dip buy 179.8–180.5
– Breakout >182.10 with volume
– Stops: 177.4 (beneath pivot) or conservative 175.4
– Targets: 183.5 / 186.0 / 189.0
–
3) RBC
– Thesis: Clean breakout through 457.4 with power to 460.6; trend intact unless it loses 454s.
– Support: 457.4 (breakout retest), 454.6–454.8 (intraday demand), 452.3 (open/early base)
– Resistance: 460.6 (HOD), 462.5, 465.0
– 30‑min outlook: Prefer retest-and-go. Hold above 457.5 leads to 462–465 over 1–2 days.
– Entries:
– Retest 457.5–458.5
– Break >461.0 for momentum continuation
– Stops: 454.5 (beneath demand); swing stop 452.0
– Targets: 462.5 / 465.0 / 468.0
–
4) WTS
– Thesis: Persistent stair-step, closing near highs—classic continuation candidate.
– Support: 283.0, 281.3, 279.8
– Resistance: 284.8 (HOD), 286.0, 288.5
– 30‑min outlook: Flag above 282.5, then push through 285 toward 286–288.5.
– Entries:
– Pullback 282.0–283.0
– Break >285.0
– Stops: 279.5
– Targets: 286.0 / 288.5 / 291.0
–
5) LHX
– Thesis: Defense bid; closed at session highs with orderly trend. Room toward 295–297.5 if 292s hold.
– Support: 292.1, 291.6–291.7, 289.1
– Resistance: 293.3 (HOD), 295.0, 297.5
– 30‑min outlook: Range 292–293.3 resolves up; follow-through likely mild but steady in holiday tape.
– Entries:
– Buy 292.2–292.6 on dip
– Break >293.3
– Stops: 291.4 (tight) or 289.9 (wider swing)
– Targets: 294.5 / 296.5 / 298.5
–
6) QURE
– Thesis: Biotech momentum with higher highs; a clear 25.06 pivot unlocks 26s.
– Support: 24.50, 24.23–24.30, 24.10
– Resistance: 25.06 (HOD), 25.50, 26.20
– 30‑min outlook: Consolidate 24.5–25.0, then attempt 25.1 breakout; strong volume needed to extend.
– Entries:
– Dip 24.55–24.70
– Break >25.10
– Stops: 24.20 (beneath shelf) or 23.95 (wider)
– Targets: 25.50 / 26.00 / 26.80
–
7) FFIV
– Thesis: Slow-grind trend; actionable on dips with tight stops in a low-ATR tape.
– Support: 261.0, 260.1, 259.4 (below that, 258.8 day low)
– Resistance: 261.8 (HOD), 262.5, 264.0
– 30‑min outlook: Expect 260.5–262.0 chop; a push over 261.8–262 can tag 263–264 quickly.
– Entries:
– 260.5–261.0 pullback
– 261.9–262.0 breakout
– Stops: 259.3
– Targets: 262.5 / 263.8 / 265.5
–
8) MSCI
– Thesis: Quality grind higher; buyers defended 575s; through 580.2 opens 582.5–585.
– Support: 578.4, 575.6, 574.1
– Resistance: 580.2 (HOD), 582.5, 585.0
– 30‑min outlook: Consolidate 576–580; look for breakout into 582–585 within 1–3 days if the market tone stays risk-on.
– Entries:
– Pullback 576–578
– Break >580.3
– Stops: 573.9
– Targets: 582.5 / 585.0 / 588.5
–
Additional notes and risk management
– Managed care laggards (HUM, UNH, ELV, CI) are avoids/hedges on bounces unless they reclaim intraday lower highs.
– Speculative: SIDU has extreme liquidity/volatility—only for day trades with hard stops.
– COLD shows distribution; avoid longs until it reclaims 12.40–12.45 with volume.
– General tactic this week: favor pullback entries to prior 30-min breakouts with tight stops; chase only on clean, high-volume breaks of HOD pivots.
If you can share full 30-day daily and 10-day 30-minute data, I’ll refine ATR-based targets and daily supply/demand zones with greater precision.