Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-14 14:00 to 2025-11-17 12:00. Note: The dataset is intraday-heavy for 2025-11-17 (multiple 30-minute bars per ticker) with limited earlier prints; there is not a full 30-day history provided. The commentary emphasizes the most recent sessions and, especially, the last ~10 intraday bars where available.
- Sector tone from the basket you provided:
- Healthcare/Biotech led on price and breadth with steady upside progress and constructive intraday bases: managed care (ELV, CI), large-cap pharma/biotech (AMGN, ALNY, AXSM), specialty pharma (OGN), and high-beta biotech momentum (TERN) all posted higher highs/higher lows on 30-minute bars with increasing or sustained participation. Examples: ELV 332.9→336.5, CI 272.5→274.3, ALNY 455→461, AMGN 340.5→343.2, OGN 7.53→7.78, TERN 23.5→25.0.
- Tech/IT services: steady bid and constructive trend continuation: EPAM 178.5→182.3, EXPD 140.6→142.2. Storage/semis (WDC) showed morning weakness then stabilization (166.8 high sold to 160.7 low, then back to 163.7), leaving it neutral near-term.
- Consumer: Mixed. CVNA had strong momentum continuation (324.6 low to 333.8 high), while BURL faded early strength and chopped sideways (282.8→281.4), suggesting selective risk-on in higher-beta names.
- Energy/Materials: Softer tape. SND faded intraday (2.83→2.68 drift), HYMC trended down off the open (10.99→10.18).
- Small/micro caps and recent movers: IVVD coiled tightly around 2.94–3.01 with heavy volume, a setup for a continuation squeeze if 3.01 clears. DRUG ranged 57–61 with repeated rejections above 60.4; needs a clean break. COHN spiked then gave back gains (low liquidity). WAVE/SFHG were illiquid and not actionable for short-term swing.
- Noticeable patterns:
- Momentum continuation and grind-ups dominate in healthcare/biotech and certain services (ELV, CI, ALNY, AMGN, OGN, TERN, EPAM, EXPD).
- High-beta discretionary (CVNA) maintained trend, often a risk-on tell.
- Weakness in materials/metals and some energy-related (HYMC, SND).
- Multiple names closed their available session data near highs, a bullish near-term tell (ELV, CI, ALNY, TERN, EPAM, EXPD).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up: TERN, ALNY, ELV, CI, CVNA, EXPD, EPAM, OGN.
Strongest bullish signals: TERN (high-volume trend day, HH/HLs), ALNY (trend reclaim and close at HOD region), ELV and CI (steady insurer grind with higher closes), CVNA (range expansion and closing near highs), EXPD and EPAM (clean channel breaks), OGN (steady stair-step with tight pullbacks).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Price targets use intraday range as a proxy for short-term ATR, given the limited lookback. Entries/stops are defined around clearly observed intraday supply/demand.
1) TERN
– Thesis: High-volume trend continuation; multiple higher highs into 25; strong momentum structure.
– Support: 24.31, 23.95, 23.47.
– Resistance: 25.04–25.10, 25.17, 25.50 (psychological extension).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect consolidation 24.7–25.1; a push through 25.10/25.17 opens a momentum extension. Failure to hold 24.30 invites a backfill toward 23.95 before any second leg.
– 1–3 day targets: 25.50, 25.90; stretch 26.30 if volume persists.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 24.40–24.60 against 24.31.
– Breakout buy >25.10 with rising volume, add on 25.17 reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 24.18 (tighter) or 23.88 (below demand).
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2) ALNY
– Thesis: Reclaimed trend; closed at session highs; constructive large-cap biotech tone.
– Support: 458.65, 455.00, 454.44.
– Resistance: 460.98, 465.00, 470.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Hold above 458–459 and clear 461 to initiate a drift to mid-460s; strong tape could magnet 470. A loss of 458 likely backtests 455 before stabilizing.
– 1–3 day targets: 465, 469–471.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 458.8–459.4 on dips.
– Break >461 with retest.
– Stop-loss: 457.7 (tight) or 454.2 (swing).
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3) ELV
– Thesis: Insurer grind-up with higher highs and strong close suggests continuation.
– Support: 334.54, 333.58, 332.88.
– Resistance: 336.47, 337.50, 338.50.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a tight drift up while holding 334.5–335. A decisive push >336.5 sets 337.5–338.5. Loss of 333.6 weakens momentum.
– 1–3 day targets: 337.5, 338.8–339.5.
– Entry ideas: 335.1–335.6 on pullbacks; add through 336.5.
– Stop-loss: 333.8.
–
4) CI
– Thesis: Similar insurer strength; HOD close zone with room to extend using intraday ATR.
– Support: 273.12, 272.49, 271.38.
– Resistance: 274.61, 275.50, 276.50.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Hold above 273.1 for an attempt at 274.6; a clean break >274.6 aims for mid-275s. Under 272.5 risks a deeper retrace to 271s.
– 1–3 day targets: 275.5, 276.8.
– Entry ideas:
– 273.2–273.6 pullback.
– Add on break/retest of 274.6.
– Stop-loss: 272.1 (tight) or 271.2 (swing).
–
5) CVNA
– Thesis: High-beta momentum with strong intraday recovery and close near highs.
– Support: 330.77, 327.13, 324.63.
– Resistance: 333.80, 335.00, 340.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Consolidation 331–334 likely; a break over 333.8 should test 335 then 339–340. Failure to hold 330.8 opens a quick air pocket to 327.
– 1–3 day targets: 335.5, 339–340.
– Entry ideas:
– 331.0–331.8 pullback buy.
– Breakout >333.8 with volume confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 326.9 (beneath support cluster).
–
6) EXPD
– Thesis: Steady trend higher with repeated higher lows; logistics benefitting from rotation into quality.
– Support: 142.05, 141.45, 140.56.
– Resistance: 142.51, 143.00, 144.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): While holding 141.4–142.1, look for 142.5 break → 143s. Under 141.4 drifts toward 140.6 support.
– 1–3 day targets: 143.2–143.8, 144.5.
– Entry ideas: 141.7–142.1 dips; add above 142.5.
– Stop-loss: 141.0 (tight) or 140.2 (swing).
–
7) EPAM
– Thesis: IT services with constructive staircase intraday and a local breakout to 182.3.
– Support: 181.34, 179.96, 178.54.
– Resistance: 182.30, 183.00, 185.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Base above 181.3; break/reclaim 182.3 targets low-183s; sustained momentum can reach 185. Below 180 weakens the setup toward 178.5.
– 1–3 day targets: 183.2–184.0, 185.2.
– Entry ideas:
– 181.4–181.8 on dips.
– Reclaim >182.3 after a shallow pullback.
– Stop-loss: 179.7.
–
8) OGN
– Thesis: Consistent intraday stair-step and close near highs; cheaper healthcare name with room to squeeze.
– Support: 7.74, 7.59, 7.48.
– Resistance: 7.785, 7.80, 8.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a tight consolidation 7.70–7.80; a push through 7.79–7.80 should target 7.90–8.00. A loss of 7.59 likely retests 7.48.
– 1–3 day targets: 7.90, 8.05–8.10.
– Entry ideas:
– 7.60–7.66 pullback.
– Break >7.80 with rising volume.
– Stop-loss: 7.48.
–
Additional Notes
– Names to avoid for long momentum until structure improves: HYMC (persistent lower highs, fading volume), SND (intraday downtrend), DRUG (rangey; needs >60.40 with authority), COHN/WAVE/SFHG (illiquid; poor swing candidates).
– Risk management: Use smaller size on high-beta names (CVNA, TERN). If the broader market turns risk-off, prioritize the insurers (ELV, CI) and quality trenders (EXPD, EPAM).
This plan is based on the provided intraday data acting as a near-term momentum proxy. If you want, share daily candles for the past 30 sessions to refine daily ATRs and strengthen the multi-day support/resistance map.