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Swing Idea

Continuation Breakout Monday 12PM 10/13/2025

October 13, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range (EST) analyzed: 2025-10-13, 09:30–12:00. Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for this window were provided. Where “past 30 days / recent 10 days” context is mentioned, it’s inferred from today’s momentum behavior and typical higher-timeframe structure; please confirm with your daily data.

  • Healthcare/Biotech leading: Large/mega-cap biotech and healthcare distributors showed steady accumulation and higher highs/lows intraday: ALNY, INSM, ARGX, MCK, COR. Life science tools also bid: AVTR, WAT. This cluster strength suggests defensive growth/HC exposure remains favored.
  • Defense bid: AVAV extended a strong run with tight consolidations above $400 after a wide opening range—classic momentum continuation behavior.
  • Materials/Industrials firm: MLM stair-stepped higher; CNR (rail/transport proxy) pushed early then faded to VWAP area; still constructive. METC (coal) printed strong opening impulse then orderly pullbacks—buyers present on dips.
  • Spec/micro-cap momentum: IMAB, TBH, SDST, FLUX, LOBO showed strong range expansion and volume; IMAB in particular held gains above prior intraday highs. TBH is extended and very high risk, but momentum could persist.
  • Notable intraday themes:
    • “Up on volume, consolidate above VWAP, then re-bid”: ALNY, INSM, AVAV, AVTR, ARGX, MCK.
    • “Opening drive, digestion, higher-low hold”: METC, COR, MLM.
    • “Range expansion in small caps”: IMAB, TBH (watch for halts/liquidity air pockets).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely to advance:

  • INSM, ALNY, AVAV, AVTR, MCK, COR, METC, IMAB

Strongest bullish signals today:

  • AVAV: Held above $400 after wide opening range; repeated higher lows; buyers supported every dip.
  • INSM: Persistent grind to new session highs, tight pullbacks—momentum accumulation.
  • ALNY: Trend day characteristics with shallow dips; sitting just below/at session highs.
  • MCK/COR: Healthcare distributors in steady uptrends; shallow retraces, late-session re-bids.
  • AVTR: Low-priced breakout with sustained volume and higher highs.
  • IMAB: Clear range expansion and holding above morning highs—continuation setup.
  • METC: Commodity leader-type behavior—strong first leg, controlled pullback.

Individual Stock Analysis

Method notes: Support/resistance derived from today’s intraday pivots and obvious round-number supply/demand; higher-timeframe validation recommended. Near-term targets use today’s range/volatility as an ATR proxy.

INSM

  • Key supports: 165.30–165.75; 164.96; 163.10–162.90 (162.08 session low below)
  • Key resistances: 166.21 (HOD); 168.00; 170.00 (psych)
  • 2–3 day outlook (30-min read): Look for an early hold above 165.5–165.8 to fuel a push through 166.2 → 167.5–168. If first hour wicks under 165.3, expect a tag of 164.9 and a higher-low attempt.
  • Price targets (1–3 day): 167.5; 168.9; stretch 170.5
  • Entry ideas: 165.5–165.8 pullback tag; add on 166.3 reclaim
  • Stop-loss: 164.70 (tight) or 163.80 (looser, below structure)
  • finviz dynamic chart for INSM

ALNY

  • Key supports: 468.00–468.70; 466.20–467.00; 459.50–459.90
  • Key resistances: 470.76 (HOD); 472.50; 475.00 (psych)
  • 2–3 day outlook: Base above 467–468 and break 470.8 opens 472.5 → 475. Failure to hold 466.2 likely means a deeper test near 463–465 before any bounce.
  • Price targets: 472.5; 475.0; stretch 478.0
  • Entry ideas: 467.2–468.2 on dip and hold; momentum add over 470.9
  • Stop-loss: 465.80 (tight) or 463.50 (below support zone)
  • finviz dynamic chart for ALNY

AVAV

  • Key supports: 401.4–402.1; 400.0–400.4; 396.0–397.0
  • Key resistances: 408.83 (HOD); 410.00; 414–418 (range extension)
  • 2–3 day outlook: Hold 400–402 and a 30–60 min flag under 409 sets up a 410 break → 414–416. Loss of 400 likely invites 396–397 retest, then decision.
  • Price targets: 409.5; 414.0; stretch 418.0
  • Entry ideas: 401–403 pullback with higher-low; breakout add >409
  • Stop-loss: 398.50 (tight) or 396.00 (structure)
  • finviz dynamic chart for AVAV

AVTR

  • Key supports: 13.79–13.82; 13.69–13.70; 13.52
  • Key resistances: 13.92 (HOD area); 14.00; 14.15–14.25
  • 2–3 day outlook: Expect a coil between 13.75–13.92; break and hold above 13.92 → 14.00–14.15. Dips to 13.69 that get bought are constructive.
  • Price targets: 13.95; 14.10; stretch 14.25
  • Entry ideas: 13.75–13.82 pullback; momentum add above 13.92 with volume
  • Stop-loss: 13.62 (tight) or 13.48 (prev pivot)
  • finviz dynamic chart for AVTR

MCK

  • Key supports: 772.2; 770.8; 769.5
  • Key resistances: 775.5 (HOD); 780.0; 785.0
  • 2–3 day outlook: A hold above 771–773 suggests a grind through 775.5 toward 780. Lose 769.5 and it likely backfills 766–768 before buyers reassert.
  • Price targets: 778; 780; stretch 785
  • Entry ideas: 771.8–773.0 on controlled dip; add >775.6
  • Stop-loss: 768.8 (tight) or 766.5 (looser)
  • finviz dynamic chart for MCK

COR

  • Key supports: 318.6–318.96; 317.7; 316.85
  • Key resistances: 319.66 (HOD); 320.00; 321.50
  • 2–3 day outlook: If first pullback holds 318.6–319.0, look for a 320 reclaim and slow walk to 321–321.5. Lose 317.7 and it may revisit 316.9/VWAP zone before basing.
  • Price targets: 320.2; 321.0; stretch 321.5–322.0
  • Entry ideas: 318.7–319.0 with tight risk; add on 320 break and hold
  • Stop-loss: 317.2
  • finviz dynamic chart for COR

METC

  • Key supports: 52.07–52.12; 51.91; 51.45
  • Key resistances: 52.95–53.08; 53.25 (HOD); 54.00
  • 2–3 day outlook: Expect retest of 52.1–52.3; if bought, push into 52.95–53.25. A clean break/hold >53.25 opens 54. Lose 51.9 and momentum cools toward 51.5.
  • Price targets: 52.95; 53.60; stretch 54.00
  • Entry ideas: 52.10–52.30 buy-the-dip; breakout add >53.10
  • Stop-loss: 51.40
  • finviz dynamic chart for METC

IMAB (higher risk, small-cap momentum)

  • Key supports: 6.11–6.14; 5.96; 5.84
  • Key resistances: 6.15 (HOD); 6.25; 6.50
  • 2–3 day outlook: As long as it holds above 6.00–6.10, look for 6.15 break → 6.25. Momentum can overshoot quickly; be mindful of liquidity.
  • Price targets: 6.22; 6.35; stretch 6.50
  • Entry ideas: 6.02–6.10 swing starter; add through 6.16–6.18
  • Stop-loss: 5.85
  • finviz dynamic chart for IMAB

High-volatility bonus watch (speculative): TBH

  • Intraday range expansion from 0.90 → 1.34 with strong volume; potential for a day-two push but risk of sharp retrace is high. Supports: 1.19–1.20; 1.00–1.05. Resistances: 1.35; 1.50. Consider very small sizing and hard stops if traded.

Final notes

  • Given only the morning intraday snapshot, validate these zones against your daily charts for the last 30 days—especially for the “recent 10 days” emphasis and broader ATR context.
  • For entries, let the first 30–60 minutes of the next session confirm relative strength (hold above VWAP, higher lows) before adding risk.
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