Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-15 09:00–11:00 on 30-minute bars, based on the data provided. Note: The dataset is intraday (today’s early session), so “30-day” and “recent 10-day” context is inferred from current momentum/behavior and common round-number supply/demand zones rather than full 30-day candles.
- Sector/industry read-through from this basket:
- Consumer Discretionary (ANF, VSCO, BKNG): Leading. All three opened strong, held VWAP and printed higher highs or tight flags. BKNG trended cleanly; ANF showed a high-volume push and flag under 118; VSCO based under 56. This points to risk-on in retail/travel.
- Technology – Semiconductors (TXN): Constructive. Gap-and-go, then a controlled pullback and higher close into the morning highs—healthy momentum continuation backdrop for large-cap semis.
- Healthcare (JNJ, PRAX, LUNG): Mixed/constructive. JNJ stair-stepped higher with declining, orderly volume (institutional accumulation tone). PRAX spiked then faded into lower highs—needs more digestion. LUNG based tightly 2.53–2.60—coiled for a break.
- Small-cap/micro-cap (KDK): Spike-and-fade, then stabilization; liquidity/retention not as convincing as the leaders.
- Notable intraday trends/patterns:
- Clean uptrends: BKNG, TXN, JNJ.
- Bull flags just under resistance: ANF (117.9–118.1), VSCO (55.9–56.1).
- Coils/bases: LUNG (2.55–2.60).
- Exhaustion/fade risk: PRAX lower high after 282.99; KDK cooled after an opening pop.
Tickers most likely to go up in the next 2–3 days
– Highest-conviction upside continuation: ANF, BKNG, TXN.
– Also constructive: JNJ, VSCO.
– Speculative trigger-based: LUNG (needs 2.60+).
– Caution/needs reset: PRAX (faded); KDK (microcap chop).
Stocks showing the strongest bullish signals
– ANF: High volume breakout and tight flag under 118 with higher lows.
– BKNG: Persistent higher highs/higher lows, controlled pullbacks, strong tape.
– TXN: Gap, hold, and re-bid near highs; semis bid broadly.
– JNJ: Steady grind, new intraday highs into 11:00 with consistent demand.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
ANF (Abercrombie & Fitch)
– Bias: Bullish continuation if 118.10 breaks; buy-the-dip valid into 116s.
– Key supports (daily zones proxied from today’s structure):
– 116.10
– 115.30
– 114.40
– Key resistances:
– 118.10 (intraday high area)
– 119.00–119.50
– 120.00–121.00
– 30-min outlook (next 2–3 days): Expect a push through 118.10 into 118.8–119.5, brief backfill, then a second leg toward 120–121 if market stays risk-on. Failure to reclaim 118 likely means a drift into 116.5–116.0 to rebuild.
– 1–3 day price targets (using today’s intraday range as ATR proxy):
– T1: 118.8–119.3
– T2: 120.0–121.0
– T3: 122.5–123.5
– Entries:
– Pullback: 116.2–116.6 with strength returning above VWAP.
– Breakout: 118.15–118.30 on expansion volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 115.20 (beneath 115.30 support).
– Tighter: 115.90 (if buying breakout).
–
BKNG (Booking Holdings)
– Bias: Bullish trend continuation; dips favored while above 5390–5410.
– Key supports:
– 5410–5413
– 5394
– 5360–5365
– Key resistances:
– 5445
– 5460–5470
– 5500–5520
– 30-min outlook: Grind higher into 5445–5465, brief consolidation, then extend toward 5500–5520 if the tape remains firm. Loss of 5390 would delay the move and target a deeper backfill into 5360s.
– 1–3 day price targets (ATR-proxy sizing):
– T1: 5450–5465
– T2: 5500–5520
– T3: 5560–5580
– Entries:
– Pullback: 5415–5420 on hold/rebid.
– Breakout: 5446–5450 with volume expansion.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 5388 (beneath 5394).
– Tighter: 5405 (if buying a dip scalp).
–
TXN (Texas Instruments)
– Bias: Bullish while holding 177.2–177.9; look for 178.9 break.
– Key supports:
– 177.90–178.00
– 177.20
– 176.70
– Key resistances:
– 178.88
– 179.50–180.00
– 181.00
– 30-min outlook: Attempt through 178.9 toward 179.7–180.2, then a modest pullback before probing 181. A close back below 177.2 would weaken the setup.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 179.3–179.8
– T2: 180.8–181.2
– T3: 182.5–183.5
– Entries:
– Pullback: 177.9–178.2.
– Breakout: 178.95–179.05 on momentum.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 176.90 (beneath 177.2).
– Tighter: 177.45.
–
JNJ (Johnson & Johnson)
– Bias: Constructive grind higher; break/hold above 214.27 unlocks 215–216s.
– Key supports:
– 213.55–213.60
– 212.87
– 209.00–209.10
– Key resistances:
– 214.27
– 215.00
– 216.00–216.50
– 30-min outlook: Push through 214.27 to 215.0, shallow pullback, then drift into 215.8–216.5 if buyers persist. Lose 212.9 and momentum likely pauses into 211–212.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 214.9–215.2
– T2: 215.8–216.5
– T3: 217.5–218.2
– Entries:
– Pullback: 213.6–213.8.
– Breakout: 214.30–214.40 with volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 212.70.
– Tighter: 213.20.
–
VSCO (Victoria’s Secret)
– Bias: Bullish flag under 56; needs 56.1+ for momentum.
– Key supports:
– 55.22
– 54.90–55.00
– 54.17
– Key resistances:
– 55.95–56.08
– 56.50
– 57.00
– 30-min outlook: Breakout through 56.1 targets 56.5 then 57. A failed breakout likely backfills to 55.3–55.0 to rebuild.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 56.20–56.40
– T2: 56.90–57.10
– T3: 57.80–58.20
– Entries:
– Pullback: 55.3–55.5.
– Breakout: 56.10–56.20.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 54.95.
– Tighter: 55.20 (if breakout entry).
–
LUNG (Pulmonx) – speculative
– Bias: Coiling; trigger above 2.60 with volume.
– Key supports:
– 2.55
– 2.53–2.54
– 2.50
– Key resistances:
– 2.60
– 2.62–2.65
– 2.75
– 30-min outlook: Clean break/hold over 2.60 could carry to 2.65–2.70, then 2.75. Failures above 2.60 likely revisit 2.55.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 2.62–2.65
– T2: 2.72–2.75
– T3: 2.85–2.90
– Entries:
– Pullback: 2.55–2.56.
– Breakout: 2.60–2.61 on volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Swing: 2.49.
– Tighter: 2.53.
–
Notes on the others
– PRAX: Big early range (271–283) then lower highs into 11:00. Needs reclaim of 281–283 to regain momentum; otherwise risk of mean reversion into 274–271. Not in the high-conviction long basket until it resets.
– KDK: Opening spike to 8.75 faded; now stabilizing ~8.40–8.44. Would need 8.60–8.75 reclaim with volume to consider a momentum swing; otherwise avoid chop.
Risk management reminder
– Size positions so a stop at the nearest structural invalidation risks no more than 0.5–1.0R of your daily limit.
– For breakout entries, consider partial fills: one near support, one on confirmed break, then trail stops under higher lows.