Continuation Breakout Friday 4PM 9/26/2025

Date-time range analyzed (ET): 2025-09-26 from 09:30 to 16:00 (most names have 13:30–16:00 coverage)

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

• Semiconductors and Semi-Equipment: Mixed. Large-cap equipment (AMAT, KLAC, TER) chopped and faded late (KLAC slipped into the close; AMAT/TER were range-bound). By contrast, second-tier/foundry and specialty names showed risk-on: SKYT expanded range with heavy buy volume into the close; ACMR pushed steadily higher late. Takeaway: rotation toward smaller, higher-beta semi names while mega-cap equipment digests.
• Industrial Engineering/Construction: Mixed-to-firm but with late-day divergences. FIX spiked to 808 then cooled; PWR and MTZ mostly flat/slightly soft; AGX bid up through the afternoon and closed near highs; IESC had a midday pop but finished flat. Selective strength persists—contractor/utility service names (AGX) look more constructive than diversified peers (PWR/MTZ).
• Software/Cloud: Firm but not explosive. ADBE and HUBS advanced into the close; CRWD churned in a tight band; WDAY faded in the final hour. Momentum skew favors names that bid into the bell (HUBS).
• Healthcare/Biotech: Active with upside skew. KRYS stair-stepped higher all session and closed near HOD; XNCR ripped late on volume; ADVM/PRAX volatile but less orderly. Flow favors the more liquid mid-caps (KRYS, XNCR).
• Financials: JPM faded into the close—no clear bid in money-center banks.
• Rails/Transports: UNP firmed into the bell; NSC flat—neutral tone.
• Utilities/Energy-Adjacent: NRG edged up and closed near session highs—steady defensive bid.
• Precious Metals/Materials: RGLD held steady—no directional edge.
• Solar: SEDG bounced intraday but still heavy; needs confirmation.
• Media/Comm: WBD sold off persistently—weak tape.
• Micro/small-cap pockets (SBDS, ADSE, VEEE, CNSP, INDP): headline-driven bursts, but liquidity is inconsistent—higher risk.

Notable intraday patterns

• Accumulation into the close: SKYT, KRYS, XNCR, HUBS, THC, NRG
• Late-day fades after spikes: FIX, KLAC, WDAY, PRAX
• Persistent weakness: WBD, JPM

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely to advance: SKYT (Semis), KRYS (Biotech), XNCR (Biotech), THC (Hospitals), HUBS (Application software), NRG (Utilities)
Strongest bullish signals today: SKYT (range expansion + volume), KRYS (higher highs/higher lows all afternoon), XNCR (late-day volume surge + strong close), HUBS (power close), THC (bid into HOD), NRG (steady grind, near HOD close)

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels/entries are derived from today’s 30-minute structure and obvious round-number supply/demand. Targets ladder near resistance; use your execution plan and size appropriately.

1) SKYT (SkyWater Technology)

• Supports: 17.90, 17.64, 17.50
• Resistances: 18.25 (HOD), 18.50, 19.00
• 2–3 day price action (30-min read): Base case continuation. Holding above 17.90 favors a retest of 18.25 quickly; a clean push/hold over 18.25 opens 18.50 Day 1 and 18.90–19.00 by Day 2 if momentum persists. Failure below 17.64 risks a flush to 17.50.
• Entries: 17.95–18.05 pullback buy; or momentum add on 18.28–18.32 with volume.
• Stops: Tight swing stop 17.48 (below session low). Wider stop 17.30 if giving it more room.
• Targets (1–3 day): 18.25, 18.50, 18.90–19.00

2) KRYS (Krystal Biotech)

• Supports: 167.20, 165.70, 164.80
• Resistances: 168.19 (HOD), 170.00, 171.80
• 2–3 day price action: Strong staircase higher into the close suggests upside follow-through. Above 167.20, expect 168.20 test and potential through to 169.80–170.00 Day 1; if volume persists, 171.50–171.80 by Day 2. Lose 165.70 and the momentum cools toward 164.80.
• Entries: 166.70–167.30 on dip-and-hold; momentum add through 168.25 with expanding volume.
• Stops: 164.60 swing stop (beneath 164.80 demand). Conservative stop 165.40 if tighter risk needed.
• Targets (1–3 day): 168.20, 169.80–170.00, 171.50–171.80

3) XNCR (Xencor)

• Supports: 11.46, 11.35, 11.24
• Resistances: 11.72 (HOD vicinity), 11.80, 12.00
• 2–3 day price action: Late-day accumulation with a strong close favors a gap-and-go or early push. Hold 11.46 to press 11.70–11.72 Day 1; through 11.72 opens 11.85 and a magnet toward 12.00 by Day 2. Rejection and close back below 11.35 derisks back to 11.24.
• Entries: 11.48–11.55 pullback; breakout add over 11.73 with time-and-sales confirming.
• Stops: 11.23 (beneath session support). Tighter stop 11.32 if active.
• Targets (1–3 day): 11.72, 11.85, 12.00

4) THC (Tenet Healthcare)

• Supports: 201.55, 200.65, 200.00
• Resistances: 202.15 (HOD), 203.00, 204.50
• 2–3 day price action: Bid into the bell with higher highs intraday. Above 201.55 base, look for a 202.15 retest Day 1; sustained over 202.15 targets 203.00 and 203.80–204.50 by Day 2. Lose 200.65 and the setup cools toward 200.00 round-number demand.
• Entries: 201.60–201.90 on a controlled dip; or through 202.20 with energy.
• Stops: 199.90 (below round number and today’s demand zone). Tighter stop 200.45 if scalping.
• Targets (1–3 day): 202.15, 203.00, 203.80–204.50

5) HUBS (HubSpot)

• Supports: 515.60, 514.85, 513.30
• Resistances: 518.92 (HOD), 520.00, 524.00–525.00
• 2–3 day price action: Power close suggests attempt to clear 518.9–520 early next session. Hold above 515.6 and push 518.9–520 Day 1; break-and-hold opens 522.5 then 524–525 by Day 2. Lose 514.8 and a retest of 513.3 becomes likely.
• Entries: 515.8–516.3 on a VWAP-style pullback; momentum add 519.10–519.40 after a 30-min close above 519.
• Stops: 512.90 (beneath 513.3 swing support). Aggressive stop 514.20 for tighter risk.
• Targets (1–3 day): 518.9–520.0, 522.5, 524.0–525.0

6) NRG (NRG Energy)

• Supports: 168.40, 168.00, 167.56
• Resistances: 169.45 (HOD), 170.00, 171.00
• 2–3 day price action: Steady grind and near-HOD close point to continuation. Base above 168.40 should produce a 169.45 test early; hold over 169.45 opens 170.00 Day 1 and 171.00 by Day 2. Failure below 168.00 targets 167.56.
• Entries: 168.30–168.65 on dip-and-hold; breakout add through 169.50 with volume.
• Stops: 167.45 (below session low). Tighter stop 167.90 if needed.
• Targets (1–3 day): 169.45, 170.00, 171.00

Quick watchlist notes on other names

• Semi-equipment (AMAT, KLAC, TER): Neutral-to-soft intraday tone; wait for reclaim of today’s highs or a higher low on daily before leaning long.
• AGX (industrial contractor): Closed near highs; a move >266.90 could extend. Supports 265.75/265.19; resistance 266.90/268.00. Worth watch if sector bid continues.
• ADBE: Constructive grind; needs >360.70 for next leg.
• CRWD: Tight range; look for >482.80 expansion or <481 breakdown.
• SEDG: Bounce attempt but needs >39.60 and follow-through to flip trend.
• WBD, JPM: Avoid long bias until they reclaim intraday supply.

Important context and data limitation

• The dataset provided covers intraday bars from 2025-09-26 only (mostly 13:30–16:00 ET). I emphasized the most recent action and built levels from that 30-minute structure. For a full 30-day/10-day contextual analysis and ATR-calibrated targets, please provide the last 30 trading days of daily and 30-minute bars; I’ll refine support/resistance and probability-weighted targets accordingly.