Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range (EST) analyzed: 2025-12-19 13:00–16:00 EST across all tickers provided. The file did not include full 30-day data; commentary below emphasizes today’s 30–60 minute bars as a proxy for recent behavior, with notes where 10-day context would typically refine levels.
- Precious metals/miners weak into the close. Gold proxies and miners (GLD, GDXJ, SIL, WPM, NEM, PAAS, CDE, AG, HL, FNV, BVN) all faded in the 15:30–16:00 window with expanding volume. HL and GDXJ showed notable late-day supply (HL flushed from ~20.08 to 19.66; GDXJ lost the 118 handle). This suggests risk-off toward miners near-term unless GLD reclaims 400 decisively.
- Copper/metals mixed: SCCO bled from 145.4 to 144 on a volume pick-up; ATI bucked the group with a strong close at HOD (113.28) after a higher-low intraday structure—relative strength in specialty metals.
- Semis/hardware mixed: MU failed to hold 268 and closed near 266 after a high-volume sell program late; JBL drifted but held 226.6. No clear group thrust, but select names holding up.
- Networking/Comm equipment strong: CIEN expanded range 226→231.35 on heavy final-hour buying and closed near highs (230.34) — clear relative strength.
- Large-cap biotech/pharma selective strength: VRTX ripped to 460.4 and closed strong (456.31); REGN spiked but settled; AMGN couldn’t reclaim; KRYS held mid-range; ARWR pushed to 68.63 HOD and closed firm (68.16). Momentum favors VRTX and ARWR.
- Travel/leisure mixed: NCLH pushed 23.23 then faded slightly, still constructive above 23; RCL faded below 294 late; MAR/EXPE churned. Watch for follow-through only on strength.
- Defense/aero heavyweights soft: RTX, LHX, NOC, LMT, HII all sagged or churned with late-day supply—no momentum edge long.
- Retail discretionary mixed-to-firm: ANF closed near highs (121.06) with steady accumulation; CASY stair-stepped to near HOD; BURL/WSM range-bound. Relative strength in select specialty retail.
- Small/micro-cap momentum pockets: ALAB had a high-volume push to 166.93; LUNR surged late toward 15.05; both are higher-risk continuation candidates if early strength holds.
Notable trends/patterns by group
– Risk rotated away from precious metals miners into selective tech/biotech and specialty retail late in the session. Tickers referenced: CIEN, VRTX, ARWR, ANF, CASY (strong/accumulation) vs GDXJ, HL, WPM, NEM, SIL, FNV (distribution).
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to go up (with strongest momentum signals first):
– CIEN – late-day range expansion + volume, closing in upper range.
– ATI – closed at HOD with strong rebound; relative-strength outlier in metals.
– VRTX – impulse up with upper-third close and volume.
– ANF – steady accumulation into the bell; near prior swing highs.
– CASY – trend up day, tight close near highs.
– ARWR – strong push into HOD late; constructive momentum setup.
– ALAB – high-volume momentum; extended but can continue if early strength holds.
– NCLH (conditional) – needs to reclaim 23.16–23.23; continuation possible above that band.
Stocks showing the strongest bullish signals: CIEN, VRTX, ATI, ANF, CASY.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Without 30-day dailies in the file, “daily” levels below lean on obvious round numbers, today’s intraday pivots, and typical supply/demand clustering. Confirm against your daily chart. Targets reflect nearby resistance and typical 1–3 day range expansion.
1) CIEN
– Supports: 228.70; 226.70; 225.60
– Resistances: 231.35 (HOD); 233.00; 235.50
– 30-min view/prediction (2–3 days): Look for an early dip toward 228.7–229.5 that holds, then a push through 231.35. 30-min acceptance above 231.5 opens 233–235. Failure to hold 226.7 likely retraces toward 225.6 before buyers try again.
– 1–3 day targets: 231.3–231.5, 233.0–233.5, 235.0–235.5
– Entries: 228.9–229.5 pullback; or breakout/retest over 231.5
– Stop-loss: 227.2 (tight); 225.4 (swing)
2) VRTX
– Supports: 454.50; 452.10; 450.30
– Resistances: 458.00; 460.40; 463.00
– 30-min view/prediction: Expect buy-the-dip flows 454–455. A clean push/hold above 458 targets 460.4; hold above 460.5 on a 30-min close could extend to 463–465. Lose 452 -> test 450–450.5 where buyers likely defend.
– 1–3 day targets: 458.0, 460.4, 463.0–465.0
– Entries: 454.5–455.0; or 458 breakout/retest
– Stop-loss: 451.8 (tight); 449.9 (swing)
3) ATI
– Supports: 112.50; 112.00; 111.90
– Resistances: 113.39 (HOD); 114.00; 115.00
– 30-min view/prediction: Continuation favored if 112.5 holds early; grind toward 113.4–114. A strong 30-min close above 114 could bring 115 within 1–2 sessions. Failure back below 112 risks a retest of 111.9.
– 1–3 day targets: 113.4, 114.0, 115.0
– Entries: 112.5–112.7 pullback; or 113.4 breakout/retest
– Stop-loss: 111.7
4) ANF
– Supports: 120.50–120.70; 120.03; 119.60–119.90
– Resistances: 121.16 (HOD); 121.50; 122.50
– 30-min view/prediction: Strong close near highs suggests an ORB above 121.2. Prefer a dip to 120.6–120.8 that holds, then push to 121.5/122.5. Losing 119.9 would postpone upside.
– 1–3 day targets: 121.5, 122.5, 123.5
– Entries: 120.6–120.8 pullback; or 121.2 reclaim and retest
– Stop-loss: 119.9
5) CASY
– Supports: 557.20; 555.90; 554.86
– Resistances: 559.52 (HOD); 562.00; 565.00
– 30-min view/prediction: Trend-up continuation if it quickly reclaims 559.5 and holds a 30-min close; that can squeeze to 562–565. If early dip, watch 556–557.2 for buyers.
– 1–3 day targets: 559.5, 562.0, 565.0–567.0
– Entries: 556.0–557.2 pullback; or 560.0 breakout/retest
– Stop-loss: 554.4
6) ARWR
– Supports: 67.90; 67.40; 67.00
– Resistances: 68.63 (HOD); 69.00; 70.00
– 30-min view/prediction: Cup-handle style intraday. Over 68.63 with volume -> 69.5 then 70. Failing 67.9 likely consolidates 67–68 before another attempt.
– 1–3 day targets: 68.6–68.7, 69.5, 70.0–70.5
– Entries: 67.9–68.1 pullback; or 68.65 breakout/retest
– Stop-loss: 67.3
7) ALAB
– Supports: 164.20; 163.10; 162.60
– Resistances: 166.93 (HOD); 168.00; 170.00
– 30-min view/prediction: Extended but strong. Expect an early shakeout; buyers likely defend 163.5–164.2. If price bases above 167 on 30-min closes, 168.5–170 can print quickly. Failure below 162.6 risks deeper mean reversion.
– 1–3 day targets: 167.0, 168.5–169.0, 171.0–172.0
– Entries: 163.8–164.4 pullback; or 167 break and retest
– Stop-loss: 162.4
8) NCLH (conditional)
– Supports: 23.00; 22.85; 22.70
– Resistances: 23.16; 23.23; 23.50
– 30-min view/prediction: Needs to reclaim/hold 23.16–23.23 to confirm continuation. If it does, 23.35–23.50 is next. If rejected, expect chop back to 22.85–23.00 where a higher low is buyable.
– 1–3 day targets: 23.20, 23.35–23.50, 23.80
– Entries: 22.85–22.95 higher-low; or 23.25 reclaim with 30-min hold
– Stop-loss: 22.68
High-risk momentum add-on (only if you trade small caps actively)
9) LUNR
– Supports: 14.52; 14.33; 14.20
– Resistances: 14.92; 15.05 (HOD); 15.50
– 30-min view/prediction: Momentum scalp. If opens/holds above 14.90, quick test 15.05 then 15.40–15.50. Failure likely mean reverts to 14.50 area before another attempt.
– 1–3 day targets: 15.05, 15.40, 15.50–15.80
– Entries: 14.55–14.65 pullback; or 14.95 break with tight risk
– Stop-loss: 14.28
Key contextual notes
– Precious metals/miners overall look weak for 1–3 days unless GLD reclaims 400 and holds (30-min) and GDXJ recovers 118.5–119. Watch NEM/WPM/AG reaction on first bounce for tells.
– Defense complex lacks momentum; prefer avoiding longs there until a clear 30-min trend change (higher low + reclaim of VWAP/R1).
– For all setups above, I favor buying strength after shallow pullbacks with stops just beyond the next lower support. If broader market risk-off accelerates, tighten risk and favor only the clearest relative-strength names (CIEN, VRTX, ATI, ANF, CASY).
Risk management
– Size down on extended names (ALAB, LUNR).
– Use partials at T1/T2; move stops to breakeven after T1 prints.
– If two consecutive 30-min bars close below S1 on your long, cut and reassess.
If you want, share 30-day daily candles or ATR values for these tickers and I’ll refine levels to the exact daily supply/demand zones and ATR-based targets.