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Continuation Breakout Friday 4PM 10/17/2025

October 17, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-10-17 from 13:30 to 16:30. Note: The data provided covers only the last ~3 hours of the session on 10/17; no 30-day daily candles were included. The commentary below emphasizes the intraday tape and closing dynamics as the best proxy for short-term momentum.

  • Technology/Mega-cap: MSFT held firm after a mid-afternoon dip, reclaimed into the close, finishing just below the session high. BULZ (levered big-tech proxy) chopped but closed firm, reflecting risk appetite staying intact. Semis were mixed-to-flat: ATEYY and PI were range-bound; AEIS popped then faded.
  • Cybersecurity: PANW closed on the high on steady buy pressure; CYBR faded into the close after a higher-high attempt, signaling dispersion within the group.
  • Healthcare (Managed Care/Distributors/BioPharma): Managed care split—CI trended up and closed near HOD; UNH and HUM lost steam into the close. COR (Cencora—distributor) bid earlier then cooled but held gains. Biotech mixed: INSM slightly constructive; ASND faded late.
  • Industrials/Transports: FDX sold off late and held the dip—risk-off within transports.
  • Materials/Equipment: MTRN pushed to new session highs late; constructive. ECL (specialty chemicals) pushed and closed strong. A (Agilent) was stable-to-up but without a decisive close.
  • Consumer: LOW was steady and range-bound; IBP broke higher late and closed on highs. FWRG (restaurants) maintained a tight, upward-sloping range.

Notable tape themes into the close:
– Strength with closes at/near HOD: PANW, CI, ECL, IBP, MTRN, MSFT (near-HOD). These are the most actionable for 1–3 day continuation setups.
– Weak closes: FDX, HUM, UNH, ASND, CYBR (late fade).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely upside continuation candidates:
– Strongest bullish signals: PANW, CI, ECL, IBP, MTRN
– Additional momentum watch: MSFT

Rationale (common): late-day accumulation, closes at/near HOD, and constructive 30-min structure suggest potential day-2/3 follow-through if futures stay benign and opening liquidity respects support zones.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Without 30-day daily candles in the data, the support/resistance zones below lean on today’s intraday levels, nearby round-number supply/demand, and obvious levels visible from this session’s structure. Treat as provisional until validated against your full daily chart.

1) MSFT
– Supports: 514.00–513.60 (pullback zone), 513.27 (15:30 low), 512.80 (round-number buffer)
– Resistances: 515.48 (session HOD), 516.50, 518.00
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Prefer buy-the-dip toward 514–513.6; hold above 513.3 intraday keeps the bull case. Break/hold above 515.5 opens a momentum run to the upper 516s then 518s.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 516.0–516.5, PT2 518.0, stretch 520.0 if broad tech risk-on.
– Entry ideas: Scale 514.20–513.70 or on a 515.50 breakout with strong breadth.
– Stop-loss: 512.90 (tight), or 512.20 (wider swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  MSFT

2) PANW
– Supports: 208.10–207.95 (closing base), 207.80 (session pivot/low), 207.30
– Resistances: 208.98 (intraday high zone), 209.50, 210.00
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Strong close-on-high favors early continuation. Above 209 opens 209.5 then 210. Failure to reclaim 208.4 on pullbacks risks a deeper test into 207s before buyers reassert.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 209.5, PT2 210.0–210.5, stretch 211.5 on group strength.
– Entry ideas: Pullback buy 208.20–208.40; or break-and-hold over 209.00.
– Stop-loss: 207.60 (below session low structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  PANW

3) CI
– Supports: 298.20–298.60 (pullback zone), 298.05 (14:30 bar close), 297.69
– Resistances: 299.92 (HOD area), 300.50, 302.00
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Trend up into the bell points to a 300 test. Hold above ~298.6 keeps momentum intact; loss of 297.7 would delay the move.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 300.0–300.5, PT2 301.5, stretch 302.5–303 if managed care rotation persists.
– Entry ideas: Buy 298.30–298.70 pullback; or reclaim/hold above 300.00 after first test.
– Stop-loss: 297.60 (beneath pullback shelf).
finviz dynamic chart for  CI

4) ECL
– Supports: 276.05–276.15, 275.70, 275.38
– Resistances: 276.90 (HOD), 277.50, 279.00
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Persistent late ramp; above 276.9 likely triggers a grind to 277.5. Dips into 276s should attract buyers if trend holds.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 277.5, PT2 278.4, stretch 279.5–280 on sustained bid.
– Entry ideas: Pullback buy 276.10–276.30; or momentum add through 276.90 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 275.30 (below session demand cluster).
finviz dynamic chart for  ECL

5) IBP
– Supports: 256.00–256.40, 255.16, 254.66
– Resistances: 257.16 (HOD), 259.00, 260.50
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Clean late-day breakout and close at highs. First pullback to mid-256s should be bought if trend intact; through 257.2 opens 259 quickly.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 259.0, PT2 260.5, stretch 262.0 if housing/building products catch a bid.
– Entry ideas: Buy 256.00–256.50 pullbacks; or through 257.20 with momentum.
– Stop-loss: 254.90 (below last higher low).
finviz dynamic chart for  IBP

6) MTRN
– Supports: 128.30–128.60, 127.97, 127.26
– Resistances: 129.15 (HOD), 130.00, 131.20
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Late-session high breakout signals relative strength. Holding 128.6 on dips sets up a measured move to 130. Failure back below 128.0 weakens the setup.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): PT1 129.8–130.0, PT2 130.8, stretch 131.8–132.2 on strong materials tape.
– Entry ideas: Buy 128.40–128.70; or add through 129.20 with volume confirmation.
– Stop-loss: 127.70 (beneath breakout base).
finviz dynamic chart for  MTRN

Secondary watchlist (constructive but not top-tier for continuation based on today’s close): COR, LOW, INSM, A, PI, ATEYY, FWRG. Caution/avoid short-term longs until momentum improves: FDX, HUM, UNH, ASND, CYBR, AEIS.

Risk management and notes
– Because we lack the last 30 daily candles and ATR values in the provided data, targets are anchored to today’s intraday structure and nearby round-number extensions. If you can share the 30-day daily data, I will refine the levels with higher-timeframe supply/demand, gaps, and ATR-calibrated targets.
– For 1–3 day swings, consider scaling partial profits at PT1 and trailing stops under rising 30-min higher-lows to stay with winners. This is especially relevant if the broader market gaps against the position on the open.

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