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Continuation Breakout Friday 3PM 12/12/2025

December 12, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-12 from 12:30 to 15:00 on 30-minute bars. Note: Only intraday data for this window was provided; no 30-day/10-day daily history was included. The analysis below emphasizes the most recent price/volume developments visible in this sample and translates them into 1–3 day swing plans.

  • Cross-sector read from this basket:
    • Risk-on pockets: Cannabis (MSOS) showed a clean afternoon trend day with sustained higher highs and strong volume build into 14:30, a classic momentum continuation cue. Select biotech (VERA) displayed steady accumulation and higher lows; more speculative biotech (GLTO) faded a midday spike; PRAX softened.
    • Energy/commodities proxy: KOLD (inverse nat gas) pushed higher with a 14:00 breakout attempt and held most gains, implying short-term weakness in nat gas; that often pairs with constructive price action in fuel retailers like MUSA (which was firm/sideways).
    • Consumer Discretionary mixed: TSLA faded intraday after a sharp early pop (distribution), while MCD stayed bid and printed a higher high into early afternoon before a controlled pullback. VSCO was range-bound.
    • Aerospace/Defense: BA leaned soft with lower highs/lows intraday; FEIM was choppy after a strong morning (not shown), settling lower-highs through the session.
    • Cybersecurity: CYBR coiled tightly near the top of its intraday range—constructive for continuation if it clears 463.9.
  • Notable patterns:
    • Momentum/volume expansion: MSOS (broadening uptrend with strong 13:30–14:30 volume expansion).
    • Breakout-and-hold: KOLD (31.86 push, held above 31.58 into the close).
    • High-level coil: CYBR (463.9 cap, holding 461–462 demand).
    • Steady grind with round-number magnet: VERA (bid toward 50).
    • Distribution/underperformance: TSLA (lower highs after 13:00 spike), BA (unable to reclaim 205).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to push higher:
– MSOS – strongest intraday momentum/volume structure; eyes on a 6.00 test if 5.55–5.60 holds.
– KOLD – constructive breakout/hold; continuation if nat gas stays weak.
– VERA – steady accumulation with 50.00 magnet above.
– CYBR – tight consolidation just under resistance; a small push could trigger expansion.
– Strongest bullish signals: MSOS (trend + volume), CYBR (tight coil at highs).

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans (1–3 day swing)
Note: ATR figures weren’t provided; targets blend nearby resistance with a conservative percent-of-price/ recent intraday range proxy. Always verify levels on your daily chart.

1) MSOS
– Key support (demand):
– 5.72–5.73 (higher-low shelf from 14:00–14:30)
– 5.54–5.55 (breakout pivot)
– 5.33 (intraday pullback low from 13:30)
– Key resistance (supply):
– 5.92–5.99 (late-day/14:30 high into round 6.00)
– 5.81 (14:00 high)
– 6.20 (next extension/round-number neighborhood)
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Momentum continuation favored if price bases above 5.55. A quick check-back to 5.72–5.75 then a push through 5.92–6.00 is a common pattern after such an afternoon trend.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 5.99–6.00
– T2: 6.20
– T3: 6.45–6.50
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy: 5.72–5.75 with confirmation (higher low on 5–15 min).
– Breakout buy: 5.92–6.00 push-and-hold.
– Stop-loss:
– Under 5.54 (pivot failure) for breakout entries.
– Under 5.70 for pullback entries, or tighter under 5.68 if sizing up.
finviz dynamic chart for  MSOS

2) KOLD
– Key support:
– 31.58–31.63 (14:30 close zone)
– 31.10–31.15 (13:30 pivot)
– 30.88–31.03 (base from early afternoon)
– Key resistance:
– 31.86–31.90 (14:00 spike high)
– 32.00 (round number)
– 32.35–32.80 (next resistance band if trend extends)
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Constructive breakout-and-hold. If it holds above 31.10–31.15 on dips, probability favors a retest of 31.86–32.00 then extension.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 32.00
– T2: 32.35
– T3: 32.80
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy: 31.15–31.30 with reversal signal.
– Breakout buy: 31.90+ on volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Below 31.00 (round/pivot failure) for swing.
– Conservative: 30.85 (below session base).
– Note: Leveraged inverse ETF—expect higher volatility/decay; keep position sizing modest.
finviz dynamic chart for  KOLD

3) VERA
– Key support:
– 49.00–49.06 (multiple intraday touches)
– 48.80 (13:00 session low)
– 48.50 (proximate daily demand/round fraction; verify on your daily)
– Key resistance:
– 49.69–49.70 (session high)
– 50.00 (major round number)
– 51.00 (next round/likely daily supply zone)
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): Uptrend grind with a 50.00 magnet. A brief dip toward 49.00 often precedes a push into 50–51 if buyers remain in control.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 49.90–50.00
– T2: 50.70
– T3: 51.50
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy: 49.05–49.20 with higher low on intraday.
– Breakout buy: 49.70+ into 50.00 sweep on volume, then add on a 49.90–50.00 hold.
– Stop-loss:
– Under 48.80 (session low) for swing.
– Tighter: under 48.95 if entering near 49.20.
finviz dynamic chart for  VERA

4) CYBR
– Key support:
– 461.80–462.10 (intraday mid-demand)
– 461.10 (session low)
– 460.00 (round-number backstop)
– Key resistance:
– 463.88–463.92 (session cap)
– 465.00 (round/continuation level)
– 467.20–470.00 (next expansion band)
– 30-min based outlook (2–3 days): High-and-tight coil. A decisive push over 463.9 with volume often triggers a measured move into the mid-460s, possibly 468–470 if broader tech remains firm.
– 1–3 day price targets:
– T1: 465.00
– T2: 467.20
– T3: 470.00
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy: 462.00–462.20 with tight risk.
– Breakout buy: 463.95+ on volume; look for a 463.9 retest/hold to add.
– Stop-loss:
– Under 460.90 (below session low buffer) for pullback entries.
– Under 462.80 for tight breakout risk management if adding post-break.
finviz dynamic chart for  CYBR

Additional quick reads (not primary long setups)
– MCD: Constructive; a push through 317.80 could target 319.5–321.0. Support 316.1–316.3. finviz dynamic chart for  MCD
– TSLA: Intraday distribution; needs to reclaim/hold above 453.6–454.0 to negate. Risk of another test of 450.1 if it can’t. finviz dynamic chart for  TSLA
– BA: Heavy intraday tone; unlikely long until it reclaims/holds 205.4–205.5. finviz dynamic chart for  BA
– MUSA: Firm but slow; better as a trend hold rather than a 1–3 day momentum swing. finviz dynamic chart for  MUSA

Risk management notes
– Use smaller size on volatile/levered products (e.g., KOLD).
– If any breakout fails to hold for 30–60 minutes on the 30-min chart, consider trimming or exiting; failed breakouts often mean mean-reversion first, continuation later.
– Because this analysis is based on a limited intraday window, confirm levels against your daily chart before executing.

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