Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-10-10, 12:30–15:00)
Note on data scope: You provided intraday 30-min bars for the last part of today’s session only. Without 10–30 day history in the dataset, the analysis below emphasizes today’s 30-minute structure, volume behavior, and nearby supply/demand zones. I’ll avoid making unverified multi-week claims and instead anchor swing plans to the most actionable intraday levels and higher-probability round-number areas.
- Financials/Exchanges: CME showed steady bid, stair-stepping higher with higher highs/lows into the afternoon and closing near the upper end of its intraday range. That’s constructive for a 1–3 day continuation, especially if early pullbacks hold.
- Healthcare Distributors: MCK displayed quiet accumulation, grinding higher intraday with shallow dips bought. Defensive leadership tone.
- Consumer Discretionary (Auto aftermarket): AZO traded tight and orderly with low volatility; not aggressive momentum, but dip demand appears consistent near the 4070s.
- Alternative Energy/Industrial Tech: BE was the session laggard with persistent lower highs/lows and heavy volume on down bars—clear supply overhead.
- Biotech/SMID Healthcare: MLTX and OLMA trended lower intraday with rising turnover on down candles—risk-off tone in this bucket.
- Micro/small-cap momentum: Mixed. WYFI faded all session (supply), while LOBO and TBH printed late-day strength (potential for day-2/3 follow-through if volume persists).
Notable intraday sector pattern: rotation favored lower-volatility compounders (MCK) and exchanges (CME). Speculative microcaps split: selective strength (LOBO, TBH) vs. broad weakness (WYFI). BE’s heavy sell pressure stands out as sector drag.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside candidates based on today’s structure and closing posture:
- CME (bullish: higher highs/lows, close near range highs)
- MCK (constructive grind, buyers defending dips)
- LOBO (microcap: late-day volume spike and breakout over 0.80)
- TBH (microcap: reclaimed highs, late-day strength)
- AZO (neutral-to-bullish: tight range with buyers defending 4070s; needs trigger)
Strongest bullish signals: CME and MCK (quality, steady accumulation). LOBO and TBH have momentum potential but carry microcap risk; demand firm only if volume continues.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
CME
- Key support: 272.60–272.75 (intraday shelf), 271.85–271.57 (session early low), 271.00 (round number)
- Key resistance: 273.58–273.60 (late-session cap), 274.00 (HOD/round), 275.00 (daily supply/round)
- Price action outlook (30-min): Prefer early pullback hold above 272.6–272.8, then push through 273.6 for a drive toward 274–275. If first hour loses 272.6, expect a tag of 271.8–271.6 before buyers try again.
- 1–3 day targets: 273.6, 274.2–274.5, stretch 275.2–275.8 (roughly 0.5–1.0x today’s range)
- Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 272.7–272.9 with confirmation (higher low on 5–15m)
– Breakout buy >273.60 with expanding volume
- Stop-loss:
– Pullback entry: below 272.40 (tighter) or 271.45 (looser, below session low)
– Breakout entry: back below 273.10 (failed breakout)
MCK
- Key support: 765.0–764.7 (intraday shelf), 763.0–762.7 (session base), 760.0 (round)
- Key resistance: 766.8–767.4 (late-session lid), 768.2 (HOD), 770.0 (round/daily supply)
- Price action outlook (30-min): Expect continuation if price reclaims/holds 766.8–767.4 early; that opens 768.2, then 770. Failure to hold 764.7 invites a test of 763.0–762.7 where buyers likely attempt to reload.
- 1–3 day targets: 767.5, 768.5–769.5, stretch 771.5–773.5
- Entry ideas:
– Dip buy 765.0–765.5 on higher-low confirmation
– Breakout add >768.3 with volume
- Stop-loss:
– Dip entry: below 763.5 (beneath demand)
– Breakout entry: back below 766.7 (failed break)
AZO
- Key support: 4072, 4068.8, 4060 (round/daily micro demand)
- Key resistance: 4083.2, 4086.9, 4100 (round/daily supply)
- Price action outlook (30-min): A hold above 4072 with a push through 4083.2 could grind toward 4092–4100 over 1–3 days. Loss of 4068.8 likely forces a patient wait near 4060 for a higher-timeframe bounce.
- 1–3 day targets: 4085, 4092–4096, stretch 4100–4110
- Entry ideas:
– Buy 4072–4075 on a higher low and broad market strength
– Momentum add >4086.9 if tape is firm
- Stop-loss:
– Below 4068 for tight risk; swing stop below 4060
LOBO (microcap)
- Key support: 0.800–0.801, 0.797, 0.793 (base)
- Key resistance: 0.818 (late-day spike high), 0.830, 0.850 (round/nearby supply)
- Price action outlook (30-min): Day-2 continuation favored if it holds above 0.80 early and reclaims 0.818 with volume. Thin liquidity increases whipsaw risk.
- 1–3 day targets: 0.825–0.83, 0.84, stretch 0.85–0.86
- Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 0.802–0.806 if volume stays elevated
– Breakout buy >0.818 on increasing ticks
- Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 0.796; looser swing: below 0.791
TBH (microcap)
- Key support: 2.26, 2.23, 2.18–2.20 (demand band)
- Key resistance: 2.29 (HOD), 2.32, 2.40 (round/nearby supply)
- Price action outlook (30-min): Constructive if price consolidates above 2.26 then takes out 2.29–2.32. Loss of 2.23 likely sends it back to 2.20.
- 1–3 day targets: 2.30–2.32, 2.35, stretch 2.40–2.45
- Entry ideas:
– Buy 2.24–2.26 on a higher low and time-and-sales confirmation
– Add on break >2.30 with volume
- Stop-loss:
– Below 2.20 (beneath demand and intraday pivot)
Additional notes on laggards (for context)
- BE: Clear intraday downtrend with heavy volume. Any bounce is suspect until it can reclaim 88.50–89.20 on strong breadth. Avoid long unless that level is reclaimed.
- WYFI, MLTX, OLMA: Supply-dominant intraday profiles. For long swing attempts, wait for basing and a strong reclaim of intraday VWAP/previous day’s high with volume.
Risk management reminders
- Microcaps (LOBO, TBH) can gap and slip; size down and use hard stops.
- For large caps (CME, MCK, AZO), I prefer risking 0.3–0.6 ATR (estimated from today’s range) per trade and exiting partial at first target to de-risk.
This commentary is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.