Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (EST): Intraday 30-minute aggregates primarily from 2026-01-09, ~11:30–15:00 EST (some tickers include brief 2026-01-08 prints). Note: A full 30-day history was not provided, so comments on the “past 30 days/10 days” reference the prevailing multi-session momentum and today’s price/volume context.
- Defense/Aerospace: Broadly firm-to-sideways. XAR ETF was flat-to-slightly up intraday. Individual names showed constructive consolidations: BWXT held 201–202 after a strong multi-week run; KTOS churned 113.5–115 without distribution; AVAV and LDOS inside-day type action; MRCY stair-stepped higher into the close (92.2→93.1) on rising volume late. Pattern: digestion at highs, shallow pullbacks being bought. Standouts: MRCY for relative strength.
- Semiconductors/EDA: Mixed and range-bound. NXPI and LRCX failed to extend mid-day pops; SNPS faded early then stabilized; NVMI tight coil around 393–395; KLIC held 55 but no breakout. Pattern: volatility compression after prior advances—likely coiling for next move, but leadership not decisive today.
- Crypto miners/AI infra: Divergent. APLD led with a high-volume push (36→38.3) and higher-lows intraday; HUT faded; ARBK/EBON illiquid. Pattern: rotation to the relative leader (APLD) while peers digest—setup favors continuation in the leader if risk-on persists.
- Energy storage/Alt energy: EOSE posted a clean trend day (higher highs/lows) with sustained volume, closing near highs—classic momentum continuation candidate.
- Biotech/Spec small caps: PYXS bid steadily (1.65→1.74) with volume expansion; PASG had range but closed mid-pack; ABCL bled lower; RGTX sold off. Pattern: selective risk-on in smaller caps with clean intraday trend (PYXS).
- Industrials/Capital goods: Mostly two-way chop. ROK leaked lower; VMI drifted; CLH firm but not breaking out; FTAI faded late. Pattern: digestion after prior strength; no urgency from buyers.
- Consumer/Staples/Discretionary: ULTA trended up all session (662.8→670.3 HOD test) showing strong dip-buying; HLF flat-to-choppy. Pattern: premium retail bid remains intact, ULTA strongest.
- Space/Geo-intel: LUNR and BKSY saw early strength then afternoon consolidation; constructive but need confirmation breaks.
Trends/patterns to note:
– Leaders vs. groups: Even with sector chop, relative leaders (APLD, EOSE, ULTA, MRCY) continued to attract volume and hold intraday higher-lows.
– Volume tells: Continuation candidates showed persistent 30-min volume (APLD, EOSE) vs. one-and-done spikes elsewhere.
– Compression in semis suggests a potential catalyst-driven expansion soon, but today did not resolve.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Likely to go up (strongest momentum/relative strength today):
– APLD – High-volume push, held gains, clear 30-min higher-lows; leader within miners/AI infra.
– EOSE – Trend day, closing near highs on surging volume; clean continuation setup.
– ULTA – Steady uptrend with controlled pullbacks; buyers supported each dip.
– MRCY – Defense name showing RS; stair-step advance into close.
– QUIK – Gradual grind higher in small-cap semi; tight intraday structure.
– PYXS – Small-cap biotech with persistent bid and closing strength.
Stocks showing strongest bullish signals: APLD, EOSE, ULTA.
Individual Stock Analysis
APLD
– Key support: 37.40; 36.80; 36.10
– Key resistance: 38.00–38.32; 39.00; 39.50–41.00
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Holding above 37.40 favors a push to 38.00/38.32 early; reclaim/hold 38.00 could open 39.00 then 39.50. Failure to hold 37.40 likely tests 36.80 before buyers attempt another leg.
– Swing targets (1–3 days, near R and typical ATR move): 38.30, 39.50, stretch 41.00.
– Entries: Tier in on pullbacks 37.45–37.60; add on 38.05–38.15 break-and-hold.
– Stop-loss: 37.05 initial; wider swing stop 36.35 if using the 36.80 add zone.
EOSE
– Key support: 15.23–15.29; 15.00; 14.70–14.75
– Key resistance: 15.41; 15.80–15.90; 16.20–16.50
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Constructive hold above 15.20 sets up retest of 15.41 HOD; through 15.41, look for momentum to 15.80–15.90. Consolidation under 15.20 likely flags above 15.00 before next attempt.
– Swing targets: 15.40, 15.90, 16.30–16.50.
– Entries: 15.05–15.20 pullback buy; momentum add on 15.42–15.45 hold.
– Stop-loss: 14.80 (below round number and VWAP reload zone); tighter traders 15.00.
ULTA
– Key support: 666.30; 664.75; 662.80
– Key resistance: 669.30; 670.31; 674.50–675.00
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Trend remains up while 666 holds; expect probes of 669.3/670.3. Sustained trade above 670 could trigger a measured move toward 674.5–675 next, with extension to ~681 on a strong tape.
– Swing targets: 670.3, 674.5, stretch 681.
– Entries: 666.0–667.0 buy-the-dip; add on 670.4 hold.
– Stop-loss: 662.5 (beneath session demand); conservative: 664.3 if trading tight.
MRCY
– Key support: 92.57; 92.17; 92.00
– Key resistance: 93.08; 93.40–93.60; 94.00
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Buyers defended higher lows; above 92.60 favors a 93.08 retest; push/hold over 93.10 can open 93.6 then 94. Pullbacks likely find dip buyers near 92.2–92.6.
– Swing targets: 93.10, 93.60, 94.20.
– Entries: 92.60–92.80 first pass; momentum add over 93.10 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 92.10; wider 91.90 if giving room beneath the 92 shelf.
QUIK
– Key support: 7.83; 7.81; 7.65
– Key resistance: 7.87–7.90; 8.00; 8.20
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Gradual up-channel; hold above 7.83 likely resolves through 7.90 toward 8.00. Over 8.00, squeeze risk into 8.20. Loss of 7.81 suggests a deeper test to ~7.65 demand.
– Swing targets: 7.90, 8.05, 8.25.
– Entries: 7.78–7.83 pullback buy; add on 7.91–7.94 hold.
– Stop-loss: 7.62 (beneath prior demand); tighter: 7.74 if scalping.
PYXS
– Key support: 1.70; 1.66; 1.64–1.65
– Key resistance: 1.74; 1.78–1.80; 1.85–1.88
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Momentum continuation favored if 1.70 holds; a push through 1.74 targets 1.80, then 1.85–1.88. Failure to hold 1.70 likely backfills to 1.66 where buyers re-test.
– Swing targets: 1.74, 1.80, 1.88.
– Entries: 1.70–1.72 pullback; add on 1.75 hold.
– Stop-loss: 1.65 (below higher-low structure).
Notes and risk management
– The strongest continuation probability rests with names that combined trend, relative strength, and sustained volume today (APLD, EOSE, ULTA).
– Several setups are small-cap and can be illiquid/volatile—use hard stops and size down accordingly.
– Without a full 30-day dataset, ATR-based targets are estimated from today’s range and typical behavior; adjust in real time if volatility expands or contracts.