Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Data window analyzed (EST): 2026-01-02 from 12:30 to 15:00 EST using 30-minute aggregates across your basket. Where “daily” support/resistance is referenced below, I anchor to obvious recent swing zones and round-number supply/demand that today’s action interacted with, given only intraday bars provided.
- Cross-sector read from today’s last 2.5 hours:
- Semiconductors and mission-critical hardware led: AMD, TSM, ASML stair-stepped higher into the close with higher highs/higher lows and firming volume. VRT was softer and LITE faded late, but the group breadth leaned bullish with leaders breaking/pressing highs.
- Defense/Aerospace bid: LHX, HII, NOC, TDG and BA all pressed higher intraday, with LHX/BA making clean afternoon pushes; CW and WWD also trended up. That’s constructive for the group’s momentum.
- Industrials/Construction strong: CAT and GE advanced into the bell; URI pushed to new afternoon highs; materials/contractors (EME, MTZ, MLM) held bids. CENX (aluminum) closed near highs, hinting commodity tailwinds.
- Financials firm: GS trended steadily higher; EVR broke out late-morning and held gains; FCNCA drifted up. This risk-on tone supports broader tape.
- Crypto miners weak: IREN and HUT faded throughout the afternoon—clear relative weakness vs. the market.
- Renewables/mid-caps mixed: FSLR range-bound; BE pulled back intra-afternoon and couldn’t reclaim highs; several micro/small caps (RCAT, ALMU, PPSI) showed pops but with event-driven, thinner liquidity.
- Takeaway: Leadership skewed to Semis and Defense with Industrials and large-cap Financials providing confirmation. Weakness concentrated in Crypto miners and some high-beta tech components.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Highest probability upside follow-through: AMD, TSM, ASML, LHX, CAT, GS, GE, WING.
– Strongest bullish signals (clean trend, closes near highs, constructive volume): ASML, TSM, AMD, GS, CAT.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Entries lean toward buy-the-dip into support or break-and-retest. Stops are tucked below the nearest invalidation level or demand zone. ATR-based targets reflect typical stretches for these names; adjust to your ATR read.
1) AMD
– Daily key support: 221.6–221.9, 219.8–220.0, 217.5
– Daily key resistance: 224.3–224.8, 225.9–226.5, 228.5–229.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a shallow pullback into 222.5–223.0 followed by a push over 224.8. Momentum continuation favored while above 221.4.
– 1–3 day targets: 226.5, 228.8, 231.5 (ATR-based stretch ~$7–9)
– Suggested entries: 222.6–223.1 pullback; or 225.0–225.3 on a strong flags-break.
– Stop-loss: 221.2 (tighter) or 219.6 (swing)
2) TSM
– Daily key support: 320.1–320.5, 319.2–319.3, 318.3
– Daily key resistance: 321.3–321.6, 322.8, 324.5
– 30-min outlook: Trend intact; look for 320.5 retest to hold, then grind toward 322.8+. Failed retest flips to range.
– 1–3 day targets: 322.5, 324.5, 326.0 (ATR ~$3.5–4.5)
– Suggested entries: 320.6–320.8 pullback hold; or 321.7–321.9 breakout continuation.
– Stop-loss: 319.1 (tight) or 318.2 (swing)
3) ASML
– Daily key support: 1165.9, 1160.3–1163.0, 1158.6
– Daily key resistance: 1170.0–1172.0, 1178–1180, 1185–1188
– 30-min outlook: Closed at HOD—momentum continuation setup. Small dip toward 1165–1166 likely bought; sustained over 1170 opens a measured leg.
– 1–3 day targets: 1175, 1185, 1198 (ATR ~$18–25)
– Suggested entries: 1165.5–1166.5 demand tap; or 1170.5–1171.5 break/hold.
– Stop-loss: 1159.8 (tight) or 1156.8 (swing)
4) LHX
– Daily key support: 302.1–302.6, 300.7, 299.6–299.8
– Daily key resistance: 303.3–303.8, 305.5–306.0, 307.5–308.0
– 30-min outlook: Stair-step higher with defense strength tailwind. Expect 301–302.5 to act as a buy zone; push toward 305–306 next.
– 1–3 day targets: 304.2, 305.8, 307.6 (ATR ~$3–4.5)
– Suggested entries: 301.9–302.6 pullback; or 303.6–303.8 continuation over HOD.
– Stop-loss: 300.4 (tight) or 299.4 (swing)
5) CAT
– Daily key support: 597.1–597.3, 595.1, 593.8–594.0
– Daily key resistance: 599.6–600.0, 603.0, 607.0
– 30-min outlook: Trend day into close; room for a quick tag-and-go through 600 if futures cooperate; otherwise buy the dip into 597–598.
– 1–3 day targets: 600.5, 603.0, 607.0 (ATR ~$7–9)
– Suggested entries: 597.5–598.5 pullback; or 600.1–600.6 clean reclaim after a quick rejection.
– Stop-loss: 596.8 (tight) or 594.9 (swing)
6) GS
– Daily key support: 908.2–909.0, 904.0–904.5, 901.8
– Daily key resistance: 912.2, 915.0, 920.0
– 30-min outlook: Persistent bid; look for 909–910 to act as springboard to 915; dips likely shallow unless market reverses sharply.
– 1–3 day targets: 914.0, 918.5, 924.0 (ATR ~$10–14)
– Suggested entries: 909.0–910.2 pullback; or 912.3–912.8 breakout-hold.
– Stop-loss: 904.8 (tight) or 901.7 (swing)
7) GE
– Daily key support: 315.8–316.0, 314.5–314.9, 313.8
– Daily key resistance: 318.1–318.2, 319.8–320.0, 321.0–321.5
– 30-min outlook: Up-channel intact. Expect 316.8–317.4 retest then grind to 319.8–320.
– 1–3 day targets: 318.6, 319.8, 321.5 (ATR ~$3.5–4.5)
– Suggested entries: 317.0–317.4 into demand; or 318.2–318.4 if it flags and breaks.
– Stop-loss: 315.8 (tight) or 314.9 (swing)
8) WING
– Daily key support: 255.4–255.9, 254.3–254.8, 253.3
– Daily key resistance: 256.9–257.0, 258.8–259.0, 260.0–260.5
– 30-min outlook: Higher lows through the afternoon; buy dips into 255–256 for a push through 257; momentum can carry to 259–260.
– 1–3 day targets: 257.2, 258.8, 260.5 (ATR ~$3.5–4.5)
– Suggested entries: 255.6–256.1 pullback; or 257.0–257.2 break/hold.
– Stop-loss: 254.7 (tight) or 253.8 (swing)
Additional notes and risk cues
– Defense basket confirmation: LMT, HII, NOC, TDG and BA also showed constructive intraday action—use them as confirmation for LHX continuation.
– Industrials breadth: URI, EME, MTZ, MLM strength supports CAT/GE follow-through.
– Risk-off pockets: IREN, HUT weakness—avoid long side there until they reclaim afternoon supply.
– Micro/small caps: RCAT, ALMU, PPSI can move fast but liquidity and slippage risk are elevated; use reduced size and wider stops if trading.
Position management
– If entries trigger and price moves +0.5–0.7x daily ATR in your favor, consider taking partials and trail to breakeven just below the most recent higher low on the 30-min.
– If indices gap down, prioritize pullback entries at support rather than chasing breakouts; invalidate setups on loss of the second support level listed.
This plan emphasizes a 1–3 day momentum swing framework using the late-day strength in Semis, Defense, Industrials, and Financials while avoiding underperforming Crypto miners. Adjust targets to your measured ATRs if they differ from the approximations above.