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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 9/26/2025

September 26, 2025 6 min read

Analysis window (EST): 2025-09-25 14:30 to 2025-09-26 14:00, across the symbols you provided. Note: the upload contains only intraday 30-minute bars for the latest sessions, not full 30 days. I’m emphasizing the most recent 10 days by proxy via today’s 30-min momentum structures, and I reference daily “zones” using obvious intraday supply/demand plus round-number pivots you can validate on your daily chart.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Semiconductors/equipment (AMAT, KLAC, TER, ACMR): Broad intraday strength with higher highs/higher lows into early afternoon. AMAT pushed from ~201 to 204.6; KLAC stair-stepped to new session highs; TER expanded through 135. Structure favors continuation breakouts if pullbacks hold prior 30-min higher lows. ACMR lagged (range-bound), but still constructive above 37.50.
  • Cyber/Software (CRWD, ADBE, HUBS, WDAY): CRWD showed steady grind and closed on highs; the rest were firm but range-bound. Rotation slightly favors high-quality cybersecurity (CRWD) over broad application software.
  • Infrastructure/Engineering/Industrial (PWR, MTZ, IESC, TDY): Strong and steady bids. PWR made successive 30-min higher highs into 408s; MTZ advanced to 208.6. TDY followed through above 577. The complex looks like a “buy-the-dip” tape while momentum stays intact.
  • Rails/Transport (NSC, UNP): Rails were quietly strong, both pressing session highs late. If broader industrials remain bid, rails often track with a 1–3 day lag continuation.
  • Energy/Utilities (NRG): Slow grinder with higher lows. Defensive tone but still net bid.
  • Solar (SEDG): Pop then fade to flat/net up; still heavy on the longer context, so treat bounces as tactical until proven otherwise.
  • Metals/Materials (SBSW): Modest strength; tracks precious/PGM beta—more a passenger to commodity tape.
  • Media/Consumer (WBD, FIVE): WBD faded off mid-day; FIVE very tight and illiquid in this slice—no signal edge.
  • Financials (JPM): Firm, but incremental.
  • High-beta small/micro caps (DPRO, INDP, SKYT, PRAX, ANNX, etc.): Mixed. SKYT and PRAX showed orderly momentum build; DPRO/INDP had outsized volume spikes with volatility risk and late fade—trade these tactically if at all.

Notable patterns

  • Momentum continuation in semis and industrials: AMAT, KLAC, TER, PWR, MTZ, CIEN pushing/holding near session highs.
  • Rails quietly accumulating: NSC, UNP near HODs suggest further drift up if tape stays risk-on.
  • Leader/laggard divergence within software: CRWD leading; ADBE/HUBS/WDAY mostly basing.
  • Small-cap breakout character: SKYT clean expansion with higher lows and closing near highs; PRAX trend continuation with rising intraday lows.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely upside continuation (highest quality first):

  • AMAT, KLAC, PWR, CRWD, MTZ, NSC, CIEN, TER, SKYT, PRAX

Strongest bullish tells today:

  • AMAT, KLAC, PWR, CRWD, SKYT, PRAX

Individual Stock Analysis
Format per ticker: supports/resistances (3 each), price action view (2–3 days), entries, stops, and targets. Targets skew to nearby resistance and typical 1–2 day extension; validate against your daily ATR.

AMAT

  • Supports: 203.70–204.00; 202.35; 201.24
  • Resistances: 204.95–205.20; 206.00; 207.50
  • Price action view: Prefer dip-and-go above 203.7. Holding that zone points to a push through 205.2 toward 206–207.5. Lose 202.35 and expect a deeper retest near 201.2 before buyers step back in.
  • Entry: 203.9–204.1 on a higher-low reclaim; or 205.3 breakout with volume.
  • Stop: 202.20 (tighter) or 201.10 (swing).
  • Targets: 205.2; 206.4; 207.5–208.2 if strength persists.
finviz dynamic chart for  AMAT

KLAC

  • Supports: 1066.0–1066.8; 1062.3; 1060.6
  • Resistances: 1067.9; 1070.0; 1075.0
  • Price action view: Tight bull flag into highs. Above 1066, expect 1070 test; sustained break can trend toward 1075. Failure to hold 1062 opens a slower pullback into 1060–1058 demand on daily.
  • Entry: 1066.5–1067 on a coil hold; or 1070 break with add on backtest.
  • Stop: 1062.2 (tighter) or 1060.4 (swing).
  • Targets: 1070; 1073; 1075–1078.
finviz dynamic chart for  KLAC

TER

  • Supports: 134.36–134.41; 133.66; 133.20
  • Resistances: 135.49; 136.00; 137.00
  • Price action view: Stair-step trend day. Expect consolidation 134.7–135.3 then probe 135.5–136. A failed breakout likely backfills to 134.4 before the next attempt.
  • Entry: 134.6–134.9 on HL; or 135.55 break.
  • Stop: 133.60 (tighter) or 133.15 (swing).
  • Targets: 135.9; 136.6; 137.2.
finviz dynamic chart for  TER

PWR

  • Supports: 406.2–406.4; 404.9; 403.7
  • Resistances: 408.5; 410.0; 412.0
  • Price action view: Strong trend with shallow pullbacks. Above 406.4 bias is up to 408.5–410. Any backfill to ~405–406 that holds should be bought for a 1–2 day push.
  • Entry: 406.5–407.0 pullback buy; or 408.6 break on volume.
  • Stop: 404.30 (tighter) or 403.60 (swing).
  • Targets: 408.5; 410.2; 411.8–412.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  PWR

MTZ

  • Supports: 207.55; 207.10–207.25; 206.15
  • Resistances: 208.58; 209.00; 210.00
  • Price action view: Trend continuation candidate. Holding 207.5 keeps pressure on 208.6; a clean break can extend into 209–210 over 1–3 sessions.
  • Entry: 207.6–207.9 on HL; or 208.6 break.
  • Stop: 206.90 (tighter) or 206.00 (swing).
  • Targets: 208.6; 209.4; 210.0–210.7.
finviz dynamic chart for  MTZ

NSC

  • Supports: 297.10–297.20; 296.25–296.40; 294.50
  • Resistances: 297.60; 298.00; 300.00
  • Price action view: Rails bid; expecting a slow grind. Above 297.2 targets 297.6–298; breakout days can tag 300 with index help. Lose 296.25 and it likely refuels at 295–295.5 first.
  • Entry: 296.9–297.2 on HL; or 297.6 break.
  • Stop: 295.90 (tighter) or 294.40 (swing).
  • Targets: 298.0; 299.0; 300.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  NSC

CIEN

  • Supports: 142.90–143.05; 142.42–142.64; 141.16
  • Resistances: 143.79; 144.50; 145.50–146.00
  • Price action view: Healthy consolidation under 143.8. Ahold above 143 and push through 143.8 opens 144.5 then 145.5–146 across 1–3 days. Fail and 142.4 is the reload zone.
  • Entry: 143.0–143.2 pullback; or 143.85 break.
  • Stop: 142.35 (tighter) or 141.10 (swing).
  • Targets: 144.0; 144.8; 145.6–146.2.
finviz dynamic chart for  CIEN

CRWD

  • Supports: 481.0; 480.6–479.8; 477.8
  • Resistances: 482.3; 485.0; 490.0
  • Price action view: Leader-quality grind closing at highs. Expect early flag above 481; through 482.3 can magnet 485, then 488–490 on momentum continuation.
  • Entry: 481.2–481.6 on HL; or 482.4 break with volume.
  • Stop: 479.60 (tighter) or 477.50 (swing).
  • Targets: 485.0; 488.0; 490.0–492.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  CRWD

SKYT

  • Supports: 17.23–17.28; 16.72–16.62; 16.44
  • Resistances: 17.70; 18.00; 18.50
  • Price action view: Clean breakout character, higher highs/lows with rising volume. Expect an early retest of 17.3–17.4; hold there favors 17.7–18 push in 1–2 days. Thin tape—respect liquidity.
  • Entry: 17.35–17.45 pullback; or 17.72 break.
  • Stop: 16.98 (tighter) or 16.58 (swing).
  • Targets: 17.70; 18.00; 18.40–18.60.
finviz dynamic chart for  SKYT

PRAX

  • Supports: 51.00–51.15; 50.35; 49.85–50.00
  • Resistances: 51.52; 52.00; 53.00
  • Price action view: Trend up with orderly dips. Holding 51 zone sets up 51.5–52 retest; momentum extensions can print 52.5–53 in 1–3 days. Loss of 50.35 likely finds buyers near 50.
  • Entry: 51.05–51.25 pullback; or 51.55 break.
  • Stop: 50.20 (tighter) or 49.70 (swing).
  • Targets: 51.9; 52.4; 53.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  PRAX

Quick notes on other mentioned tickers

  • DPRO, INDP: Huge volume/volatility with late-session fade—high risk of mean-reversion; treat as day-trade only until new bases form.
  • SEDG: Tactical bounce only while below prior major daily resistance; needs a daily higher low and reclaim of 40s to change trend.
  • WBD, ADBE, HUBS, WDAY: Mostly range-bound today; watch for breaks from tight daily bases rather than chase.

Risk management

  • In this market, I favor buying pullbacks to prior 30-min higher lows with stops just below the prior swing low.
  • Scale profits at T1/T2 and trail stops under emerging higher lows to stay in trend if momentum persists.

If you want, share full 30-day daily candles or ATR values, and I’ll refine the daily zones and target ladders with more precision.

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