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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 6/27/2025

June 27, 2025 3 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime Range Analyzed:
June 28, 2025, to July 27, 2025 (Eastern Standard Time)

Based on the past 30 days of price and volume data, the overall market performance has shown mixed trends across various sectors. The focus will be on the recent 10 days as this period typically sets the stage for short-term momentum trading strategies. Here’s a quick overview:

  • Technology Sector: Stocks such as TSM and ARM have shown moderate volatility. The semiconductor segment, represented by TSM and SOXL, is experiencing consolidation phases after moderate upward movements.
  • Healthcare Sector: Companies like REGN and HCA indicate periods of short-term consolidation with minor retracement, possibly hinting at future breakouts.
  • Consumer Discretionary and Retail: Stocks like HD and LYV are slightly bearish, with volume spikes indicating potential capitulation points.
  • Financials: Stocks in this sector, like MA and AXP, are generally choppy, with no clear direction, although slight bearish pressure is indicated.

Noticeable trends include:
– Several technology stocks indicate consolidation after minor rallies, suggesting the potential for upward breakouts.
– Healthcare stocks show signs of demand zones, particularly in larger cap companies.
– Consumer-focused stocks show volatility, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors affecting consumer sentiment.

Key ticker references include TSM, ARM, REGN, and AXP.

Ticker Performance Prediction

Bullish in 2-3 Days:
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing): The stock is in a consolidation phase, showing potential for upward movement driven by sector strength.
REGN (Regeneron Pharmaceuticals): There are signs of support holding strong, with positive momentum potentially leading to upward movement.
SOXL (Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares): Shows potential upside as the semiconductor industry looks for a rebound.

Individual Stock Analysis

  1. TSM
    • Support Levels: 225.00, 224.00, 223.50
    • Resistance Levels: 230.00, 232.00, 235.00
    • Price Action Prediction: Expect a retest of the 230.00 resistance level, potentially targeting 235.00 if volume supports the move.
    • Entry Point: Near 225.00 as a low-risk entry point.
    • Stop-Loss: Below 223.50 to protect against breakdown.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  TSM
  2. REGN
    • Support Levels: 517.50, 515.00, 512.00
    • Resistance Levels: 522.00, 525.00, 530.00
    • Price Action Prediction: Anticipate a potential rally back to 525.00, with a breakout level at 530.00.
    • Entry Point: Around 517.50 for risk-managed entry.
    • Stop-Loss: Below 512.00.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  REGN
  3. SOXL
    • Support Levels: 24.00, 23.50, 23.00
    • Resistance Levels: 25.00, 26.00, 27.50
    • Price Action Prediction: Look for retracement towards 25.00, with potential to break past 26.00 on strong volume.
    • Entry Point: Near 24.00 for a safe entry.
    • Stop-Loss: Below 23.50.
    • finviz dynamic chart for  SOXL

These analyses focus on leveraging strong technical support levels and potential breakout resistance levels to guide swing trades in the short term. Accurate stop-loss placement and entry strategies are pivotal to managing risk effectively while aiming for the anticipated gains based on observed patterns and sector strength.

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