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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 12/26/2025

December 26, 2025 6 min read

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-26, 11:00–14:00 (30‑minute bars). Note: Only this intraday window was provided, so 10–30 day context wasn’t available. Conclusions emphasize the most recent 30‑minute momentum/volume patterns and typical sector correlations.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Precious metals and miners (AGQ – 2x Silver, NUGT – 2x Gold Miners): Led the tape with sustained higher highs and expanding volume between 12:00–13:30, signaling strong risk-on rotation into metals. NEXA (base metals) also pushed higher intraday, aligning with the commodity strength theme.
– Semiconductors/Hardware: Mixed but constructive. VICR broke higher late session toward 110.78 with good volume. ASML maintained a steady upward bias. These show selective strength in semis/equipment despite broader software softness.
– Software/Cloud: MDB and HUBS faded off early highs and drifted lower into the afternoon—near-term underperformance vs. semis.
– Managed care (ELV, UNH): Flat-to-soft intraday, suggesting a pause/rotation out of healthcare payers.
– Biotech/Healthtech: PRLD showed a clean stair-step higher with strong volume into 13:30, while ANL spiked from 1.64 to 1.74 before consolidating—both display speculative momentum potential. NTRA was soft; CLSDQ illiquid.
– Small/micro caps and special situations: SHMD was volatile with a failed breakout near 6.52 and a fade; DBGI attempted a push to 12.32 then slipped—choppy and headline-sensitive. EVCM drifted steadily higher on light volume; QIPT was pinned; CAMP and SNT were thin.

Notable patterns:
– Rotation into metals/miners (AGQ, NUGT, NEXA).
– Selective strength in semis (VICR > ASML) versus softness in software (MDB, HUBS).
– Speculative bid in small-cap biotech (PRLD, ANL).
– Defensive healthcare payers lagged (UNH, ELV).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher on continuation:
– AGQ, NUGT (strength + volume + momentum structure)
– PRLD (clean intraday uptrend with volume expansion)
– VICR (late-day breakout with higher close)
– NEXA (base metals sympathy to precious metals strength)
– ANL (range expansion with constructive consolidation)

Strongest bullish signals: AGQ, PRLD, VICR.

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
Note on targets: Without daily ATRs in the dataset, I’m using the day’s realized intraday ranges as a proxy for short-term movement potential.

1) AGQ (ProShares Ultra Silver)
– Why: Sequential higher highs from 12:00 to 13:30 with heavy volume; minor digestion at 13:30–14:00 while holding most gains.
– Key support (daily/intraday zones):
– 193.70–193.80 (last 30-min low/close region)
– 191.50–191.95 (13:00 pullback low/close zone)
– 189.40–189.90 (13:00 low / 12:30 close)
– Key resistance (near-term supply):
– 194.85 (session high)
– 196.00 (round-number supply)
– 198.00 (range extension)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Holding above 191.5 favors a grind to retest 194.8–196; a clean 30‑min close over 196 opens 198–199. Failure under 191.5 risks a shake to 189–190 before dip buyers re-engage.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 195.0
– T2: 196.5
– T3: 198–199
– Entry ideas: Pullback into 192.2–193.0, or breakout add on a 30‑min close >195.0–195.2.
– Stop ideas: 191.3 (tight momentum stop) or 189.2 (looser, below session low zone).
finviz dynamic chart for  AGQ

2) NUGT (Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull)
– Why: Trend higher with a late push to 210.46 and a tight close near highs; correlation tailwind from metals strength.
– Key support:
– 209.50–209.85 (last bar low/close zone)
– 208.00–208.15 (midday pivot/close)
– 206.50–207.10 (intraday low cluster)
– Key resistance:
– 210.46 (session high)
– 211.00–211.50 (round number supply)
– 213.00 (extension if momentum continues)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Above 209.5 maintains momentum to 210.5–211.5; sustained closes >211.5 open 213. Fading back through 208 risks a retest of 206.5–207.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 210.5
– T2: 211.8–212.0
– T3: 213.0
– Entry ideas: Nibble 208.2–209.0 pullbacks; add on a 30‑min close >210.6.
– Stop ideas: 207.6 (tight) or 206.3 (below day’s downside wick).
finviz dynamic chart for  NUGT

3) PRLD (Prelude Therapeutics)
– Why: Classic intraday staircase up with expanding volume into 13:30; held most gains.
– Key support:
– 2.39–2.40
– 2.36
– 2.33 (base from early move)
– Key resistance:
– 2.44 (session high)
– 2.50 (psych)
– 2.60 (range extension)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Holding above 2.36–2.39 should retest 2.44–2.50; a firm break/hold over 2.50 invites a squeeze to 2.55–2.60+. Loss of 2.33 likely pulls to 2.29–2.30 (day’s early low).
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 2.47–2.50
– T2: 2.55–2.60
– T3: 2.70 on momentum squeeze
– Entry ideas: Pullback buy 2.37–2.40; breakout add on 2.50+ with volume.
– Stop ideas: 2.32 (tight) or 2.28 (beneath early low).
finviz dynamic chart for  PRLD

4) VICR (Vicor)
– Why: Late-day push to 110.78 and close at 110.57; higher highs with improving volume.
– Key support:
– 110.00–109.86
– 109.50–109.55
– 108.90
– Key resistance:
– 110.78 (session high)
– 111.50
– 112.50
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Above 110 keeps pressure on 110.8–111.5; a 30‑min close above 111.5 targets 112.3–112.8. Lose 109.5 and a backfill to 109.0–108.9 is likely before buyers try again.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 111.2–111.5
– T2: 112.2–112.8
– T3: 114.0 if semis push broadly
– Entry ideas: Buy 110.0–110.2 retest; add through 110.8 on strength.
– Stop ideas: 109.35 (tight) or 108.80 (swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  VICR

5) NEXA (Nexa Resources)
– Why: Steady higher-high sequence into 13:30 with a high at 9.55; consolidating above prior lows—benefits from the metals tape.
– Key support:
– 9.38–9.40
– 9.31
– 9.20
– Key resistance:
– 9.55 (session high)
– 9.70
– 10.00 (psych)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Holds above 9.38 favors a retest of 9.55, then 9.70; a strong close above 9.70 opens 9.90–10.00. Lose 9.31 and we likely revisit 9.20 support.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 9.55–9.60
– T2: 9.70–9.80
– T3: 10.00
– Entry ideas: Accumulate 9.35–9.42; add on a 30‑min close >9.56.
– Stop ideas: 9.24 (beneath 12:30 low) or 9.18 (looser).
finviz dynamic chart for  NEXA

6) ANL (Adlai Nortye)
– Why: Range expansion from 1.64 to 1.744 with a higher low consolidation—setup for continuation if buyers defend the mid 1.60s.
– Key support:
– 1.66–1.69 (post-spike base)
– 1.64
– 1.61
– Key resistance:
– 1.744 (session high)
– 1.80
– 2.00 (psych)
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Above 1.66 targets 1.74–1.80; a 30‑min close >1.80 sets 1.90–2.00. Lose 1.64 and it likely fades to 1.61–1.60.
– 1–3 day targets:
– T1: 1.74–1.76
– T2: 1.82–1.90
– T3: 2.00
– Entry ideas: 1.66–1.69 on dips; add through 1.75.
– Stop ideas: 1.60–1.61 (below session base).
finviz dynamic chart for  ANL

Additional quick notes (not primary longs):
– ASML: Slight upward drift; constructive but slower mover short-term vs. VICR.
– MDB, HUBS: Weak intraday structure; prefer avoiding longs until they reclaim prior 30‑min lower highs.
– ELV, UNH: Flat/soft—watch for sector rotation before long setups.
– SHMD, DBGI: High volatility with failed pushes—trade only with tight risk controls.
– EVCM: Slow, steady drift up; thin liquidity—small sizing if traded.
– QIPT, CAMP, SNT, CLSDQ: Thin/illiquid; set alerts, avoid chasing.

Risk management
– Position size smaller on leveraged ETFs (AGQ, NUGT) and microcaps (PRLD, ANL).
– Respect stops around defined support zones; if metals momentum stalls broadly, rotate exposure down quickly.
– If any of the continuation setups open with large gaps above resistance, wait for a 30‑min hold above the level before adding.

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