Back to Insights

Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 11/28/2025

November 28, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range reviewed (EST): Oct 29, 2025 – Nov 28, 2025, with emphasis on Nov 18 – Nov 28. Note: your upload provides 30‑minute intraday snapshots (Nov 26 and Nov 28), so levels and momentum reads lean on that recent structure plus typical 30‑day context.

  • Leadership: Semiconductors and AI/optics maintained relative strength. Multiple names printed higher highs on expanding 30‑min volume and held most of their gains: MTSI, MKSI, CRDO, ASML, MRVL. This is the cleanest cross‑sector momentum cohort.
  • Select Biotech working, most lagging: NRIX showed a decisive expansion candle around 12:30 with follow‑through; many others faded after early pushes (PEPG, GOSS, TRDA, TYRA, SNTI, ATYR, BCAB), indicating selective risk‑on rather than broad biotech bid.
  • Financials/Info Services soft: MCO, VRSK, FCNCA trended lower into midday on rising 30‑min volume; no clear reversal footprints yet. AMG flat to soft.
  • MedTech/Devices mixed to weak: PEN lost VWAP and accelerated lower around 12:30; no reclaim yet.
  • Industrial lasers/components volatile: COHR flushed into mid‑day and stabilized but hasn’t reclaimed breakdown levels; not leadership today.
  • Energy/Nuclear: LEU pulling back from recent highs; bids appeared near 257–260 but sellers still in control intraday.
  • Micro/small‑cap China and low‑float: VEEE showed a high‑volume spike and fade; EZGO, SXTC, JWEL, HIND, LOBO saw choppy, liquidity‑dependent moves—better for scalps than 1–3 day swings unless they reclaim with volume.

Noticeable patterns
– Momentum expansion in semis (MTSI, MKSI, CRDO) coincides with multi‑name 30‑min breakouts holding higher lows—typical for short, 1–3 day continuation legs.
– Select biotech strength (NRIX) came with an outsized 30‑min impulse and tight close—often a good 1–2 day follow setup if the first pullback holds.
– Defensive/financials leaning risk‑off intraday; dip‑buy attempts failing at prior support turned resistance.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)

Likely upside continuation candidates:
– MTSI, MKSI, CRDO, NRIX, FTAI, ASML, MRVL

Strongest bullish signals right now:
– MTSI: consecutive higher highs/higher lows on rising 30‑min volume; closed near highs.
– CRDO: range expansion and close near HOD with heavy volume.
– MKSI: breakout above 156 with follow‑through toward 157.5.
– NRIX: clean expansion bar to 17.69 with volume surge and tight consolidation.

Individual Stock Analysis (setups for 1–3 day swing)

Note: Supports/resistances reflect recent daily supply/demand zones inferred from your 30‑min structure and commonly watched whole/half levels. ATR targets are approximations.

1) MTSI
– Supports: 173.4, 172.6, 171.0
– Resistances: 175.1, 176.5, 178.8
– 30‑min path (2–3 days): If price holds above 173.5 off the open, expect a push into 175.5–176.5 (Day 1), with potential Day‑2 extension toward 178–179 if semis stay firm. Lose 172.6 and you likely see a backfill to ~171.
– Targets (1–3 days): 175.5, 176.8, 178.8 (≈ +1 to +1.5 ATR)
– Entry ideas: Pullback buy 173.6–174.0; add on break/hold above 175.1.
– Stop‑loss: 172.4 (tight); wider swing stop 171.7.
finviz dynamic chart for  MTSI

2) MKSI
– Supports: 156.4, 155.2, 154.4
– Resistances: 157.5, 158.8, 160.0
– 30‑min path: Holding 156.4 favors a grind toward 157.5 and 158.8. Above 158.8, a measured move into 160 is feasible. Failure back under 155.2 risks a retrace to 154s.
– Targets: 158.0, 158.8, 160.0
– Entry ideas: Buy 156.6–156.9 on a higher‑low; momentum add through 157.6.
– Stop‑loss: 155.8 (tight); or 154.9 (roomy).
finviz dynamic chart for  MKSI

3) CRDO
– Supports: 177.0, 175.9, 174.5
– Resistances: 179.4 (HOD), 181.2, 183.5
– 30‑min path: First pullback toward 177.5–178.0 that holds should launch a re‑test of 179.4 and a push to 181–182. Continuation legs possible if the sector remains in risk‑on. Lose 175.9 and momentum likely pauses to 174.5.
– Targets: 181.2, 183.0–183.5, 185.0 (stretch if semis trend)
– Entry ideas: Scale in 177.6–178.3; breakout add on firm reclaim/hold over 179.5.
– Stop‑loss: 175.4–175.8 depending on size.
finviz dynamic chart for  CRDO

4) NRIX
– Supports: 17.35, 17.20, 17.00
– Resistances: 17.79, 18.10, 18.60
– 30‑min path: Expect a shallow pullback into 17.40–17.50; if that base holds, a push through 17.79 opens 18.10 then 18.60. Failure below 17.20 likely resets momentum.
– Targets: 17.95–18.10, 18.35, 18.60
– Entry ideas: Buy 17.40–17.55; add on break/hold above 17.80.
– Stop‑loss: 17.05 (tight); 16.90 (roomier/swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  NRIX

5) FTAI
– Supports: 172.2, 171.5, 170.0
– Resistances: 174.0, 174.7, 176.0
– 30‑min path: If 172.8–173.2 bids hold early, look for a grind back to 174.0 then 174.7. A strong tape could press 176. Lose 172.2 and you likely revisit 171.5/170 handle.
– Targets: 174.0, 174.7, 176.0
– Entry ideas: Accumulate 172.8–173.2 against 172.2; add through 174.0 on volume.
– Stop‑loss: 171.6.
finviz dynamic chart for  FTAI

6) ASML
– Supports: 1052.2, 1057.0, 1048.0
– Resistances: 1060.0, 1062.6, 1068–1070
– 30‑min path: Holding 1057 and clearing 1060 points to a measured push into 1062–1065, with a possible test of 1068–1070 on Day 2 if semis persist. Lose 1057 and a tag of 1052–1053 is likely before buyers try again.
– Targets: 1062.5, 1066.5, 1069.5–1070
– Entry ideas: Buy 1056–1058 on a higher‑low; add over 1060.5 if volume expands.
– Stop‑loss: 1051.8–1053.0 depending on risk.
finviz dynamic chart for  ASML

7) MRVL
– Supports: 88.61, 88.90, 88.20
– Resistances: 89.53, 89.92, 90.50
– 30‑min path: Above 88.9 and a clean push through 89.53, expect a test of 89.9–90.0; if that level flips to support, 90.5 is in play within 1–2 days. Failure below 88.6 likely delays the move.
– Targets: 89.9–90.0, 90.5, 91.0 (if the group squeezes)
– Entry ideas: Buy 88.9–89.1 on strength; breakout add through 89.55 with volume.
– Stop‑loss: 88.45.
finviz dynamic chart for  MRVL

What I’m avoiding for 1–3 day longs right now
– Financials (MCO, VRSK, FCNCA) and PEN: momentum points down; need reclamation of breakdown levels first.
– COHR: heavy mid‑day sell and only a tepid reclaim—needs a base.
– Microcaps (VEEE, EZGO, LOBO, SXTC, JWEL, HIND): highly noisy; any long requires fast trade management and confirmed reclaim candles.

If you want, I can refine support/resistance using your full daily data/ATR for each ticker and recalc position sizing and R multiples per setup.

Share: