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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 10/31/2025

October 31, 2025 5 min read

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-31 from 10:30 to 14:00, based on the intraday 30-minute data you provided. Note: The file did not include the prior 10–30 trading days, so the commentary below focuses on today’s intraday price/volume structure and inferred momentum; validate daily levels on your charts.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
– Healthcare/Biopharma/MedTech (LLY, VRTX, REGN, ISRG, RCUS, RAPT, CLNN, CBIO, SABS, BNR)
– Large-cap pharma showed relative strength intraday: LLY stair-stepped higher with higher highs/lows; VRTX bid and tight; REGN and ISRG remained under pressure with lower highs. Small/mid-cap biotech mixed but saw buyers step back in (RCUS reclaimed its dip and closed near the top of the intraday range). Net read: rotation favors large-cap pharma and selective biotech bounces (LLY, VRTX, RCUS).
– Software/Cloud/SaaS (APP, WDAY, TEAM, ZS, MNDY, APPF, CINT)
– Mixed tape. APPF trended up and closed near highs; WDAY held firm near intraday highs; ZS was range-bound. Meanwhile TEAM and APP faded with steady lower highs, and MNDY softened. Net read: stock-picking environment; momentum favors names pressing highs (APPF, WDAY) while laggards (TEAM, APP) face near-term supply.
– Life Sciences Tools/Diagnostics (TMO, WAT, MTD, MEDP)
– Constructive: TMO pushed to session highs late; WAT range-bound but firm; MTD and MEDP thin but stable. Net read: steady bid and potential follow-through (TMO leading).
– Financials (AXP, COF)
– Intraday drift lower with supply on bounces; lower highs dominated. Net read: tactically cautious near-term.
– Industrials/Materials/Chemicals (DOV, RS, ALB)
– DOV ground higher, RS faded, ALB indecisive. Net read: selective strength (DOV) amid uneven demand.
– Argentina exposure (CEPU, CAAP, ARGT)
– Early push with later fade and tighter ranges; CEPU held up best. Net read: tactical long setups possible on strength (CEPU) while ARGT/CAAP remain choppy.

Noticeable cross-sector patterns:
– Breakout candidates closed near intraday highs with constructive volume skew (LLY, APPF, TMO, VRTX).
– Laggards showed consistent lower highs and weak bounce participation (TEAM, APP, REGN, ISRG).
– Small/mid-cap biotech saw dip-buys succeed late (RCUS) but follow-through requires a range break.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Likely to go up (stronger intraday momentum/structure):
– LLY, VRTX, TMO, APPF, CEPU, RCUS
Strongest bullish signals: LLY (higher highs with strong reclaim), TMO (late-day push to highs), APPF (trend day closing near HOD)

Individual Stock Analysis:
Note on levels: Daily supply/demand levels are approximated from today’s visible extremes and obvious round-number zones due to lack of the last 30 daily candles in the file. Please confirm against your daily chart.

1) LLY
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 858.9–859.0; 855.1–855.5; 853.9
– Resistances: 861.9–862.0; 864.7–865.8; 870.0
– 30-min outlook (next 2–3 days)
– Bullish if price holds above 859 and reclaims 862–863, then pushes through 865.8. A clean 30-min close above 865.8 opens 870+.
– Failure back below 858.9 likely retests 855–856; deeper if 853.9 breaks.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 866.5
– T2: 870.0
– T3: 874–876 if momentum continues
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 859.2–860.0 (prior intraday demand)
– Breakout buy: 866–867 on volume through 865.8
– Stop-loss (initial risk)
– Tight: 856.0 (below intraday demand)
– Wider swing: 853.5 (below session low)
finviz dynamic chart for  LLY

2) TMO
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 565.3–565.5; 564.5; 563.0
– Resistances: 566.5; 568.0–570.0; 573.0–575.0
– 30-min outlook
– Momentum favorable above 565.5. Break/hold over 566.5 targets 568–570; strong close above 570 points to a 573–575 extension.
– Lose 564.5 and a 563 retest likely; under 563 negates near-term long.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 568.0
– T2: 570.5
– T3: 573–575
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 565.3–565.6
– Breakout buy: >566.6 with expanding volume
– Stop-loss
– Tight: 563.9
– Wider: 562.5
finviz dynamic chart for  TMO

3) APPF
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 251.8–252.0; 250.2; 247.7–248.0
– Resistances: 253.2; 255.0; 258–260
– 30-min outlook
– Trend intact while holding above 251.8. Through 253.2 on volume opens 255, then 258–260 if buyers persist.
– Lose 250.2 and momentum stalls; 247.7 is the line in the sand for bulls.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 254.5
– T2: 256.5
– T3: 259–260
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 251.8–252.2
– Breakout buy: >253.3 on strong 30-min close
– Stop-loss
– Tight: 249.8
– Wider: 247.4
finviz dynamic chart for  APPF

4) VRTX
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 423.4; 422.5; 421.9
– Resistances: 424.4; 425.0; 427–428
– 30-min outlook
– Grind-up structure; above 423.4 expect a test of 424.4/425. A 30-min close >425 opens 426.5 then 427–428.
– Below 422.5 invites a fade toward 421.9.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 425.0
– T2: 426.5
– T3: 428.0
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 423.0–423.5
– Breakout buy: >425.1 on volume
– Stop-loss
– Tight: 422.0
– Wider: 421.4
finviz dynamic chart for  VRTX

5) CEPU
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 15.64–15.70; 15.52; 15.36
– Resistances: 15.80; 16.00; 16.20–16.50
– 30-min outlook
– Momentum favors bulls on reclaim/hold above 15.70 and breakout through 15.80. A strong close above 15.80 targets 16.00 then 16.20+.
– Lose 15.52 and a fill toward 15.36 is likely.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 15.90
– T2: 16.10
– T3: 16.40
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 15.60–15.65
– Breakout buy: >15.81 with uptick in volume
– Stop-loss
– Tight: 15.45
– Wider: 15.32
finviz dynamic chart for  CEPU

6) RCUS
– Daily key levels
– Supports: 19.35–19.40; 19.24; 19.18
– Resistances: 19.53–19.58; 19.80; 20.00–20.30
– 30-min outlook
– Strong reclaim off lows; above 19.40, a push through 19.53–19.58 can accelerate to 19.80 then 20.00+. Watch for expanding volume on the break.
– Back below 19.24 risks a retest of 19.18 and stalls the setup.
– 1–3 day swing targets
– T1: 19.70
– T2: 19.95
– T3: 20.30
– Entry ideas
– Pullback buy: 19.30–19.40
– Breakout buy: >19.60 with strong 30-min candle
– Stop-loss
– Tight: 19.15
– Wider: 19.05
finviz dynamic chart for  RCUS

Additional tactical notes:
– Watch Software bifurcation: APPF/WDAY strength vs TEAM/APP weakness; consider relative strength pair selection for beta-adjusted risk.
– Large-cap healthcare rotation benefits LLY/VRTX; avoid names making lower highs (REGN/ISRG) unless they reclaim intraday pivots.
– If the broader market risk tone softens, Financials (AXP/COF) could continue to weigh; prioritize setups with clear higher-low structures and clean breakouts.

Risk management:
– Size positions so a stop at the defined level risks no more than your planned percentage per trade.
– If a breakout fails on the same day (back below trigger), reduce or exit—momentum trades should work quickly.

If you can share the last 30 daily candles (OHLCV), I’ll refine the daily support/resistance zones and ATR-based targets with higher precision.

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