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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 10/03/2025

October 3, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (US Eastern Time)

Analyzed time window: 2025-10-03 from 10:00 to 14:00 ET, based on the 30-minute bars you provided. Note: You asked for 30-day and 10-day context; only intraday (partial-day) data were supplied, so the analysis emphasizes today’s 30-minute action and recent momentum tells. Verify daily levels on your platform before trading.

Sector/industry read-through from the basket:

  • Managed care/health insurers strong: HUM trended persistently higher with expanding range into the afternoon; MOH firmed above 200 and held bids. ELV lagged earlier but stabilized late. Tickers: HUM, MOH, ELV.
  • Biotech/therapeutics mixed with selective strength: ACIU and IMNM curled up into the afternoon with higher lows; CYTK, MDGL mostly tight/flat; ATRA, ALXO, LUNG subdued/illiquid. Tickers: ACIU, IMNM, CYTK, MDGL, ATRA, ALXO, LUNG, BFRI.
  • Industrials weak: Machinery and rails faded intraday. ROK, PH eased; UNP, NSC slipped through mid-day supports.
  • Tech/megas mixed-to-soft: AAPL edged lower after a noon fade; INTU dribbled off highs; ISRG held tight and constructive.
  • Crypto miners risk-off: CIFR and IREN sold off from midday highs with heavy volume—a distribution feel intraday.
  • Lithium complex soft: SGML, SLI, LITM all faded through successive lows; MVST also weak.
  • Consumer/other: TTWO drifted lower; BETR saw broad afternoon selling.

Noticeable patterns:

  • Rotation into defensive healthcare (HUM > MOH strength) while cyclicals (rails, machinery) and high-beta themes (crypto miners, lithium) were sold.
  • Select small/mid-cap biotech showing accumulation into the afternoon (ACIU, IMNM), a common pre-breakout tell for short-term swings.
  • Broad afternoon lower-highs across cyclicals; tight consolidation with higher lows in a few quality names (ISRG).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)

More likely to rise (bullish or constructive setups):

  • HUM (strongest trend/momentum)
  • ACIU (small-cap biotech curl; breakout candidate)
  • IMNM (higher-low base, buyers into close)
  • ISRG (tight range, constructive if market firms)
  • MOH (follow-through potential with HUM leadership)
  • TOI (speculative bounce/continuation if 3.53–3.55 holds)

Stocks showing strongest bullish signals today: HUM, then ACIU and IMNM.

Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans

HUM

  • Rationale: Persistent higher highs/lows through the session with expanding range; clear relative strength vs basket.
  • Key support (daily/intraday zones to verify on daily): 284.06; 281.40–281.46; 279.51.
  • Key resistance/supply: 287.51 (HOD); 289.00; 291.50–293.00.
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for an early pullback toward 284–285 to build a higher low; reclaim and push toward 288. A strong session can extend toward 291–293.
  • Price targets (1–3 day swing): T1 288.8–289.3; T2 291.5–293.0; T3 296–297 (use your daily ATR; targets use today’s expansion as proxy).
  • Entry ideas: Scale 285.0–286.0 on pullbacks that hold VWAP/284; momentum add on 287.60–287.80 break with volume.
  • Stop-loss: 283.80 (tight) or 281.20 (swing); invalidate below 279.40.
  • finviz dynamic chart for HUM

ACIU

  • Rationale: Afternoon curl and close near highs; buyers supported dips all session.
  • Key support: 3.625; 3.595; 3.560.
  • Key resistance/supply: 3.72; 3.75; 3.80–3.85.
  • 30-min outlook: Break/hold above 3.72 likely runs to 3.75/3.80; healthy retest into 3.60–3.62 could precede push higher.
  • Targets (1–3 day): T1 3.75; T2 3.85; T3 4.00 (ATR on many small-cap biotechs ~0.20–0.35—verify and scale targets accordingly).
  • Entries: 3.60–3.62 on pullback that holds; or 3.72–3.73 breakout with volume.
  • Stops: 3.56 (tight) or 3.52 (swing).
  • finviz dynamic chart for ACIU

IMNM

  • Rationale: Transitioned from flat to higher highs; held gains into the afternoon—accumulation vibe.
  • Key support: 12.07; 11.96; 11.915.
  • Key resistance/supply: 12.265; 12.55; 12.80.
  • 30-min outlook: Push above 12.27 opens a move to 12.55; acceptance above 12.55 targets 12.80 within 1–3 sessions.
  • Targets: T1 12.45; T2 12.55–12.60; T3 12.80–13.00 (use your ATR; today’s impulse suggests ~0.4–0.7 feasible).
  • Entries: 12.10–12.20 on higher-low; or 12.28–12.30 breakout.
  • Stops: 11.95 (tight) or 11.88 (swing, below session base).
  • finviz dynamic chart for IMNM

ISRG

  • Rationale: Tight, constructive range; relative stability vs broader weakness—setup for a measured push if market firms.
  • Key support: 453.26; 452.35; 453.43.
  • Key resistance/supply: 455.61; 456.59; 458.00–459.50.
  • 30-min outlook: A 455.6 break/hold targets 456.6 then 458–459.5; failure likely retests 453.5–452.5 before another attempt.
  • Targets: T1 456.6; T2 458.5–459.5; T3 462–465 (approx one ATR on ISRG—verify current ATR).
  • Entries: 454.0–454.4 on pullback that holds; or 455.70–455.90 through resistance on volume.
  • Stops: 452.20 (tight) or 451.80 (swing).
  • finviz dynamic chart for ISRG

MOH

  • Rationale: Bid above 200 held; attempting higher-low structure alongside HUM strength.
  • Key support: 201.01; 200.73; 200.28.
  • Key resistance/supply: 201.89; 202.29; 203.00–204.50.
  • 30-min outlook: Base 200.7–201.1 then attempt 202.3–202.5; acceptance above 202.3 can target low-204s within 1–3 days.
  • Targets: T1 202.3; T2 203.5–204.5; T3 206.0 (use your ATR; typical MOH ATR ~3–4—verify).
  • Entries: 201.0–201.3 on pullbacks; or 202.35 break with rising volume.
  • Stops: 200.20 (tight) or 199.70 (swing).
  • finviz dynamic chart for MOH

TOI (speculative)

  • Rationale: Intraday washout to 3.50s then higher close; scope for bounce if 3.53–3.55 holds.
  • Key support: 3.535; 3.525; 3.500.
  • Key resistance/supply: 3.60; 3.65–3.68; 3.75–3.78.
  • 30-min outlook: Hold above 3.53 → reclaim 3.60 → push to 3.66/3.75; thin name—expect wicks.
  • Targets: T1 3.65–3.66; T2 3.75; T3 3.85–3.90 (small-cap ATR often ~0.20–0.30—verify).
  • Entries: 3.54–3.56 on hold/reclaim; or 3.61–3.62 through VWAP with volume.
  • Stops: 3.49 (tight) or 3.45 (swing).
  • finviz dynamic chart for TOI

Notes and risk management

  • Many cyclicals and high-beta themes (CIFR, IREN, SGML, SLI, LITM, MVST, TTWO, UNP, NSC, ROK, PH) showed distribution intraday; avoid longs there until 30-min higher lows reclaim VWAP with volume.
  • Because only a partial-day snapshot was provided, daily support/resistance and ATR-based targets are approximations. Confirm on your daily chart/ATR readouts before placing trades.
  • Keep position sizing modest into Monday/Tuesday; let early 30-min structure confirm (higher low + volume expansion) before adding.
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