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Continuation Breakout Friday 2PM 1/09/2026

January 9, 2026 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2026-01-08 10:00 to 2026-01-09 14:00)
Note: The data provided are intraday 30‑minute bars from the last two sessions (not full 30 days). Commentary below emphasizes today’s price/volume behavior and short-term momentum tells; use your daily chart to refine higher‑timeframe levels.

  • Semiconductors/EDA
    • Mixed but with selective strength in equipment. LRCX trended higher all session (214.9 → 218.9) on rising participation; NVMI held firm around 393 with tight dips bought; NXPI was tight/sideways; KLIC bled lower; SNPS faded late. Takeaway: rotation into semi equipment momentum (LRCX), neutral-to-soft in design/IDM names (SNPS, KLIC, NXPI).
    • Tickers referenced: LRCX, NVMI, NXPI, KLIC, SNPS.
  • Aerospace & Defense
    • Stock picking over beta. AVAV showed steady bid and a push to 370.5 before modest pullback; KTOS faded; BWXT, LDOS, CACI, MRCY mostly range-bound; XAR (ETF) flat. AVAV is the clear RS leader into the close.
    • Tickers: AVAV, KTOS, BWXT, LDOS, CACI, MRCY, XAR.
  • Life Sciences/Tools
    • TMO stair-stepped higher (611 → 618) with clean higher lows; A, CRL and MTD were mixed/flat. Bid for high-quality large caps (TMO) into the bell.
    • Tickers: TMO, A, CRL, MTD.
  • AI/Compute/Space and adjacent “momentum tech”
    • APLD exploded on heavy volume with a late-session breakout (36.1 base → 37.9 HOD, close 37.6). QUIK small-cap breakout through 7.80. RKLB couldn’t hold gains (87 → 85.5) despite high volume. BKSY range-bound.
    • Tickers: APLD, QUIK, RKLB, BKSY.
  • Energy/Materials/Chemicals
    • SCCO indecisive around 169; APD churned; FEAM leaked. EOSE printed a strong bounce off 14.66 lows, finishing near 15 with brisk tape—speculative momentum potential if 15 reclaims and holds.
    • Tickers: SCCO, APD, FEAM, EOSE.
  • Industrials/Automation
    • ROK and VMI were subdued; PLXS tight; ESE edged up. FTAI hovered near highs (250) with steady interest.
    • Tickers: ROK, VMI, PLXS, ESE, FTAI.
  • Consumer/Other risk-on pockets
    • ULTA steady; EWCZ slight uptick; HLF flat. CASY saw a sharp mid-day drop with partial recovery—two-way risk. Crypto miner HUT was weak vs. tape.
    • Tickers: ULTA, EWCZ, HLF, CASY, HUT.

Noticeable patterns
– Momentum breadth is narrow: strength in select equipment (LRCX), high-quality tools (TMO), and high-beta momentum (APLD, AVAV, QUIK). Risk-off in crypto miners and several small-cap bios mid-day. Late-day pushers tended to hold a good portion of their gains—constructive for 1–3 day continuation.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely to rise/continue:
– APLD, LRCX, AVAV, TMO, APLX, OKLS, QUIK, EOSE
Strongest bullish signals into the close: APLD, LRCX, AVAV, TMO

Individual Stock Analysis (levels from today’s 30‑min action; refine with your daily chart)

APLD
– Key supports: 37.50; 36.55; 36.00
– Key resistances: 37.94 (HOD); 38.50; 40.00
– 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early dip toward 37.2–37.6, then a push to 37.9–38.2. If volume stays elevated, day 2 can extend 38.5 → 39.8/40.
– Price targets (1–3 day): 38.00; 38.50; stretch 39.8–40.00 (use your daily ATR to validate stretch)
– Entries: 37.50–37.60 pullback; or 38.00+ breakout with volume
– Stop: 37.15 (tight) or 36.40 (swing)
– finviz dynamic chart for APLD

LRCX
– Key supports: 218.00; 217.30; 216.65
– Key resistances: 218.97 (HOD); 220.00; 222.00
– 30‑min outlook: Hold above 217.3–218 and grind to 219–220 retest; day 2 probe 221–222 if semis bid.
– Price targets: 219.50; 220.50; 221.8–222.5
– Entries: 217.40–217.80 pullback; or 219.10+ breakout
– Stop: 216.60 (beneath afternoon higher low)
– finviz dynamic chart for LRCX

AVAV
– Key supports: 366.90; 365.35–365.90; 364.00
– Key resistances: 370.50; 372.00; 375.00
– 30‑min outlook: Above 366.5, look for reclaim of 369 → 371–372. Day 2 could tag 374–375 if defense bid rotates back in.
– Price targets: 370.5; 372.0–373.0; 375.0
– Entries: 366.7–367.2 pullback; or 369.5+ breakout
– Stop: 364.90 (tight) or 363.70 (swing under session base)
– finviz dynamic chart for AVAV

TMO
– Key supports: 616.50; 614.45; 611.00
– Key resistances: 619.70; 620.50; 623.00
– 30‑min outlook: Continuation grind. Retest 619–620 likely; day 2 drift toward 622–623 with market tailwind.
– Price targets: 619.5; 621.5; 623.0
– Entries: 615.8–616.6 pullback; or 619.8+ breakout
– Stop: 614.80 (below prior demand)
– finviz dynamic chart for TMO

APLX
– Key supports: 113.00; 110.00; 107.80
– Key resistances: 115.12 (HOD); 118.00; 120.00
– 30‑min outlook: High-volatility runner. Expect shakeout to 111–113, then a reattempt at 115. Over 115.2 unlocks 117–119. Manage size.
– Price targets: 115.0; 117.5–118.0; 120.0 (ATR-style stretch—confirm on daily)
– Entries: 112.0–113.0 pullback; or 115.20+ breakout
– Stop: 110.90 (swing) or 111.80 (tighter)
– finviz dynamic chart for APLX

OKLS
– Key supports: 8.52; 8.46; 8.28–8.30
– Key resistances: 8.61; 8.65; 8.80
– 30‑min outlook: Likely consolidate 8.45–8.60, then press 8.65–8.75. If volume reappears, day 2 can test 8.90–9.00.
– Price targets: 8.65; 8.75–8.80; 8.95–9.00
– Entries: 8.48–8.54 pullback; or 8.66+ breakout
– Stop: 8.28 (below afternoon demand)
– finviz dynamic chart for OKLS

QUIK
– Key supports: 7.80; 7.69; 7.63
– Key resistances: 7.82 (HOD); 8.00; 8.20
– 30‑min outlook: Early retest 7.70–7.75 is healthy; watch a clean 7.90–8.00 breakout. Needs volume confirmation given small-cap profile.
– Price targets: 7.95–8.00; 8.15–8.20
– Entries: 7.72–7.76 pullback; or 7.83+ breakout
– Stop: 7.62 (below intraday base)
– finviz dynamic chart for QUIK

EOSE
– Key supports: 14.87; 14.70; 14.50
– Key resistances: 15.02–15.14; 15.50; 16.00
– 30‑min outlook: Constructive if it holds above 14.85 and reclaims 15.05. Over 15.15 opens 15.30–15.50; day 2 stretch 15.8–16.0 if momentum persists.
– Price targets: 15.15; 15.45–15.50; 15.90–16.00
– Entries: 14.86–14.92 pullback; or 15.06+ breakout
– Stop: 14.65 (below higher low zone)
– finviz dynamic chart for EOSE

Quick notes on other watchlist names (not primary long setups right now)
– NVMI: Neutral in a tight band; a push >395.5 would upgrade to long watch; loss of 392.5 risks fade.
– RKLB, KTOS, HUT, LDI: Weak closes—avoid longs until they reclaim intraday lower highs with volume.
– FTAI: Strong but range-bound at highs; needs >251.7 expansion to trigger.

Risk management
– These are short-term momentum reads off 30‑min structure. For ATR-based targeting, anchor T3 to ~0.75–1.0x your measured daily ATR(14) from the daily chart.
– Size down on low-liquidity names (QUIK, OKLS, EOSE/APLX when they go into volatility expansion).

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