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Continuation Breakout Friday 1PM 12/26/2025

December 26, 2025 5 min read

Analysis window (EST): 2025-12-26, 10:30–13:00. Note: Only an intraday 30‑minute slice was provided; 10–30 day context wasn’t included. The commentary below is grounded in the supplied window and typical momentum flows for a 1–5 day horizon.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Precious metals and metals/mining: Silver strength was evident via AGQ (higher highs with heavy volume). Gold miners (NUGT) were softer-to-sideways while AEM dipped—classic divergence where metals lead while miners lag. Base metals exposure (NEXA) bid on a steady grind higher and higher lows, suggesting broad metals support. Tickers referenced: AGQ, NUGT, AEM, NEXA.
– Micro/small-cap momentum: Strong range expansion and volume in SHMD and DBGI, plus a late push in ANL. This is the day’s clearest momentum pocket, often leading 1–3 day swings when pullbacks hold. Tickers: SHMD, DBGI, ANL.
– Large-cap tech/software: ASML, MDB, HUBS were range-bound with tight intraday ranges and light/mid volumes—more “hold/coil” than impulse. Tickers: ASML, MDB, HUBS.
– Managed care/healthcare: UNH and ELV were stable, grinding but not expanding—more defensive tone. QIPT flat. NTRA slightly heavy. Tickers: UNH, ELV, QIPT, NTRA.
– Other large caps: MELI and AVY were quiet and two-sided. CAMP, SNT, QIPT largely illiquid/sideways in this window.

Takeaway trends:
– Rotation into metals/silver (AGQ) and selective base metals (NEXA).
– Microcap momentum expansion (SHMD, DBGI, ANL) with pullback-and-hold patterns that often see second legs.
– Miners (AEM, NUGT) lagging the metals pop—if metals continue, miners can catch up, but today they didn’t confirm.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuation candidates (ranked by momentum quality and confirmation needs):
1) SHMD – strong expansion, high volume, held a higher low after a sharp push.
2) AGQ – metals strength with elevated volume; look for 190+ holds for continuation.
3) NEXA – steady uptrend intraday; constructive dips bought.
4) DBGI – microcap with repeated tests of 11.74–12.00; needs clean breakout and volume.
5) ANL – low-float curl with higher highs; needs to hold 1.61–1.64 on dips.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)

SHMD
– Key supports (daily zones using today’s structure):
1) 5.85–5.90 demand (12:30 flush low zone)
2) 6.00 round-number pivot
3) 5.70 prior base before liftoff
– Key resistances:
1) 6.04–6.05 intraday cap
2) 6.41–6.52 supply (session highs)
3) 6.70 extension/psych zone
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base above 6.00 and push into 6.20–6.50. If 6.52 clears on volume, extension toward 6.70.
– Risk is a fade back into 5.85; losing 5.85 turns it into a wait-and-see.
– Swing targets: 6.20, 6.50, stretch 6.70.
– Entry ideas: 6.00–6.05 retest with tight risk; or momentum add through 6.20 after a higher low.
– Stop-loss: 5.82 (below 5.85 demand); conservative traders can use 5.68 if volatility expands.
finviz dynamic chart for  SHMD

AGQ
– Key supports:
1) 188.8–189.0 intraday mid (prior bids)
2) 187.3–187.6 demand
3) 186.4 session low
– Key resistances:
1) 190.1–190.3 immediate supply
2) 191.5 round/overhead
3) 193.0 extension zone
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Continuation if 189–190 holds as support; pushes into 190.5–192.0. A decisive 190.3+ reclaim with rising volume targets 192–193.
– Failure back below 187.6 risks a range reset toward 186.4.
– Swing targets: 190.5, 192.0, 193.0.
– Entry ideas: Buy 188.8–189.2 pullbacks; or breakout add over 190.3 with strong tape in silver.
– Stop-loss: 186.9 (below the 187 shelf) or 186.3 (beneath session low) for wider risk.
finviz dynamic chart for  AGQ

NEXA
– Key supports:
1) 9.29–9.33 demand (bids repeatedly stepped in)
2) 9.23 prior dip
3) 9.20 session low/round
– Key resistances:
1) 9.41–9.47 supply band
2) 9.60 round/next shelf
3) 9.75–9.80 extension
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Grind-up structure favors retests of 9.45–9.47; breakout above 9.47 opens 9.60 then 9.75.
– Lose 9.29 and it likely mean-reverts toward 9.23/9.20 for a stronger base.
– Swing targets: 9.45, 9.60, 9.75.
– Entry ideas: 9.28–9.33 pullback buys; or breakout add >9.47 after a tight flag.
– Stop-loss: 9.17–9.19 (below 9.20 round and morning low).
finviz dynamic chart for  NEXA

DBGI
– Key supports:
1) 11.57–11.60 intraday support
2) 11.40 prior pivot
3) 11.31–11.33 buyers stepped in
– Key resistances:
1) 11.74 repeated cap
2) 12.00–12.03 psychological + session high
3) 12.50 extension/squeeze target
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Break-and-hold over 11.74 likely squeezes through 12.00 toward 12.20–12.50.
– Failure to clear 11.74 keeps it choppy between 11.40–11.70.
– Swing targets: 11.90, 12.20, 12.50–12.80 (if squeeze triggers).
– Entry ideas: 11.45–11.60 pullbacks with clear higher low; momentum add above 12.03 on volume.
– Stop-loss: 11.20 (beneath intraday supports) given microcap volatility.
finviz dynamic chart for  DBGI

ANL
– Key supports:
1) 1.64 intraday pivot
2) 1.61 prior higher low
3) 1.60 base/round-number
– Key resistances:
1) 1.70 local supply
2) 1.744 session high
3) 1.80 round/extension
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– If 1.64–1.66 holds, expect retests of 1.70 and 1.74; breakout can extend to 1.80.
– Lose 1.60 and the pattern likely fades back into prior range.
– Swing targets: 1.72, 1.76, 1.80.
– Entry ideas: 1.62–1.66 on dips with a tight stop; add above 1.70 on expanding volume.
– Stop-loss: 1.58 (below the 1.60 base).
finviz dynamic chart for  ANL

Additional quick reads (not primary longs)
– ASML: Tight coil 1072–1075. A push/hold above 1075 could bring a 10–15 point squeeze, but today’s tape lacked thrust. finviz dynamic chart for  ASML
– UNH/ELV: Defensive grind; better as relative-strength holds rather than momentum longs. finviz dynamic chart for  UNH finviz dynamic chart for  ELV
– AEM/NUGT: Metals lag on miners—wait for confirmation (AEM reclaiming 183.5 or NUGT >211) before pressing. finviz dynamic chart for  AEM finviz dynamic chart for  NUGT

Risk notes
– Leveraged ETFs (AGQ, NUGT) move fast; size down and honor stops.
– Micro/small-caps (SHMD, DBGI, ANL) can gap; use hard stops and avoid chasing extended candles.

If you can share the full 10–30 day daily and 30-minute history, I’ll refine support/resistance with higher confidence and calibrate ATR-based targets more precisely.

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