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Continuation Breakout Friday 1PM 12/19/2025

December 19, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-12-19 10:30 to 13:30)

Note: You provided intraday 30-minute bars for a partial day only. Without 10–30 days of daily candles, I’m inferring short-term momentum/relative strength and volume character from this snapshot and known sector groupings. Verify daily levels on your charts before execution.

  • Precious metals (gold/silver miners and ETFs): Mixed-to-firm early, then mid-day consolidation. Standouts with accumulation/relative strength: AG, CDE, HL, GDXJ, NUGT; GLD/WPM/NEM/FNV/RGLD largely range-bound; SIL slightly faded late. This looks like a healthy pause after a morning pop—bullish continuation possible if miners reclaim session highs. Referenced: AG, CDE, HL, GDXJ, NUGT, GLD, WPM, NEM, FNV, RGLD, SIL, EGO, PAAS, BVN, PPLT.
  • Defense/Aerospace: Strong intraday trend up with higher highs/higher lows: HII, LMT, NOC, RTX, LHX. Broad group strength suggests follow-through potential. Referenced: HII, LMT, NOC, RTX, LHX.
  • Semis/Optical/Hardware: MU trended strongly higher; CIEN broke out and held gains; JBL steady; PI reclaimed 175 late. This pocket shows leadership continuation risk-on. Referenced: MU, CIEN, JBL, PI.
  • Large-cap Healthcare/Biopharma: ISRG steady bid; AMGN/REGN/VRTX tight and constructive; insurers ELV/MOH steady, UNH flat. Not leaders but supportive tape. Referenced: ISRG, AMGN, REGN, VRTX, ELV, MOH, UNH.
  • Small/mid-cap biotech/momentum: Heavy interest and clean pushes: ALAB (power trend, big volume), VERA (midday expansion), LUNR (very high volume rotation), IPSC (sub-$1 grind higher). NTLA/CYBN lagged. Referenced: ALAB, VERA, LUNR, IPSC, NTLA, CYBN.
  • Travel/Leisure: NCLH and RCL faded then tried to bounce; EXPE reclaimed early weakness. Mixed. Referenced: NCLH, RCL, EXPE.
  • Solar/Alt energy: SHLS/MAXN weak intraday—no bid. Referenced: SHLS, MAXN.
  • Industrials/Materials: ATI steady trend up; SCCO/ITRG basey; FIGR volatile but range-held. Referenced: ATI, SCCO, ITRG, FIGR.

Notable patterns
– Defense and Semis led with persistence (HII, LMT, MU, CIEN).
– Silver miners saw accumulation and coil (AG, CDE, HL) into lunch hours—ripe for range break resumption.
– Momentum bios (ALAB, VERA, LUNR) posted clean expansions on elevated volume.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

Most likely upside continuation candidates:
– MU, CIEN (leadership tech/optical; clean intraday trends and closes near highs)
– HII, LMT (defense group strength; higher highs/higher lows intraday)
– ALAB, VERA, LUNR (momentum bios with volume expansion; potential for second-day/third-day pushes)
– AG, CDE (silver miners with accumulation and sector tailwind)
– ATI (steady grinder with higher highs intraday)

Strongest bullish signals: MU, CIEN, HII, ALAB, LUNR

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans)
Levels are derived from today’s intraday ranges plus obvious round-number supply/demand. Confirm with your daily charts for confluence.

MU (Semiconductors)
– Support: 264.10, 262.13, 261.05
– Resistance: 266.60 (HOD), 268.50, 270.00
– 30-min path: Prefer a shallow pullback toward 265–264.5, then trend continuation toward 266.6/268.5. Failure to hold 264 risks a VWAP drift to 262s before another attempt.
– Entries: 265.0–265.4 on dip; or 266.65 breakout/add on reclaim with volume.
– Stops: 262.0 (tight swing), or 261.0 (looser).
– Targets (1–3 days): 266.6, 268.5, 270.5–272 if semis stay bid.
finviz dynamic chart for  MU

CIEN (Optical/Networking)
– Support: 224.00, 222.28, 220.58
– Resistance: 226.24 (HOD), 228.00, 230.00
– 30-min path: Expect flag over 224.8–225.5 then push through 226.2 toward 228. If 224 fails, look for a higher low near 222.5.
– Entries: 224.8–225.3 pullback buy; or 226.30 breakout with volume.
– Stops: 222.20 (beneath flag base) or 220.40 (conservative).
– Targets: 226.2, 228.0, 230.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  CIEN

HII (Defense)
– Support: 333.73, 332.94, 332.12
– Resistance: 336.00 (intraday), 338.00, 340.00
– 30-min path: Grind continues if 334–334.5 holds; breakout over 336 opens 338. Rejection at 336 likely retests 333.9.
– Entries: 334.0–334.4 first pullback; or 336.10 breakout.
– Stops: 332.90 (below higher low).
– Targets: 336.0, 338.0, 340.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  HII

LMT (Defense)
– Support: 472.56, 472.03, 470.03
– Resistance: 474.16 (HOD), 475.50, 478.00
– 30-min path: Look for 472.8–473.2 to hold and lift through 474.2. Defense tailwind supports higher.
– Entries: 472.8–473.2; or 474.20 breakout.
– Stops: 471.40 (tight) or 470.00 (looser).
– Targets: 474.2, 475.5, 478.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  LMT

ALAB (Biotech momentum)
– Support: 161.60, 158.76, 157.20
– Resistance: 163.94 (HOD), 165.00, 167.00–170.00 zone
– 30-min path: Expect early dip buy into 162–161 and a second-leg push through 164–165 if volume returns. Under 158.7 the momentum setup degrades.
– Entries: 162.2–162.7; add 160.8–161.2 if defended; or 164.00 breakout.
– Stops: 158.20–157.20 depending on risk.
– Targets: 164.0, 167.0, 170.0–172.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  ALAB

VERA (Biotech)
– Support: 50.22, 50.15, 49.80 (round)
– Resistance: 51.72 (HOD), 52.50, 53.50
– 30-min path: Constructive if 50.2–50.6 holds; look for expansion above 51.7. If it slips under 50, expect a reset before another attempt.
– Entries: 50.60–50.90; or 51.80 breakout.
– Stops: 49.90.
– Targets: 51.7, 52.5, 53.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  VERA

LUNR (Momentum/Spec)
– Support: 14.06–14.10, 14.00, 13.99
– Resistance: 14.61, 14.70–14.95, 15.00–15.40
– 30-min path: High-volume coil; watch a minor dip to 14.20–14.30 then a breakout attempt through 14.60s. Momentum needs volume to stick.
– Entries: 14.20–14.35 on dip; or 14.62–14.65 breakout.
– Stops: 13.95.
– Targets: 14.70, 14.95, 15.40.
finviz dynamic chart for  LUNR

AG (Silver miner)
– Support: 16.81, 16.70, 16.69
– Resistance: 17.07, 17.10–17.20, 17.40
– 30-min path: Sector-driven; hold over 16.85–16.90 leads to a run at 17.07/17.20 if metals firm. Lose 16.70 and it likely back-fills.
– Entries: 16.85–16.95; or 17.08 breakout.
– Stops: 16.60.
– Targets: 17.05, 17.20, 17.40.
finviz dynamic chart for  AG

CDE (Silver miner)
– Support: 18.43–18.44, 18.28–18.29, 18.19
– Resistance: 18.54, 18.60–18.70, 18.90
– 30-min path: Favor a tight flag above 18.40 then push to 18.60+. If 18.28 breaks, wait for 18.20 demand to show.
– Entries: 18.35–18.45 on dip; or 18.55 breakout.
– Stops: 18.19.
– Targets: 18.60, 18.75, 18.90.
finviz dynamic chart for  CDE

ATI (Specialty metals)
– Support: 112.57, 111.93, 111.47
– Resistance: 113.25, 113.50–113.80, 114.50
– 30-min path: Intraday trend intact; buy-the-dip toward 112.6 for a push through 113.25/113.8. Below 111.9 delays.
– Entries: 112.60–112.80; or 113.10–113.30 with momentum.
– Stops: 111.90.
– Targets: 113.25, 113.80, 114.50.
finviz dynamic chart for  ATI

Bonus watch (same logic, not fully detailed above): ISRG, HII/NOC/RTX basket, HL.

Risk management and execution notes
– Use your daily chart to validate these intraday-derived levels; align with 10–30 day supply/demand and moving averages.
– Size down on thinner names (ALAB, LUNR) and require volume confirmation on breakouts.
– If precious metals ETFs (GLD/GDXJ) fade early next session, tighten stops on AG/CDE exposure; if they firm and reclaim VWAP, consider adds on strength.

If you can provide 10–30 days of daily candles or ATR data, I’ll refine the targets/levels using precise daily structure and recent ATR.

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