Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed window (EST): 2025-11-26 10:30 to 2025-11-28 13:00, using the uploaded 30‑minute bars. Note: the dataset provided only covers these intraday slices, so the commentary emphasizes very recent momentum rather than a full 10–30 day lookback.
- Semiconductors/Photonics leading risk-on:
- Broad strength with higher-highs into midday and volume expansion: CRDO, MTSI, MKSI, ASML. COHR showed volatility with wide ranges but closed the latest block firming above 164 after a deep dip.
- Pattern: steady 30‑min higher highs/higher lows and late-session continuation (CRDO 173.4→178.4; MTSI 172.6→175.1; MKSI 154.4→156.5; ASML 1044.8→1062.6).
- Info services/IT consulting mixed:
- IBM mostly flat intraday and tightly ranged; CACI/VRSK choppy to slightly soft; MCO faded as liquidity thinned.
- Pattern: low momentum, mean-reversion action; buyers not committing above intraday VWAP into the last hour.
- Financials/banks/asset managers soft:
- FCNCA faded from 1905 to 1878; MCO rolled to 490s; AMG range-bound with sellers capping pops.
- Biotech/Pharma mostly muted, pockets of momentum:
- NCNA stair-stepped up (4.08→4.35→holding 4.22–4.28); VEEE (micro-cap consumer/EV marine) behaved like a momentum small cap with heavy volume morning push (2.08→2.93) then flagging around 2.55–2.60. Most others (GOSS, TRDA, SNTI, ATYR, TYRA, PEPG, BCAB, SXTC, JBIO) were range-bound to slightly soft.
- Medical devices and industrials:
- PEN trended down; FTAI flat-to-choppy.
- Energy/Uranium:
- LEU snapped lower in the noon hour; sellers active beneath 262.
Noticeable intraday trend/pattern takeaways:
– Leadership is concentrated in semis (CRDO, MTSI, MKSI, ASML), with clean trend structures and real volume.
– Small-cap momentum is selective; VEEE showed classic spike→flag behavior that can fuel day-2/3 continuation if the flag resolves up.
– Financials and medical devices faced distribution; bounces likely fade until they reclaim intraday VWAPs with volume.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher (bullish bias):
– CRDO, MTSI, MKSI, ASML, NCNA, VEEE
Strongest bullish signals:
– CRDO, MTSI, MKSI, ASML: sustained 30‑min higher highs with rising volume into/after 12:30; buyers defended pullbacks near prior 30‑min highs.
– NCNA: steady bid and closes near the upper third of its intraday range.
– VEEE: high relative volume, constructive flagging above rising intraday support.
Individual Stock Analysis (levels, 30‑min path, entries/targets/stops)
Note: With only the provided intraday slices, “daily” zones are anchored to today’s swing highs/lows and nearby round-number confluence that typically act as supply/demand.
CRDO
– Key supports: 176.0–176.2; 175.5; 174.5
– Key resistances: 178.4 (HOD); 179.5–180.0; 181.5
– 30‑min path (2–3 days): Favor an opening dip-and-rip that holds 176; a hold above 177.7–178.0 can squeeze into 179.5–181.5. Lose 175.5 and you likely retest 174.5 before buyers try again.
– Swing targets (1–3 days, est. ATR ~6–8): 179.5, 181.5, stretch 183–184 if semis continue risk-on.
– Entries: Stagger near 176.2–176.8 on higher-low confirmation; momentum add on 178.5 break with volume.
– Stop-loss: Core stop below 174.4 (room under the 12:30 low); tighter stop 175.4 if trading momentum.
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MTSI
– Key supports: 174.0; 173.2; 172.6
– Key resistances: 175.1 (HOD/round 175); 176.0; 177.5
– 30‑min path: Consolidation above 174 favors a push through 175.1; sustained above 175.5 opens 176.8–177.5. Failure back through 173.2 risks a full fade toward 172.6.
– Swing targets (ATR ~4–5): 175.6, 176.8, 177.8–178.5.
– Entries: 174.1–174.4 pullback with higher-low; add through 175.2 on volume.
– Stop-loss: 173.0–173.1 (beneath structure); tighter 173.5 for active management.
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MKSI
– Key supports: 155.2; 154.7; 154.4
– Key resistances: 156.5 (HOD); 157.5; 159.0
– 30‑min path: Strong trend day characteristics; if 155.8–156.0 holds on early pullback, look for a retest of 156.5, then 157.5. A close above 157.5 sets up 159 over 1–3 days.
– Swing targets (ATR ~3–4): 156.6, 157.6–158.0, 159.0.
– Entries: 155.3–155.8 on a controlled dip; momentum add over 156.6 with expanding volume.
– Stop-loss: 154.3–154.5 (below the 12:00/12:30 basing area).
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ASML
– Key supports: 1053.0; 1050.0; 1047.2–1047.6
– Key resistances: 1060.0–1062.6 (HOD zone); 1070; 1080
– 30‑min path: Healthy uptrend; hold above 1053–1055 and buyers likely probe 1062 again. Break and hold over 1063 opens 1070 then 1080 on follow-through.
– Swing targets (ATR ~25–35): 1063, 1070–1075, 1080–1085.
– Entries: 1050–1054 on higher-low structure; add through 1063 with strong tape in semis.
– Stop-loss: 1044.5–1046.0 (under morning base).
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NCNA
– Key supports: 4.22; 4.14–4.15; 4.08
– Key resistances: 4.33–4.35; 4.40; 4.50
– 30‑min path: Momentum grind; a tight flag above 4.22 that resolves through 4.33–4.35 can target 4.45–4.50. Lose 4.14 and you likely revisit 4.08 before attempting another leg.
– Swing targets (ATR ~0.35–0.50): 4.35, 4.45, 4.55.
– Entries: 4.22–4.25 on higher-low; add on 4.36 break with volume.
– Stop-loss: 4.08–4.10 (beneath the morning pivot).
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VEEE (high risk, momentum small cap)
– Key supports: 2.47–2.50; 2.30; 2.08
– Key resistances: 2.76–2.93 (spike/flag cap); 3.00; 3.20–3.30
– 30‑min path: Classic spike→flag. A reclaim and hold above 2.70 with volume likely retests 2.85–2.93; a clean 3.00 break can squeeze to 3.20–3.30. Lose 2.47 and the flag risks failing back toward 2.30.
– Swing targets (ATR ~0.45–0.70): 2.85, 3.00, 3.20–3.30.
– Entries: 2.50–2.60 on higher-low + uptick in volume; momentum add above 2.93.
– Stop-loss: 2.29–2.33 (below flag base); scale risk small due to volatility.
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Quick notes on non-long standouts and risk
– COHR: Wide intraday range (166.8→159.2→164.8). If 164.0 holds and semis stay strong, a reflex toward 166.8/168 is possible; otherwise chop. Only for agile traders.
– LEU, PEN, MCO, FCNCA: Showing distribution; prefer avoidance on the long side until they reclaim intraday VWAPs with strong volume.
Risk management
– Size down in micro/small caps (VEEE, NCNA) due to gap/fade risk.
– Respect session VWAP and prior 30‑min highs/lows; momentum entries work best when reclaiming those with volume confirmation.
– Use staggered entries and scale partials at first targets; trail stops under higher-lows to protect gains.