Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed: 2026-01-09, 11:30–13:30)
Note: The dataset provided covers an intraday snapshot only. I’m basing the momentum read on the 30‑minute action in this window and how that aligns with current sector flows within the basket.
- Aerospace/Defense: Bid remained firm. AVAV and KTOS led with trend-continuation behavior (higher highs/higher lows on rising activity). XAR ETF printed green, while CACI, LDOS, BWXT were steady-to-up, confirming group strength. Tickers: AVAV, KTOS, XAR, CACI, LDOS, BWXT.
- Semis/Equipment: Constructive. LRCX and NXPI climbed steadily; NVMI churned near flat-to-slightly-up; KLIC lagged and slipped intraday. Net read is bullish but selective. Tickers: LRCX, NXPI, NVMI, KLIC.
- AI/Crypto infrastructure: Mixed. APLD put in a strong late-session momentum push; miners were choppy/mixed (HUT flat-to-down in the window; ARBK thin/liquid). APLD has the relative-strength edge. Tickers: APLD, HUT, ARBK.
- Metals/Mining: Rotation favored copper over coal. SCCO trended higher through the window; METC faded; FEAM slipped and based. Tickers: SCCO, METC, FEAM.
- Biotech/Health: Mixed-to-better. PASG stair-stepped toward 20; APLX exploded late toward 111; ABCL was range-bound. Tickers: PASG, APLX, ABCL.
- Industrials/Other: ROK drifted higher; VMI and ESE were quiet; ULTA constructive grind; consumer HLF firm but range-bound; DAVE choppy with a bounce into the close of the window. Tickers: ROK, VMI, ESE, ULTA, HLF, DAVE.
- High-volume standouts in this window (potential for follow-through/mean-reversion setups): APLD, EOSE, LDI, RKLB.
Notable patterns:
– Momentum continuation in Defense (AVAV, KTOS) with ETF confirmation (XAR).
– Semicap strength (LRCX, NXPI) while some backend names lag (KLIC), a typical late-stage micro-rotation within a stronger group.
– Selective risk-on: APLD shows clean relative strength vs. miners.
– Copper bid (SCCO) while coal (METC) faded intraday.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher (bullish continuation potential):
– AVAV, KTOS, LRCX, APLD, SCCO, APLX, NXPI
Strongest bullish signals right now:
– AVAV: Persistent higher highs with a strong closing push toward day highs.
– KTOS: Intraday breakout attempts and closes near the upper third of the range.
– LRCX: Methodical grind higher with buyers absorbing dips; closed near highs.
– APLD: Late-session surge with strong tape in AI/infra.
– SCCO: Trend up through the window with copper tailwinds.
– APLX: Late ramp suggests squeeze/continuation if bids hold.
– NXPI: Steady buyer support; prints near highs of the window.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
All levels derived from today’s 30-minute ranges and obvious round/psychological levels. Targets reflect nearby resistance and typical 1–1.5x today’s intraday range potential. Use limit orders at planned entries; adjust sizing for volatility.
1) AVAV
– Supports: 365.6, 364.0, 361.9
– Resistances: 369.99, 372.5, 375.0
– 30-min read: Continuation favored while holding above 365–366. Expect tests of 370; sustained bids above 370 open 372.5–375.
– Entry ideas: 366–367 pullback; secondary 364 on deeper dip.
– Stops: 361.5 (beneath session low); tighter traders 363.3.
– 1–3 day targets: 370.0, 372.5, 375.0–377.0
2) KTOS
– Supports: 114.0, 113.85, 112.30
– Resistances: 115.45, 116.5, 118.0
– 30-min read: Break-and-base pattern; above 114 buyers control. Through 115.45 could accelerate.
– Entry ideas: 114.1–114.3 on pullback; aggressive add on 115.5 breakout with volume.
– Stops: 113.4 (beneath mid-window pivot), or swing stop 112.2.
– 1–3 day targets: 116.5, 118.0, 119.5
3) LRCX
– Supports: 217.0, 216.38, 214.81
– Resistances: 218.74, 220.0, 222.0
– 30-min read: Steady accumulation; dips were bought. Above 217, momentum intact; watch 218.7–219 supply.
– Entry ideas: 217.1–217.3 first buy; second chance 216.4–216.6.
– Stops: 214.4 (beneath session low cluster).
– 1–3 day targets: 219.8–220.0, 222.0, 224.0
4) APLD
– Supports: 36.20, 36.06, 35.92
– Resistances: 37.17–37.19, 37.50, 38.20
– 30-min read: Late-session surge suggests a continuation try if 36.2–36.4 holds on pullbacks.
– Entry ideas: 36.20–36.40 pullback buy; momentum add on 37.20 breakout if volume expands.
– Stops: 35.80 (beneath intraday base); tighter 36.00 if using breakout add.
– 1–3 day targets: 37.50, 38.20, 39.00
5) SCCO
– Supports: 169.62, 169.00, 168.80
– Resistances: 170.40, 171.00, 172.50
– 30-min read: Trend up in window; copper bid favors stair-step. Holding 169.6 keeps trend intact.
– Entry ideas: 169.6–169.8 first buy; add on reclaim of 170.4 after a quick rejection test.
– Stops: 168.7 (beneath session low); swing stop 168.4.
– 1–3 day targets: 171.0, 172.5, 173.5
6) APLX
– Supports: 110.00, 107.65, 105.00
– Resistances: 111.09, 112.00, 113.50
– 30-min read: Sharp late rip; likely to be momentum/mean-reversion sensitive. Above 110, bulls press for 111–112 retest; failure under 107.6 risks deeper retrace.
– Entry ideas: 110.0–110.3 pullback; secondary nibble 107.8–108.0 only if tape stabilizes.
– Stops: 106.9 (beneath mid-window pivot); wider swing stop 104.7 (beneath session low).
– 1–3 day targets: 111.5, 113.0, 116.0
7) NXPI
– Supports: 241.29, 240.62, 240.11
– Resistances: 241.95, 242.08, 243.00
– 30-min read: Quiet grind higher; dips were bid. Needs clean push through 242.0 to expand range.
– Entry ideas: 241.3–241.5 on pullback; momentum add through 242.1 with confirmation.
– Stops: 240.0 (beneath layered supports); conservative 239.8.
– 1–3 day targets: 242.5, 244.0, 246.0
Notes and risk management
– Many setups hinge on holding intraday supports identified above. If supports fail on expanding volume, step aside; momentum breaks fast.
– Position sizing should reflect volatility: AVAV/APLX/APLD can move quickly; LRCX/NXPI somewhat steadier; SCCO moderate.
– Without full 30-day context/ATR in the dataset, targets are anchored to today’s observed intraday ranges and nearby supply zones. Recalibrate with your 30-day levels if available before sizing aggressively.