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Continuation Breakout Friday 12PM 9/26/2025

September 26, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Datetime range analyzed (ET): 2025-09-26 10:00–12:00 on 30-minute bars for all symbols provided; SYRA also includes 2025-09-24 15:30 and 2025-09-25 10:00–11:30 plus 2025-09-26 09:30.
  • Broad takeaways from price/volume:

– Rails (UNP, NSC) showed mild intraday distribution/relative weakness with lower highs and muted bids; not leading.
– Utilities/Power (NRG) led with steady higher highs/higher lows and constructive volume—accumulation tone.
– Semis/Semi-cap (KLAC firm, ACMR flat) skew constructive; KLAC reclaimed intraday highs, ACMR churned near unchanged—rotation into quality, less into SMID-cap semi.
– Software/Cloud (HUBS strong trend day up; WDAY range-bound; MSCI slightly heavy) indicates selective growth leadership—buyers favor higher-beta quality (HUBS).
– Metals/Mining (SBSW bid with rising prints; RGLD faded) shows dispersion—PGM producers bid, gold royalty softer.
– Media/Entertainment (WBD) had steady intraday accumulation with hefty volume—potential for continuation.
– Small-cap biotech (XNCR steady trend up; INDP explosive late-session expansion) saw momentum flows; risk-on pockets in spec biotech.
– Consumer/Retail (FIVE flat; DNUT soggy) and Regional banks (FMFC faded) were laggards. Aerospace micro-cap (DPRO) trended down. Illiquid tickers (ADSE, SYRA, LCDL) showed noise/spikes—handle with caution.

Notable patterns

  • Momentum/accumulation in NRG, HUBS, XNCR, WBD, SBSW; higher lows and closes near session highs.
  • Rails lag; gold royalty (RGLD) underperformed versus PGM producer SBSW—metal dispersion.
  • Mixed tech: strength in high-quality growth (HUBS) and large-cap semi-cap (KLAC); neutral in ACMR and WDAY.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Likely to rise: HUBS, NRG, XNCR, WBD, SBSW, INDP, KLAC.
  • Strongest bullish signals: HUBS (trend day up, close near HOD), NRG (persistent bid, HH/HL), XNCR (clean intraday uptrend + rising volume). WBD shows accumulation; INDP has momentum tailwind but higher risk; KLAC steady leadership bid.

Individual Stock Analysis (levels, plan, and 30‑min based outlook)

HUBS

  • Support: 513.0–513.7; 509.8–510.0; 507.7.
  • Resistance: 516.2; 518.5; 522.0.
  • 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect early dip buy attempts into 513–514, then push toward 518.5. If 516.2 converts to support, continuation into 522.0; stretch target ~528 (~1 ATR).
  • 1–3 day targets: 518.5, 522.0, 528.0.
  • Entries: 513.2–514.0 on pullback; add on 516.3 hold.
  • Stop: 507.5 (beneath session low/structure).
finviz dynamic chart for HUBS

NRG

  • Support: 166.9–167.1; 165.7–165.9; 164.8.
  • Resistance: 168.0; 169.0; 171.2.
  • 30-min outlook: Look for a shallow pullback to ~167, then a grind to 168–169. If 169 holds, a follow-through toward 170.5–171.2 over 1–3 days.
  • 1–3 day targets: 168.8, 170.5, 171.2.
  • Entries: 166.9–167.1; secondary 165.8–166.0 if broader market wobbles.
  • Stop: 165.3 (below rising intraday base).
finviz dynamic chart for NRG

XNCR

  • Support: 11.05; 10.90; 10.65.
  • Resistance: 11.30; 11.50; 11.80.
  • 30-min outlook: Favor a retest of 11.05–11.10 followed by push into 11.30. If momentum persists, 11.50 magnet; extension possible to 11.80 on strong tape.
  • 1–3 day targets: 11.30, 11.48, 11.80.
  • Entries: 11.05–11.10 pullback; or 11.32–11.35 after 11.30 breakout/hold.
  • Stop: 10.64 (below higher low cluster).
finviz dynamic chart for XNCR

WBD

  • Support: 19.69–19.72; 19.65; 19.60.
  • Resistance: 19.85; 20.00; 20.30.
  • 30-min outlook: Accumulation suggests a drift higher; expect test of 19.85 then 20.00. A clean hold above 20 opens 20.15–20.30.
  • 1–3 day targets: 19.95, 20.15, 20.30.
  • Entries: 19.70–19.72 on dip; add if 19.85 flips to support.
  • Stop: 19.55 (below VWAP/demand zone).
finviz dynamic chart for WBD

SBSW

  • Support: 11.00; 10.90; 10.85.
  • Resistance: 11.12; 11.20; 11.50.
  • 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation likely if 11.00–11.05 holds. Break/hold above 11.12 sets 11.20 then 11.35–11.50.
  • 1–3 day targets: 11.18, 11.35, 11.50.
  • Entries: 10.95–10.98 first buy; add through 11.12 if volume confirms.
  • Stop: 10.78 (below intraday demand).
finviz dynamic chart for SBSW

INDP (high risk, momentum)

  • Support: 4.50–4.60; 4.20; 3.80.
  • Resistance: 5.00; 5.50; 6.00.
  • 30-min outlook: After a late-session surge, expect volatility. If 4.50–4.60 holds on a back-test, momentum can push through 5.00 toward 5.50. Failure to hold 4.50 risks a deep retrace.
  • 1–3 day targets: 5.20, 5.50, 5.90.
  • Entries: 4.50–4.60 on controlled pullback with decreasing sell volume; or 5.05–5.10 only on strong breakout/hold.
  • Stop: 4.18 (beneath breakout base); size down due to volatility.
finviz dynamic chart for INDP

KLAC

  • Support: 1060.5–1061.5; 1058.8; 1056.4.
  • Resistance: 1064.1; 1068.0; 1075.0.
  • 30-min outlook: Bias higher while holding 1060–1061. Expect probe of 1064–1068; strong tape can press 1075; 1–3 day extension into 1088 (~1 ATR) possible on semis strength.
  • 1–3 day targets: 1068.0, 1075.0, 1088.0.
  • Entries: 1060.8–1061.5 on pullback; add through 1064.2 if it holds.
  • Stop: 1056.3 (below morning demand).
finviz dynamic chart for KLAC

Notes on others (context)

  • Rails UNP/NSC: Avoid longs until they reclaim morning supply; tone is heavy.
  • RGLD: Soft vs metals space; prefer SBSW on long side.
  • WDAY/MSCI/ACMR: Neutral-to-mixed—wait for range breaks.
  • FIVE/FMMC/DNUT/DPRO/ADSE/SYRA/LCDL: Not favorable for short-term momentum longs due to weakness or illiquidity/noise.

Risk management

  • Size positions according to ATR and stop distance; consider partial profit-taking at first targets and trail stops under higher lows to capture continuation.
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