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Continuation Breakout Friday 12PM 10/24/2025

October 24, 2025 6 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed)
– Data window analyzed (30-minute bars): 2025-10-24 10:00–12:00 ET (UTC-4). Note: The upload did not include the prior 30 trading days; commentary reflects intraday momentum/relative strength from this session and should be cross-checked against your daily (30D/10D) charts.

Sector/industry takeaways from the provided tickers
– Communication Services – Internet: Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL) traded sideways-to-soft after an early pop, with fading volume into midday. This looks like digestion, not initiative buying.
– Financials: Mixed. Card networks softened (MA, AXP drifted lower), brokerage LPLA faded. Mortgage/credit-sensitive PFSI showed clear intraday accumulation (higher highs/lows, strong range expansion). This hints at rotation within Financials toward rate-sensitive names and away from premium card networks.
– Healthcare Distribution: Cencora (COR) and McKesson (MCK) were tight/benign—no risk-on tells. Defensive tone persists but no momentum signal in this window.
– Consumer Discretionary: Weak bias. RL and RCL both slipped; GM was flat-to-soft. This points to waning short-term appetite for consumer/cyclical spend in this intraday slice.
– Biotech/Healthcare SMID: Mixed. ABVX ranged; XERS had a steady grind up; BNR put in a strong morning impulse then pulled back constructively. Selective spec momentum still present.
– Crypto Miners/Blockchain: CIFR showed decisive strength (persistent higher highs, heavy volume), a classic momentum day likely tied to crypto beta. This group led the tape within this sample.
– Micro/small-cap specials: VATE, MRM, SNTI, PESI were thin and choppy; treat signals cautiously due to liquidity.

Notable patterns
– Momentum leadership from crypto miner CIFR (Information Technology/crypto infrastructure) with broad participation intra-bar and closing strength.
– Internal divergence in Financials: relative strength in PFSI vs. softness in MA/AXP/LPLA.
– Consumer discretionary lag (RL, RCL, GM) and defensive distributors (MCK, COR) neutral: a rotation day rather than broad risk-on.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 sessions)
– Highest-probability upside candidates:
– CIFR: Strong bull momentum, range expansion, sustained bid into midday with rising lows. Likely continuation if key pullback levels hold.
– PFSI: Trend up all morning with shallow dips; constructive for follow-through toward/through intraday highs.
– Secondary upside candidates (more tactical, tighter targets):
– BNR: Speculative continuation if it bases above 12.10–12.30 after the morning impulse.
– XERS: Steady intraday up-channel; room for a modest push into round-number resistance if bids persist.

Stocks showing strongest bullish signals today
– CIFR (range expansion + volume acceleration + higher highs)
– PFSI (orderly trend day with buyers defending pullbacks)

Individual Stock Analysis (bullish candidates)

CIFR (Cipher Mining)
– Context: Strong trend day. Today’s intraday range proxy (ATR proxy) ≈ 1.35 (20.60 high – 19.25 low).
– Daily supply/demand zones (derived from intraday pivots/rounds; validate on your daily chart):
– Supports: 20.12 (11:30 bar low), 19.78–19.80 (post-breakout retest zone), 19.25 (session swing low)
– Resistances: 20.60 (HOD), 21.00 (psych), 21.50 (measured extension/round)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Base-above-breakout scenario: Holding 20.00–20.20 into the next open favors a flag breakout toward 20.75–21.00 on momentum. Sustained closes above 21.00 open 21.35–21.50.
– Failure scenario: Loss of 19.78 would invite a deeper retest of 19.50/19.25; below 19.25 negates the short-term momentum setup.
– 1–3 day swing targets (using resistance clusters and ATR proxy):
– PT1: 20.75
– PT2: 21.35 (≈ +0.85–1.00 from 20.35–20.50 pullback buys; ≈ 0.6–0.75x today’s range)
– PT3: 22.00 (≈ 1.0–1.2x today’s range if momentum broadens)
– Preferred entries: Pullbacks into 20.15–20.25, or breakout/hold above 20.60 with volume.
– Stop ideas: 19.70–19.78 (tight), 19.45 (standard), 19.20 (last-ditch below session swing low).
finviz dynamic chart for  CIFR

PFSI (PennyMac Financial Services)
– Context: Clean intraday uptrend. Intraday range proxy ≈ 4.18 (134.08 – 129.90).
– Daily supply/demand zones (validate on your daily):
– Supports: 132.40–132.60 (intraday pivot cluster), 131.50 (round-number shelf), 130.20–130.00 (gap/pivot from the morning)
– Resistances: 133.59 (HOD), 134.08 (session high print), 135.00–135.50 (round/extension)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Continuation: Holding 132.4–132.6 suggests a push back to 133.6–134.1. Acceptance above 134.1 targets 135.0–136.2.
– Fade risk: Lose 132.4 and the trend can backfill to 131.5; below 131.5 increases odds of testing 130.2–130.0.
– 1–3 day swing targets (resistance + ATR proxy):
– PT1: 133.60–134.10
– PT2: 135.00–135.50
– PT3: 136.20 (≈ 1x today’s range from ~132)
– Preferred entries: 132.50–132.80 pullback buys; or 133.60 breakout with volume confirmation.
– Stop ideas: 131.90 (tight under pivot), 131.50 (standard), 130.75 (deeper swing).
finviz dynamic chart for  PFSI

BNR (spec biotech; higher risk)
– Context: Strong impulse (11.49 → 13.39), then orderly pullback to 12.40. Intraday range proxy ≈ 1.92.
– Daily supply/demand zones (validate on your daily):
– Supports: 12.20–12.30 (afternoon base), 12.00 (psych), 11.47 (session low)
– Resistances: 12.73–12.89 (midday supply), 13.39 (HOD), 14.00–14.20 (round + 1R extension)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Continuation: Hold 12.10–12.30 and base; reclaim 12.73 opens 12.90, then 13.30–13.40. A strong breadth day could magnet 14.00.
– Failure: Lose 12.00 and a flush toward 11.60–11.50 becomes likely; below 11.47 invalidates the long setup.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– PT1: 12.90–13.00
– PT2: 13.30–13.40
– PT3: 14.00–14.20 (≈ ~1x today’s range from ~12.2–12.3)
– Preferred entries: 12.10–12.30 pullback with higher low; or reclaim/hold above 12.73 with volume.
– Stop ideas: 11.85 (tight), 11.60 (standard under morning structure), 11.40 (last-ditch).
finviz dynamic chart for  BNR

XERS (steady micro-trend; modest targets)
– Context: Gradual grind up. Intraday range proxy ≈ 0.225 (9.485 – 9.26).
– Daily supply/demand zones (validate on your daily):
– Supports: 9.38 (VWAP/pivot), 9.31 (open area), 9.26 (session low)
– Resistances: 9.46–9.50 (session supply/psych), 9.60, 9.75 (round-number supply)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days):
– Continuation: Hold 9.34–9.38 and push through 9.46–9.50 for a measured move toward 9.60–9.65; strong tape could tag 9.75.
– Failure: Lose 9.31 and the bid can slip to 9.26; below 9.26 resets the structure.
– 1–3 day swing targets:
– PT1: 9.50
– PT2: 9.60–9.65 (≈ 0.5–0.7x today’s range from 9.35–9.40)
– PT3: 9.75–9.80 (stretch)
– Preferred entries: 9.34–9.38 pullback; or 9.50 breakout with volume spike.
– Stop ideas: 9.26 (tight), 9.22 (standard below structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  XERS

Quick notes on non-featured names (context only)
– GOOG/GOOGL: Sideways/slightly soft; needs reclaim of 261.7–262.5 with volume to signal momentum. Otherwise, chop.
– MA, AXP: Mild intraday distribution; avoid longs until they reclaim morning supply zones (MA ~577.8–578.1, AXP ~361.8–362.3) with breadth support.
– MCK, COR: Tight ranges; neutral.
– RL, RCL, GM: Soft consumer tape; wait for basing/reversal patterns on 30-min before attempting longs.
– ABVX: Range-bound; needs a decisive 92.6+ reclaim to matter.
– CIFR stands out among high-beta; VATE, MRM, SNTI, PESI are thin—size accordingly if trading.

Risk management and data caveat
– Levels are derived from the provided intraday prints and common round-number zones because daily 30D/10D data wasn’t included. Validate these against your daily chart before execution.
– For 1–3 day swings, size positions so a stop just beyond S2/S3 risks no more than your predefined R per trade; consider partials at PT1/PT2 and move stops to breakeven on strength.

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