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Continuation Breakout Friday 12PM 10/10/2025

October 10, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window analyzed)

  • Data window available: 2025-10-10 from 10:00 to 12:00 EST for most tickers; plus 2025-10-09 15:00–16:00 EST on MAMO. Note: Only intraday slices were provided, not full 30-day history. The commentary emphasizes the most recent intraday price/volume structure and relative strength by sector/industry.
  • Tech/AI and high beta sold off: MSFT eased lower (521.3 → 515.4) with persistent supply; RKLB trended down with heavy volume; APLD saw sharp, high-volume liquidation (38.9 HOD to sub-34 before a bounce), signaling risk-off in AI infrastructure and high-beta tech.
  • Crypto miners/data infra weak: BTDR and WGMI both trended lower on elevated, persistent sell volume; bounces were sold. That’s consistent with crypto-miner beta unwinding intraday.
  • Alternative/clean energy mixed to weak: BE faded after an opening push; ENVX slid but started to show a potential higher-low base late; MVST also basing after a controlled selloff.
  • Uranium/nuclear fuel showed relative strength: LEU had a powerful expansion (386 LOD to 423 HOD), then orderly pullback holding 400; buyers defended dips—standout RS.
  • Biotech mixed: OLMA firmed intraday and closed its window near highs; LLYX trended lower with continued supply. OLMA shows tight consolidation and constructive buy-the-dip behavior.
  • Micro/small-caps often gapped/faded: WYFI, RIOX, EZGO, TOYO, LOBO mostly showed morning pops then distribution and thin midday liquidity—typical “gap-and-fade” profile.
  • Financials soft: BLK trended down steadily; HIFS also lower and illiquid midday.

Noticeable patterns and referenced tickers

  • Risk-off rotation intraday: APLD, RKLB, BTDR, WGMI, MVST, ENVX pressured; MSFT/BLK drifted lower.
  • Relative strength pockets: LEU (uranium) showed expansion and defended key levels; OLMA (biotech) stabilized and pushed back toward morning highs.
  • Basing attempts in batteries: MVST and ENVX printed higher-lows into noon after earlier selloffs—setup potential for relief pops if volume returns.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)

  • Most likely to rise: LEU, OLMA, MVST, ENVX.
  • Strongest bullish signals today:

– LEU: Expansion range with dip-buying and defense of 400; potential continuation if 413–419 is reclaimed.
– OLMA: Constructive intraday higher lows with a clear pivot near 11.20–11.25; poised for a push if volume confirms.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Supports/resistances are derived from today’s intraday daily aggregate (and obvious round-number zones). ATR used is approximated from today’s range.

1) LEU

  • Character: High relative strength; expansion day; buyers defended 400.
  • Approx daily ATR proxy: ~37 (423.24 HOD − 386.02 LOD)

Support levels

  • 400–401 (midday close region; defended multiple times)
  • 390–392 (11:30 low 390.31)
  • 386 (session low)

Resistance levels

  • 413 (12:00 high 413.05)
  • 419 (11:30 high 418.85)
  • 423.25 (session high); then 430–437 (ATR extension/squeeze zone)

30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)

  • Base/coil above 398–402 likely; push through 413 opens 419–423 test. Break/hold above 423 can trigger fast squeeze into 430–437.
  • Failure to hold 400 likely retests 392; still a potential higher-low setup if reclaimed quickly.

Swing targets (1–3 days)

  • PT1: 413
  • PT2: 419–423
  • PT3: 430–437 (extension if momentum accelerates)

Entries

  • Tier 1: 400–403 on dip/reclaim
  • Tier 2: Break-and-hold above 413 with intraday backtest

Stops

  • Conservative: below 397
  • Wider (position): below 389–390 (under demand shelf)
finviz dynamic chart for  LEU

2) OLMA

  • Character: Quiet RS in biotech; constructive coil near 11.20; clear pivot at 11.25.
  • Approx daily ATR proxy: ~0.69 (11.3387 HOD − 10.65 LOD)

Support levels

  • 11.00–11.05 (round/demand shelf)
  • 10.85 (10:30 close and intraday shelf)
  • 10.65 (session low)

Resistance levels

  • 11.18–11.25 (noon close/pivot zone)
  • 11.34 (session high)
  • 11.50–11.90 (round/ATR extension)

30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)

  • Expect consolidation 10.95–11.25; break/hold above 11.25 targets 11.34, then 11.50. Continuation could stretch into 11.80–11.90 with volume.
  • Lose 10.85 and it likely revisits 10.65 before any bounce attempt.

Swing targets (1–3 days)

  • PT1: 11.25–11.34
  • PT2: 11.50
  • PT3: 11.80–11.90

Entries

  • Tier 1: 11.00–11.05 on dip with reversal confirmation
  • Tier 2: 11.26–11.30 only on strong breakout/hold above 11.25 with rising volume

Stops

  • Tight: below 10.80
  • Wider: below 10.62 (under session low buffer)
finviz dynamic chart for  OLMA

3) MVST

  • Character: Battery/EV storage; controlled sell, then basing; potential relief pop if 4.83 holds.
  • Approx daily ATR proxy: ~0.46 (5.10 − 4.64)

Support levels

  • 4.77–4.83 (multiple lows; key demand band)
  • 4.64 (intraday low)
  • 4.60 (round number)

Resistance levels

  • 4.89–4.90 (shelf)
  • 5.00 (round/overhead supply)
  • 5.10 (session high), then 5.25–5.30 (ATR/extension)

30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)

  • Expect a base between 4.75–4.95; strong reclaim through 4.95 opens a run to 5.00/5.05 and possibly 5.10. Sustained strength with volume could press 5.25–5.30.
  • Lose 4.75 and a flush to 4.64 is likely before any rebound attempt.

Swing targets (1–3 days)

  • PT1: 4.95
  • PT2: 5.05–5.10
  • PT3: 5.25–5.30

Entries

  • Tier 1: 4.78–4.82 on dip with stabilization
  • Tier 2: Break/hold over 4.95–5.00 on rising volume

Stops

  • Tight: below 4.68
  • Wider: below 4.60 (invalidates base)
finviz dynamic chart for  MVST

4) ENVX

  • Character: Weak open, then a higher-low into noon; early signs of a base forming.
  • Approx daily ATR proxy: ~1.11 (13.02 − 11.91)

Support levels

  • 12.15–12.20 (noon close area)
  • 12.00 (round number)
  • 11.91 (session low)

Resistance levels

  • 12.40–12.45 (near-term supply)
  • 12.70–12.72 (intraday pivot/high band)
  • 13.00 (round/overhead supply), then 13.10–13.20 (ATR extension)

30-minute price action outlook (2–3 days)

  • Likely range build 12.10–12.45; break/hold above 12.45 targets 12.70–12.72. A strong close above 12.72 sets up 12.95–13.20 in a day or two.
  • Lose 12.00 and 11.91 retest likely; bulls need quick reclaim.

Swing targets (1–3 days)

  • PT1: 12.45–12.50
  • PT2: 12.70–12.85
  • PT3: 13.00–13.20

Entries

  • Tier 1: 12.15–12.20 on dip with reversal signal
  • Tier 2: Break/hold above 12.45 with rising volume

Stops

  • Tight: below 11.88–11.90
  • Wider: below 11.80
finviz dynamic chart for  ENVX

Additional quick reads on others (context only, not long setups here)

  • MSFT: Drifting lower intraday; needs to reclaim 518–520 to neutralize downside. Otherwise, balance to lower.
  • APLD, BTDR, WGMI: Distribution day. Could dead-cat bounce, but trend is down until they reclaim intraday supply pivots (APLD ~36; BTDR ~20.8–21.0; WGMI ~60.5–61).
  • BE: Faded after early push; needs 90.7–91 reclaim.
  • RKLB: Heavy sell pressure; 70–71 is key supply cap for now.
  • WYFI, RIOX, EZGO, TOYO, LOBO, LLYX: Mostly gap/fade or heavy supply; need base-building before considering long swings.

Bottom line

  • Relative strength stands out in LEU and OLMA; basing-long opportunities are developing in MVST and ENVX. The rest of the tape skewed risk-off intraday, especially in miners/AI-infra and high-beta tech. For momentum swing longs over the next 1–3 days, focus on clean pivots, rising volume on breaks, and tight risk at nearby demand.
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