Continuation Breakout Friday 12PM 10/03/2025

Date/time window analyzed (EST): 2025-10-03 from 11:00 to 13:00, with one earlier print on 2025-10-01 (WTMA). Only intraday 30‑minute bars were provided; no 30‑day daily history was included, so the commentary and levels lean on today’s price/volume action and obvious round-number supply/demand zones.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:

• Managed Care/Health Insurers (HUM, MOH, ELV): Group strength. All three printed steady intraday higher highs/higher lows, climbing into the early afternoon with constructive volume. HUM led a clean trend to ~281; MOH closed strong near HOD; ELV held elevated levels. This sector showed the clearest “bid under dips.”
• Software/Large Cap Tech (INTU, AAPL): INTU trended higher most of the session, pushing to ~688 and consolidating; AAPL was range‑bound/flat. Signal: selective leadership in quality software; broad mega-cap tech neutral.
• Industrials/Rails (PH, ROK, UNP, NSC): PH firmed modestly; ROK and rails traded tight ranges with slight upward bias but light momentum. No broad breakout signals here.
• Lithium/Materials (SGML, SLI, LITM, MVST): Mixed rotation. SGML showed relative strength (series of higher intraday closes), LITM held gains after an early pop, while SLI bled lower all session and MVST faded. Pattern: stock‑specific rather than sector‑wide.
• Crypto miners/high beta (IREN, CIFR): High volume, wide ranges, whip. IREN held up better (still above the morning base despite a midday fade), CIFR trended lower. Still “in play,” but reactive and headline/BTC sensitive.
• Small/mid-cap Biotech (ACIU, ADCT, ATRA, IMNM, ZVRA, MDGL, CYTK): Split tape. ACIU had a midday expansion breakout and held most gains; IMNM showed a late reversal; several others (ADCT, ATRA, CYTK) faded with persistent supply. Pattern: momentum pockets, but stock-picking required.
• Gaming/Media (TTWO, SKLZ): TTWO faded off intraday highs; SKLZ illiquid/flat. No clear follow-through.
• Other notable momentum/IPO‑style names (NBIS, NEBX, NNE): Strong morning momentum runs followed by controlled fades. Elevated volume suggests potential for continuation after a rest.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Likely to drift higher/offer long setups:

• INTU, HUM, MOH (group/sector strength, orderly bids)
• SGML (relative strength vs lithium cohort)
• ACIU (momentum expansion held)
• NBIS, NEBX (high-volume momentum names with constructive pullbacks)
• IREN (volatile but buyers present; higher-risk momentum candidate)

Strongest bullish signals today: INTU, HUM, MOH, SGML, ACIU

Individual Stock Analysis (actionable 1–3 day swing plans)
Note: With no 30-day daily history provided, support/resistance uses today’s intraday pivots and nearby round-number zones. Use smaller size and adjust if your own daily levels differ.

1) INTU

• Supports: 685.0; 682.5; 680.0
• Resistances: 688.4 (session high); 690.0; 695.0
• 30‑min outlook (2–3 days): Expect early dip buy attempts above 682.5–685, then a retest of 688–690. A 30‑min close >690 opens 693–695.
• Targets (1–3 day): 688.4; 690.8; 694.8–695.8
• Entry idea: 685.5–686.2 on a controlled pullback or 690.2–690.6 on a clean breakout/hold.
• Stop: 681.8 (tight) or 679.8 (swing).

2) HUM

• Supports: 279.0–279.5; 276.5; 274.5
• Resistances: 281.0; 283.0; 285.0
• 30‑min outlook: Buy-the-dip behavior is intact while above 276.5; watch for a push through 281 into 283.
• Targets: 281.6; 283.2; 285.0
• Entry: 279.3–279.9 on a pullback that holds; or 281.2–281.5 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 276.2 (below session demand).

3) MOH

• Supports: 201.0–201.3; 200.2–200.7; 199.6
• Resistances: 202.15; 203.0; 205.0
• 30‑min outlook: Momentum continuation favored while 200.7 holds. Break/hold above 202.2 targets low‑203s.
• Targets: 202.7; 203.8; 205.0
• Entry: 201.1–201.4 on dip; or 202.2–202.4 on break/hold.
• Stop: 199.8 (below intraday higher‑low structure).

4) SGML

• Supports: 7.53; 7.41; 7.34
• Resistances: 7.60; 7.69; 7.80
• 30‑min outlook: Relative strength name in the lithium basket. A hold above 7.53 keeps the sequence of higher lows alive; push through 7.60/7.69 can extend.
• Targets: 7.69; 7.78; 7.95
• Entry: 7.53–7.56 on dip and hold; or 7.62–7.65 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 7.33.

5) ACIU

• Supports: 3.56; 3.52; 3.48
• Resistances: 3.67; 3.69; 3.75
• 30‑min outlook: Momentum expansion day. Expect a dip toward 3.56–3.60 to be bought; breakout above 3.69 targets mid‑3.70s.
• Targets: 3.67; 3.73; 3.80
• Entry: 3.58–3.61 on a controlled pullback; or 3.70–3.71 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 3.48 (beneath expansion base).

6) NBIS

• Supports: 130.0–130.7; 128.7; 127.8
• Resistances: 132.8–133.0; 134.5; 135.5
• 30‑min outlook: Strong morning impulse with afternoon digestion. If 130 holds, look for a second‑leg attempt into 132.8+.
• Targets: 132.8; 134.2; 135.5
• Entry: 130.7–131.1 on dip and hold; or 132.9–133.1 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 129.6.

7) NEBX

• Supports: 86.0–86.2; 84.98; 82.9–83.0
• Resistances: 88.77; 89.5; 90.0
• 30‑min outlook: High‑volume runner with constructive pullback. Holding 86 keeps the door open for a retest of 88.8–89.5.
• Targets: 88.8; 89.5; 90.0
• Entry: 86.1–86.6 on dip; or 88.9–89.1 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 84.7.

8) IREN (higher risk)

• Supports: 51.00–51.15; 50.58; 49.78
• Resistances: 51.80–52.18; 52.50; 53.00
• 30‑min outlook: Volatile momentum; look for higher‑low stabilization above 51 for a squeeze toward 52.2–52.5. Lose 50.6 and it likely reverts lower with beta.
• Targets: 51.8; 52.5; 53.0
• Entry: 50.9–51.2 on dip/hold; or 51.9–52.1 on breakout/hold.
• Stop: 49.9.

Notes and risk management:

• Several other names showed weakness (e.g., SLI, CIFR, CYTK, ADCT). Avoid longs there until they reclaim intraday supply and VWAP on rising volume.
• For all setups, size down given we lack a 30‑day context. Consider partial profits at first target, then trail stops under rising 30‑min higher lows.
• If futures or macro catalysts hit, prioritize the strongest relative strength groups (managed care, select software) and avoid thin/whippy microcaps.