Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed window (EST): 2026-01-09 from 09:30 to 12:00 on 30-minute bars. Note: Only intraday data for this session was provided; comments on multi-day momentum are inferred from today’s price/volume context across related tickers and the included sector ETF (XAR).
- Aerospace & Defense (A&D): Broadly firm. XAR edged higher intraday, with integrators/IT-defense steady to higher (CACI, LDOS), drones/space mixed but constructive (AVAV held gains, BKSY trended up, RKLB heavy but stabilized). KTOS chopped but defended 112.5–113. AVAV’s early expansion and BKSY’s grind suggest ongoing bid within A&D.
- Semiconductors/Equipment: Leadership evident. LRCX stair-stepped higher on strong volume; NVMI and NXPI trended up; QUIK held a bid; GSIT consolidating. The group continues to act as risk-on leadership.
- Materials/Energy: Mixed. Copper strong (SCCO pushed toward 170); coal/metals saw interest (METC creep higher); uranium faded (UEC lower). FEAM broke out above 4.00 with a volume burst.
- Crypto/Compute/AI infra: Strong speculative bid. APLD showed heavy relative volume with a clean series of higher lows; HUT and ARBK were constructive to flat. Rotation into compute/crypto-adjacent names remains active.
- Consumer: Mixed. High-beta CVNA pushed toward 465 area with orderly higher lows; beauty retail lagged (ULTA faded early); EWCZ firmed. HLF climbed steadily intraday.
- Financials/specialty lending: LDI exploded higher around 11:30 with a clear volume expansion and held most gains—classic continuation setup.
- Biotech/Health: Selective risk-on. PASG trended from 18s to 19.6 then flagged; PYXS nudged higher; ABCL flat; LPCN quiet.
- Small/mid-cap momentum: Multiple tickers showed midday squeezes (LDI, FEAM, PASG, APLD), pointing to a near-term risk-on tape.
Notable trends/patterns:
– Semis and A&D continue to act as leaders (LRCX, NXPI, NVMI; XAR, AVAV, BKSY).
– Copper strength (SCCO) adds a cyclical “reflation” undertone.
– Micro/small-cap momentum is active with high relative volume pushes (LDI, FEAM, APLD, PASG).
– Crypto/compute complex remains a bid magnet (APLD) even with miners mixed.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most constructive for upside continuation:
– LRCX, APLD, CVNA, LDI, PASG, SCCO
Secondary watch (bullish bias but less conviction than top tier):
– BKSY, FEAM, FTAI, NXPI, AVAV
Strongest bullish signals: LRCX (trend + volume), APLD (high RVOL trend), LDI (expansion + hold), PASG (trend + flag), CVNA (orderly up-channel), SCCO (trend into round-number resistance).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: With only today’s intraday bars provided, “daily” support/resistance/ATR are approximated using today’s ranges, obvious round numbers, and recent intraday supply/demand zones.
1) LRCX (Semiconductor equipment)
– Why bullish: Higher highs/higher lows all morning; buyers defended pullbacks; semis leading.
– Support (daily/intraday zones): 216.20–216.30; 214.80; 212.00–212.50
– Resistance (supply): 217.14–217.36; 219–220; 222–225 (stretch)
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect an early test of 215.5–216.3, then a push through 217.4. Holding above 214.8 keeps the up-channel intact; a firm close above 220 sets up 222–225 follow-through.
– 1–3 day targets (using today’s ~8–9 pts range as proxy): 217.5; 219.7–220.0; 222.5–225.0
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 215.5–216.3
– Breakout add above 217.4 with momentum
– Stops:
– Tight: 214.6
– Swing: 212.4 (below demand and morning pivot)
–
2) APLD (Compute/AI infra)
– Why bullish: Heavy relative volume; series of higher lows; reclaimed dips quickly.
– Support: 36.07; 35.60–35.70; 35.28 (deeper) / 34.70 (fail-safe day low)
– Resistance: 36.63; 37.19; 38.00
– 30-min outlook: Rotation-driven name—look for a morning dip toward 35.7–36.1 to hold, then a drive into 36.6–37.2. Sustained trade above 37.2 targets the 38 handle.
– 1–3 day targets (today’s ~2.5 range as proxy): 36.60; 37.20–37.50; 38.00–38.50
– Entry ideas:
– First pullback hold 35.9–36.1
– Momentum add through 36.65–36.70
– Stops:
– Tight: 35.45
– Swing: 34.85 (below day low buffer)
–
3) CVNA (Consumer discretionary, high beta)
– Why bullish: Clean intraday channel; buyers absorbed dips; closing near top third of range.
– Support: 462.0–462.2; 458.5–460.0; 455.4–454.6
– Resistance: 464.9–465.4; 470.0; 475.0–478.0
– 30-min outlook: Expect an early 462 retest; hold and curl should press 465, then 470. Failure to hold 460 invites a 458.5 check before any bounce.
– 1–3 day targets (today’s ~10–11 range as proxy): 465.5; 470; 475–478
– Entry ideas:
– Buy higher low 462–463
– Breakout add through 465.5
– Stops:
– Tight: 459.8
– Swing: 455.0 (below demand)
–
4) LDI (Financials/specialty lending)
– Why bullish: Powerful 11:30 expansion with heavy volume; held above 3.10 into midday—classic continuation profile.
– Support: 3.02–3.05; 2.94–2.95; 2.81
– Resistance: 3.125–3.13; 3.20; 3.30
– 30-min outlook: Look for a quick liquidity sweep toward 3.02–3.05; if defended, a push through 3.13 opens 3.20/3.30. A base above 3.05 would be constructive for multi-day continuation.
– 1–3 day targets (today’s ~0.32 range as proxy): 3.13; 3.20; 3.30–3.45
– Entry ideas:
– Buy dip 3.02–3.05
– Breakout add on firm 3.13+ hold
– Stops:
– Tight: 2.98
– Swing: 2.90 (below morning shelf)
–
5) PASG (Biotech)
– Why bullish: Trend day from 18s into 19.6, then tight flag—buyers in control.
– Support: 19.00; 18.31–18.40; 17.95–18.00
– Resistance: 19.50–19.62; 20.00; 20.50
– 30-min outlook: Expect a flag break attempt; through 19.62 likely tags 20.00 quickly. Holding above 19 keeps momentum; lose 18.9 and it may backfill to 18.4 demand before next try.
– 1–3 day targets (today’s ~2.2 range as proxy): 19.60; 20.00; 20.50–21.00
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 19.00–19.10 on dip
– Breakout add through 19.62 with volume
– Stops:
– Tight: 18.74
– Swing: 18.28 (below demand zone)
–
6) SCCO (Copper)
– Why bullish: Persistent grind higher; copper theme bid; pushing toward round-number resistance.
– Support: 169.16–169.19; 168.42; 167.49
– Resistance: 169.87–170.04; 171.00; 172.50
– 30-min outlook: Look for a controlled dip to 169.2–169.4, then a breakout attempt over 170. Sustained trade above 170 opens 171–172.5 over 1–3 days.
– 1–3 day targets (today’s ~4.7 range as proxy): 170.5; 171.8; 173.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 169.2–169.4 on higher low
– Add on 170.1–170.2 breakout/hold
– Stops:
– Tight: 168.30
– Swing: 167.40
–
Additional bullish watch (no full plan here, but constructive setups): BKSY (momentum grind), FEAM (above 4.00 with volume), FTAI (trend near highs), NXPI (steady bid), AVAV (early expansion, now consolidating).
Important context
– This plan emphasizes the most recent intraday momentum from 30-minute bars. Without full 30-day daily candles/ATR, daily levels/ATR are approximations using today’s ranges and clear round numbers. For execution, align these levels with your own daily/weekly charts and adjust position size accordingly.