Datetime range (EST) analyzed
- 2025-09-25 08:30 to 2025-09-26 11:00, based on the intraday 30-minute bars you provided. Note: a full 30-day history wasn’t included, so this read focuses on the most recent session’s momentum (with emphasis on the last ~2 hours) and obvious daily levels visible from today’s developing candles.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
- Semis / Semi Equipment (KLAC, ACMR): Leadership tilt. KLAC showed a clean gap-and-go to 1066.6, then a tight higher-low consolidation—classic bull flag structure. ACMR lagged and chopped, not confirming sector strength.
- Enterprise Software (WDAY): Strong open drive to 248.2 followed by controlled pullback into 245–246, constructive for continuation if 245 holds.
- Financial Data/Info Services (MSCI): Bid up through 572.8, shallow retrace into 569–571. Looks like accumulation rather than distribution.
- Rails (UNP, NSC): Early strength faded into lower highs by 11:00. Relative underperformance vs growth/tech.
- Precious Metals/Miners (RGLD, SBSW): Strong early thrust (RGLD 198.1, SBSW 11.08) then retrace; RGLD holding higher and more orderly, SBSW gave back more—mixed but skewed constructive for RGLD if metals stay firm.
- Utilities (NRG): Extended gap up to 167.7 then steady bleed—looks tired short term.
- Consumer Discretionary/Media (WBD, FIVE, DNUT): WBD had a strong push to 19.95 and then built a tight shelf 19.60–19.75—healthy consolidation at highs. FIVE was stable but not impulsive. DNUT trended down intraday; avoid long until it reclaims 3.22–3.24 with volume.
- Biotech SMID (XNCR): Persistent higher highs/higher lows to 11.08 with expanding participation late morning—clean momentum.
- Small/micro-cap specials (ADSE, FMFC, LCDL, SYRA): ADSE trending up with higher lows; tradeable but liquidity risk. FMFC spiky and faded. LCDL, SYRA too illiquid for a standard swing plan.
Notable patterns
- Broad “gap-and-flag” in quality growth (KLAC, WDAY, MSCI). Rails/cyclicals lag. Precious metals bid early, best-in-class royalty (RGLD) holding up better than miners (SBSW). Media (WBD) basing near a breakout pivot.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
- Most likely to push higher: WDAY, KLAC, MSCI, XNCR, RGLD, WBD
- Strongest bullish signals: KLAC (tight flag after range expansion), WDAY (orderly pullback above ORL), XNCR (steady trend, closing near HOD), MSCI (bid near highs), RGLD (higher-low pullback within strong early range), WBD (tight shelf under 19.95–20.00).
Individual Stock Analysis (setups, levels, plan)
WDAY
- Support: 245.3; 245.0; 242.9 (ORL)
- Resistance: 248.2; 250.0; 252.0
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a 245–248 coil to resolve higher if 245 holds. Break/hold above 248.2 opens 250–252.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 248.2; 249.8–250.5; 252–253
- Entry: 245.6–246.1 on a low-volume dip that holds; or 248.3–248.6 on breakout/hold.
- Stop: Below 244.9 (tighter); or below 242.7 (beneath ORL to avoid shakeouts).
KLAC
- Support: 1059.0; 1056.4; 1046.2 (session low)
- Resistance: 1063.1; 1066.6; 1072–1075
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Bull flag above 1056–1060. A push through 1063–1066.6 targets 1070s.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 1063.5; 1066.5; 1072–1075
- Entry: 1058–1060 on hold and turn; or 1063.5–1064.5 on confirmed breakout/hold.
- Stop: 1055.8 (flag invalidation); last-resort 1045.9 (beneath session low).
MSCI
- Support: 569.7; 569.4; 565.4
- Resistance: 571.7–572.0; 572.8; 575.0
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Shallow pullback within an up-move. Base 569–571 then probe 572.8–575 if bids persist.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 572.0; 573.5; 575.0
- Entry: 570.0–570.6 on drift-down hold; or 572.0–572.3 on reclaim/hold.
- Stop: 569.1 (tight); add-back plan above 570 if shaken; hard stop 565.2.
XNCR
- Support: 10.92; 10.68; 10.39
- Resistance: 11.08; 11.25; 11.50
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Momentum trend intact. Expect consolidation 10.90–11.05 then attempt through 11.08 toward mid-11s.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 11.15; 11.30; 11.50
- Entry: 10.90–10.96 on pullback that holds 10.90; add through 11.08 if volume expands.
- Stop: 10.82 (beneath shelf); looser 10.66 if allowing wider swing.
RGLD
- Support: 195.8; 195.0; 193.1
- Resistance: 196.7; 197.7; 198.1–200.0
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Healthy early thrust, now digesting. If 195–196 holds, look for a push back to 197.7–198.1; 200 possible on a metals tailwind.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 196.7; 197.7; 198.8–200.0
- Entry: 195.8–196.1 on higher-low stabilization; or 196.8–197.0 on breakout/hold.
- Stop: 194.9 (tight risk); fail-safe 192.9 (below session pivot).
WBD
- Support: 19.60–19.63; 19.34; 19.32
- Resistance: 19.75; 19.95; 20.00–20.25
- 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Tight shelf under 19.95. Above 19.75 with volume likely tests 19.95–20.00; breakout aims for low 20s.
- Price targets (1–3 day): 19.85; 19.95–20.05; 20.25
- Entry: 19.60–19.66 on pullback/hold; or 19.76–19.82 on push/hold above shelf.
- Stop: 19.52 (beneath shelf); looser 19.28 (beneath ORL zone).
High-risk momentum consideration (liquidity caution)
ADSE
- Support: 10.66; 10.45; 10.15
- Resistance: 10.87; 10.92; 11.00
- Outlook: Intraday uptrend with higher lows. If 10.66 holds, expect probe to 10.92–11.00.
- Targets: 10.95; 11.10–11.20; 11.40 (only if volume expands)
- Entry: 10.60–10.68 on controlled dip; or 10.90–10.94 on breakout/hold.
- Stop: 10.44 (tight); last resort 10.14.
Additional tactical notes
- Names to avoid chasing long until conditions improve: UNP, NSC (rails fading), NRG (extended and fading), SBSW (gave back early gains), DNUT (intraday downtrend), ACMR and FIVE (subpar momentum).
- Risk management: Size down on microcaps or thin issues; honor stops below support. If the market turns risk-off, prioritize taking profits at first targets and reduce overnight exposure.
This plan is built from the most recent intraday evidence; update levels with the next full day’s range and volume profile before executing.