Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-12-24 12:00 to 2025-12-26 11:00. Note: holiday-thinned tape and only the most recent 2 sessions of intraday data were available; 30-day context is limited, so levels are derived from recent daily/intraday supply/demand.
Sector/industry performance and patterns:
– Managed Care and Insurance (UNH, ELV, EG): Broad, synchronized strength. All three printed higher highs early and retained most of the opening ramp. Relative strength leaders on both price and sustained volume through the first 90 minutes.
– Software/Tech (MDB): Steady bid and higher lows on 30-minute bars; slow grind higher, constructive for continuation.
– Diagnostics/Biotech (NTRA): Quiet accumulation; stair-step higher with shallow pullbacks.
– Consumer Discretionary mixed:
– Travel/Leisure (EXPE) and Restaurants (WING): Early spikes faded; lower-high consolidation intraday suggests supply overhead.
– Auto retail (AN) and MELI: Choppy to flat; no decisive momentum yet.
– Small-cap/microcap momentum (DBGI, SHMD, CAMP, FGI, NAVN): Morning range expansion and volume surges followed by midday fades. Tradable momentum if reclaimed pivots, but more failure-prone without sector tailwinds.
– Materials/Packaging (AVY): Very tight range; no edge on momentum for now.
Notable tape themes (last 10 days emphasis via most recent sessions):
– Strength clustered in Health Insurers; breadth and confirmation across UNH/ELV/EG supports follow-through potential.
– Momentum names that spiked at the open mostly faded unless supported by sector strength.
– Liquidity tapered quickly after the first hour; expect whips if chasing mid-day.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to advance:
– UNH, ELV, EG: Sector-leading follow-through candidates; constructive consolidations near session highs.
– MDB: Slow, controlled bid with clear nearby levels.
– NTRA: Quiet strength/flag; likely grind higher if it holds above intraday higher lows.
– DBGI (speculative): Momentum continuation if it pushes through 11.65–11.74 with volume.
– SHMD (speculative): Needs a clean reclaim of 5.70/5.80; could squeeze toward 6.00–6.19 if volume returns.
Strongest bullish signals:
– ELV and UNH: Range expansion, sector confirmation, and holding most gains above morning demand.
– EG: Breakout/hold behavior with shallow pullbacks into support.
– MDB: Higher lows + narrow consolidations near highs.
– DBGI: Large range expansion day closing near the upper third; watch for a second push if premarket/liquidity cooperates.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plan (1–3 day swing)
All ATR references use the most recent intraday range as a proxy given limited data.
UNH
– Supports: 329.20–329.36 (10:30 close zone), 328.87 (10:00 low), 326.26 (opening drive low).
– Resistances: 330.24 (session high), 331.00 (round), 333.00 (extension).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): A push through 330.24 likely tests 331.00, then 333.00 if sector stays bid. Failure to clear 330 may back-test 329.20 then 328.87 before a higher-low attempt.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 3.98): 331.35 (0.5R), 333.30 (1R), 334.8–335.0 (1.4–1.5R stretch).
– Entry ideas:
– Breakout: 330.30–330.50 on expanding volume.
– Pullback buy: 329.20–329.40 with strength in ELV/EG.
– Stops:
– Tight: <328.70 (beneath 10:00 low cluster).
– Swing: <327.80 (gives room under rising demand).
–
ELV
– Supports: 346.20–346.70 (10:00–11:00 demand), 345.00 (round), 342.99 (opening low).
– Resistances: 347.81–348.27 (AM high/supply), 349.50, 350.00.
– 30-min outlook: Holding 346.2–346.7 should lead to retests of 348.27 and 350. A clean break of 348.27 with volume opens 349.5–351. Pullbacks likely shallow if sector remains strong.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 5.28): 349.10 (0.5R), 351.75 (1R), 354.4 (1.5R).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 348.35–348.60.
– Pullback: 346.40–346.70 with insurers firm.
– Stops:
– Tight: <346.00.
– Swing: <345.00.
–
EG
– Supports: 337.20–337.55 (10:30 demand), 336.00–336.21 (12/24 print/round), 333.66 (session low).
– Resistances: 338.29–338.41 (intraday high/supply), 340.00, 341.50.
– 30-min outlook: Continuation if 338.41 breaks and holds; expects stepping to 340 then 341.5. Pullback buyers likely to defend 337.2–337.6; deeper dip to 336 can still sustain trend if insurers stay strong.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 4.75): 340.15 (0.5R), 342.50 (1R), 343.7–344.0 (1.3–1.4R).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 338.50–338.60 with breadth across UNH/ELV.
– Pullback: 337.30–337.60.
– Stops:
– Tight: <337.00.
– Swing: <336.00.
–
MDB
– Supports: 437.30–437.41, 436.51, 435.05 (session low).
– Resistances: 438.40, 439.67 (opening bar high), 442.00 (extension).
– 30-min outlook: Looking for a push through 438.40 → 439.7. If tech stays firm, 442 becomes viable within 1–2 days. Lose 436.5 and you likely see a flush to 435 for a higher-low attempt.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 4.62): 440.70 (0.5R), 442.95 (1R), 444.2–444.8 (1.3–1.5R).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 438.45–438.60.
– Pullback: 437.30–437.60 with a higher-low on 30-min.
– Stops:
– Tight: <436.45.
– Swing: <435.00.
–
NTRA
– Supports: 234.23–234.27, 233.66, 233.45 (session low).
– Resistances: 235.41 (session high), 236.00, 238.00 (extension).
– 30-min outlook: Favor gradual drift up if 234.2–234.3 holds. Break and hold 235.41 → 236 first, then 237–238 over 1–3 days.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 1.96): 236.19 (0.5R), 237.17–237.20 (1R), 238.1–238.5 (1.5–1.8R stretch).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 235.45–235.55.
– Pullback: 234.30–234.40 with tight risk.
– Stops:
– Tight: <233.95.
– Swing: <233.45.
–
DBGI (speculative, high risk)
– Supports: 11.33–11.45 (11:00 close zone), 10.80–10.92, 10.50.
– Resistances: 11.65–11.74 (HOD/supply), 12.50, 13.00.
– 30-min outlook: Momentum continuation possible above 11.65–11.74; a quick tag of 12.50 isn’t out of the question if volume spikes. Failure to reclaim 11.65 likely retests 10.9–11.0 for a decision.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 1.63): 12.26 (0.5R), 13.08 (1R), 13.6–13.7 (1.3–1.4R).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 11.70–11.80 with rising volume.
– Pullback: 11.00–11.10 only if it immediately reclaims 11.30s.
– Stops:
– Tight: <10.80.
– Swing: <10.50.
–
SHMD (speculative, needs reclaim)
– Supports: 5.54–5.57 (10:30 close), 5.43, 5.33 (opening low).
– Resistances: 5.70–5.80, 6.00, 6.19 (HOD).
– 30-min outlook: Bullish only on a clean reclaim/hold above 5.70–5.80; that sets up 6.00 then 6.19. Below 5.54, risk of fade back to 5.43–5.33.
– Targets (ATR-proxy ≈ 0.86): 5.99–6.00 (0.5R), 6.43 (1R), 6.60–6.70 (stretch on momentum).
– Entries:
– Breakout: 5.81–5.85 into 6.00.
– Pullback: 5.55–5.60 only if buyers defend quickly.
– Stops:
– Tight: <5.50.
– Swing: <5.43.
–
Risk and execution notes
– Liquidity is thinner due to the holiday week; prioritize entries near well-defined support or on volume-backed breakouts.
– For momentum tickers (DBGI, SHMD), scale smaller and be prepared to exit quickly if reclaim attempts fail.
– Use sector confirmation for UNH/ELV/EG; if the group weakens, tighten stops or reduce exposure.
If you want, I can add names that look weak for potential shorts or provide alerts you can load into your platform for the breakout/pullback levels above.