Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-09-23 08:00 to 14:00 ET; plus a brief 2025-09-22 snippet for SLGL)
- Broad tone: risk-off through the midday session. High beta tech, semis, payments, EV/energy storage, and speculative AI/quantum sold off steadily after late-morning pops. Rotational bid favored select defense and a few healthcare names; gold held firm.
- Weak cohorts and examples:
- Semis/AI software: MPWR, ADI, SNPS, CRWD faded all session; SNOW, MNDY also trended lower.
- Fintech/payments: MA, AXP, GS leaked lower in tandem.
- China ADRs: BABA, BIDU trended down without meaningful bounces.
- EV/energy storage: TSLA sold hard after 13:30; LAC, ENVX, AMPX, NRGV all rolled over; QS couldn’t hold the pop.
- Speculative AI/quantum and miners: IONQ, RGTI, BBAI gave back gains; crypto miners BITF, CLSK faded.
- Industrials: CAT under pressure; GE relatively resilient, consolidating tightly near the highs of the session.
- Relative strength pockets:
- Defense/UAV: AVAV led with higher highs and strong volume; KTOS, by contrast, unwound sharply.
- Healthcare/Biopharma: UTHR showed persistent bid and closed near session highs; AMGN flat; REGN weaker; NTRA faded.
- Precious metals: FNV held firm, grinding higher late.
- Takeaway: Momentum is selective. Follow-through long setups are likeliest where relative strength and closing strength align (AVAV, UTHR), with a defensive lean (FNV). Broader risk assets were net offered into the afternoon.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
- Likely to rise:
- AVAV (defense/UAV) – strongest intraday momentum and relative strength vs peers.
- UTHR (biopharma) – steady bid, closed near day highs; constructive 30-min structure.
- FNV (gold royalty) – defensive bid, tight intraday structure with higher close.
- GE (industrial) – resilient, tight coil near session highs; potential breakout if tape stabilizes.
- Strongest bullish signals: AVAV, UTHR.
Individual Stock Analysis and Trade Plans
Note: Daily supply/demand zones reference today’s developing daily candle plus obvious nearby psychological levels. ATR targets use today’s realized range as a short-term proxy given limited history.
1) AVAV
– Supports (demand):
– 294.75–295.20 (14:00 low/cluster)
– 293.00–293.50 (13:30 low)
– 292.65 (session low area)
– Resistances (supply):
– 296.90–297.00 (14:00 high zone)
– 299.00–299.50 (12:30 high/round)
– 301.10–301.12 (session high)
– 30-min price action view (next 2–3 days): Expect early pullback into 295–295.5, then a push through 297 toward 299–301 if the defense bid persists. Failure below 292.6 likely forces a deeper retrace toward 289–290 before basing.
– Targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 296.9–297.7
– T2: 299.3–300.0
– T3: 301.1–303.5 (using ~8.5 points realized range; partial extension)
– Entry: 295.2–295.7 on pullback; add 293.8–294.1 if tested and held.
– Stop: 292.4 (just below session low and demand shelf).
2) UTHR
– Supports (demand):
– 430.50–431.10 (closing pivot)
– 429.75–430.00 (14:00 low/round)
– 428.00–428.80 (13:00 low zone)
– Resistances (supply):
– 432.20–432.50 (intra-day top)
– 434.00 (nearby psychological)
– 435.00–436.50 (psychological band; extension based on ~4.5 pt day range)
– 30-min price action view (next 2–3 days): Look for a tight flag under 432.5 and a breakout toward mid-434s. If market pressure returns, expect a buy-the-dip response near 430–430.5 before another attempt higher.
– Targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 432.5–433.2
– T2: 434.0–435.0
– T3: 436.0–436.8
– Entry: 430.0–430.8 on dip buy; or momentum >432.6 on breakout.
– Stop: 427.8 (below demand and session low cluster).
3) FNV
– Supports (demand):
– 213.45–213.70 (VWAP/cluster)
– 213.17–213.36 (midday shelf)
– 212.44 (session low)
– Resistances (supply):
– 214.25–214.45 (today’s top zone)
– 215.00 (psychological)
– 216.00 (extension if gold stays bid)
– 30-min price action view (next 2–3 days): Expect a grind higher; dips into 213.4–213.7 likely bought, then a push through 214.5 toward 215–216 with gold strength/defensive tone.
– Targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 214.5
– T2: 215.2
– T3: 216.0
– Entry: 213.4–213.8 on dip; conservative add above 214.5 if holds.
– Stop: 212.2 (below session low; breaks the structure).
4) GE
– Supports (demand):
– 304.08–304.27 (14:00/13:30 lows cluster)
– 303.68 (13:30 low)
– 302.80 (session base)
– Resistances (supply):
– 305.11 (12:30 high)
– 305.78 (session high)
– 306.50 (psychological extension)
– 30-min price action view (next 2–3 days): Coiling beneath 305–305.8. A push through 305.8 can open 306.5+; otherwise expect a tight 303.7–305.1 range with buyable dips if tape stabilizes.
– Targets (1–3 day swing):
– T1: 305.1
– T2: 305.8
– T3: 306.5–307.2
– Entry: 304.2–304.6 on dip; or >305.8 on breakout and hold.
– Stop: 303.4 (beneath range support).
Notes and risk management
– Context risk: Most growth/AI/EV cohorts showed distribution into the afternoon. If that continues, beta-heavy names can drag even strong setups. Scale in/out and respect stops.
– Liquidity and spreads: Some tickers in the list are thin; the four highlighted here exhibit better structure/liquidity for 1–3 day swings.
– ATR proxies: With only an intraday slice provided, targets use today’s realized ranges as short-term proxies; adjust sizing to account for uncertainty.
Bottom line
– Favor long setups where relative strength and closing strength align: AVAV and UTHR lead. FNV offers a defensive, lower-volatility grind up. GE is a tactical breakout candidate if the tape firms. Avoid chasing weakness in semis, AI/quantum, and EV/energy storage until they reclaim key intraday levels and show accumulation on 30-min closes.