Datetime range analyzed (EST)
– 2025-12-17, 13:00 to 15:30 EST on 30-minute bars, as provided. Note: 30-day/daily context wasn’t included in your upload, so the analysis below focuses on the late-session tape and 30-minute momentum, which is typically what drives 1–3 day swing follow-through.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Insurance led with steady accumulation: TRV closed at session highs; AIZ and PLMR pushed higher; RGA, CB held bids. Tickers: TRV, AIZ, PLMR, RGA, CB, AJG.
– Industrial/distribution strong: GWW advanced and closed near HOD; ODFL climbed; HRI firmed into the close. Tickers: GWW, ODFL, HRI.
– Select consumer discretionary showed relative strength: HD stair-stepped up; LULU pushed to new session highs late; MUSA trended higher; MTN firm. Travel was mixed—EXPE uptrend vs BKNG down, with cruise lines weak (RCL, NCLH). Tickers: HD, LULU, MUSA, MTN, EXPE, BKNG, RCL, NCLH.
– Large-cap software/tech: ADBE closed at highs; META was flat. Tickers: ADBE, META.
– Health care mixed: Big pharma/biotech mostly muted to soft (LLY flat, VRTX sold late), but select SMID bios bid (VERA uptrend into close; SANA grind higher; PRLD late breakout). Tickers: LLY, VRTX, VERA, SANA, PRLD.
– Metals/miners lagged: Silver/gold ETFs and royalty names faded or chopped (SIL, WPM, GDXJ, RGLD), with majors mixed (NEM held better). Copper producer SCCO edged up. Tickers: SIL, WPM, GDXJ, RGLD, NEM, SCCO.
– Cannabis mixed and lethargic: TOKE/YOLO flat to slightly up, MJ down; single-name SNDL flat. Tickers: TOKE, YOLO, MJ, SNDL.
– Banks/brokers neutral: JPM held flat; KKR/APO churned; FCNCA/MKL very illiquid, MKL up but thin. Tickers: JPM, KKR, APO, FCNCA, MKL.
Notable intraday patterns
– Defensive rotation and steady bids into close for insurers (TRV, AIZ, PLMR).
– Distribution/logistics (GWW, ODFL) and rental (HRI) showed clean trend continuity.
– Discretionary split: retail/higher-end (LULU, HD, MUSA, MTN) bid; travel-platform dispersion (EXPE > BKNG); cruises sold (RCL, NCLH).
– Precious metals/silver cohort faded bounces; rally attempts sold.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside follow-through candidates (momentum + close near highs + clean intraday structure):
– TRV, ADBE, GWW, HD, LULU, EXPE, MUSA
Secondary watch (also constructive): ODFL, WTS, CHE, MTN, AIZ, PLMR, VERA (higher risk beta)
Stocks showing strongest bullish signals
– TRV, ADBE, GWW: closed near HOD with intraday higher highs/higher lows and persistent bids into the bell.
– HD, LULU: steady, orderly climbs; late-day strength.
– EXPE: impulsive push through 284 with sustained acceptance.
– MUSA: trend day higher, shallow pullbacks.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
Note: Support/resistance derived from today’s 30-min levels and psychological levels given the intraday data provided.
1) TRV
– Supports: 289.18, 289.00, 288.10
– Resistances: 290.55 (HOD), 292.00, 294.00
– 30-min path: Prefer a morning test/hold above 289.50–289.80, then push through 290.55 for trend continuation.
– 1–3 day targets: 291.50, 292.70, stretch 294.00 (approx 1–2x typical daily range).
– Entries: 289.60–289.90 on a controlled pullback; add on 290.60 reclaim.
– Stop: 288.70 (below intraday support cluster); wider swing stop 288.10.
–
2) ADBE
– Supports: 354.34, 353.57, 352.50
– Resistances: 355.10 (HOD), 357.00, 360.00
– 30-min path: Flag above 353.8–354.3 and break 355.1 opens 357; sustained closes >357 can target 360 in 1–3 days.
– 1–3 day targets: 357.00, 358.80, 360.00.
– Entries: 354.00–354.40 pullback to prior demand; momentum add on >355.20.
– Stop: 352.90; conservative swing stop 352.40.
–
3) GWW
– Supports: 1020.44, 1018.70, 1016.63
– Resistances: 1022.77 (HOD), 1025.00, 1030.00
– 30-min path: Hold above 1019–1020 and break 1022.8 triggers a measured leg; watch for steady grind vs spikes.
– 1–3 day targets: 1025.50, 1028.50, 1030.50.
– Entries: 1020.50–1021.00 on dip; add through 1023.00.
– Stop: 1016.40 (beneath session demand).
–
4) HD
– Supports: 356.05, 355.39, 355.21
– Resistances: 357.50 (HOD), 358.50, 360.00
– 30-min path: Early consolidation above 356–356.3, then 357.5 break sets up 358.5–360 run if market risk-on persists.
– 1–3 day targets: 358.20, 359.20, 360.00.
– Entries: 356.20–356.40 first dip; add on 357.60 breakout.
– Stop: 355.10; wider swing stop 354.90.
–
5) LULU
– Supports: 208.55, 208.20, 206.70
– Resistances: 209.40 (HOD), 210.50, 212.00
– 30-min path: Tight flag above 208.5; push >209.4 opens 210.5; continuation needs higher lows above 208.5 on pullbacks.
– 1–3 day targets: 210.40, 211.20, 212.00.
– Entries: 208.60–208.90; add over 209.50.
– Stop: 207.90; conservative 206.60 if giving it room.
–
6) EXPE
– Supports: 283.39, 282.96, 281.68
– Resistances: 284.67 (session high), 286.00, 288.00
– 30-min path: Momentum continuation if 284 holds as support after an opening retest; push through 284.7 can attract trend followers.
– 1–3 day targets: 286.00, 287.20, 288.00.
– Entries: 283.60–283.90 on dip buy; add through 284.80 with volume.
– Stop: 282.70 initial; swing 281.60 if scaling.
–
7) MUSA
– Supports: 407.13, 406.43, 404.83
– Resistances: 409.25 (HOD), 412.00, 415.00
– 30-min path: Trend day structure favors shallow pullbacks; hold >406.8–407.2 then reclaim 409.3 for extension.
– 1–3 day targets: 410.80, 412.80, 415.00.
– Entries: 407.10–407.40; add on 409.40 break.
– Stop: 405.90; wider swing stop 404.70.
–
Honorable mentions (constructive but not detailed here)
– ODFL, WTS, CHE, MTN, AIZ, PLMR, VERA (higher beta/speculative)
Risk management and notes
– Because only a late-session intraday slice was provided, “daily” S/R and ATR-based targets are approximations using intraday structure and common round-number pivots. If you can share 30-day daily bars, I’ll refine levels with higher-timeframe supply/demand and precise ATRs.
– For entries, wait for confirmation: hold above support after the open, VWAP reclaim, or a clean break/hold of R1 with expanding volume.