Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed period (EST): 2025-12-03 from roughly 13:00 to 15:30 on 30-minute bars.
Context and read-through from today’s 30-minute tape:
– Precious metals/silver miners led a quiet risk-on afternoon: SILJ, SIL, SLVP, GDXJ, AGQ, JNUG firmed into the close while single names AG, HL, EQX, SVM, EXK printed higher lows and late-day pushes. This points to accumulation in silver miners.
– Semiconductors showed broad strength into the bell: SMH/SOXX pushed to session highs, with leaders ADI, TER, LITE, MPWR closing strong; AMAT and COHR also bid; INTC reclaimed intraday weakness and AMD grinded up.
– Indexes/large-cap tech steady to slightly higher: SPY, QQQ, VGT edged up; META range-bound; COST and BKNG stable.
– Energy/metals mixed-to-firm: FANG firmed; copper-related TGB flat, while TMC (deep-sea metals) had a strong close.
– Industrials/machinery mixed: PWR and CLH/HII were constructive; GWW faded. WCC flat.
– Retail/apparel slightly softer with selective strength: LULU bounced intraday; ANF/URBN range-bound; ULTA choppy; BBWI faded mid-afternoon.
– Financials slightly positive: GS, JPM, LPLA ticked higher late.
– High-beta/speculative: APLD reversed higher into the afternoon; BITF constructive; MSOS faded; WOK had a sharp intraday flush (caution).
Takeaway: Rotation favored semis and silver miners simultaneously — a short-term momentum-friendly backdrop. If this persists, look for continuation setups in select semis and liquid silver miners.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher on momentum follow-through:
– LITE, TER, MPWR, ADI (semis leadership)
– AG (silver miner; aided by sector ETFs firming)
– TMC (metals; strong close with rising volume)
Honorable mentions (constructive but slightly lower conviction): APLD, BA, AXTI, AMAT.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels derived from today’s 30-min structure and nearby round-number pivots; targets incorporate typical 1–3 day ATR-style moves and obvious resistance shelves. Use tight trade management given the short-term horizon.
1) LITE
– Supports: 303.0; 301.4; 300.0
– Resistances: 306.0; 308.0; 310.0
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: Look for a push over 306.0; hold above 303.0 keeps momentum intact.
– Day 2–3: Above 306, continuation toward 308–310; failure back below 301.4 likely retests 300.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 306.8 (T1); 309.2 (T2); 312.0 (stretch)
– Entries:
– Pullback buy near 301.5–303.0 with reclaim
– Break-and-retest over 306.0
– Stop-loss: Below 300.5 (or tighter 301.0 if filled near 303)
2) TER
– Supports: 195.0; 194.5; 194.0
– Resistances: 196.2; 197.2; 198.5
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: Consolidation above 195 sets up a 196.2 breakout.
– Day 2–3: Hold above 196.2 opens 197.2 then 198+; a close back under 194.5 weakens the setup.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 196.7 (T1); 197.6 (T2); 198.8–199.5 (stretch)
– Entries:
– 195.0–195.3 pullback with basing
– Break and hold above 196.2
– Stop-loss: 193.9 (below the 30-min demand shelf)
3) MPWR
– Supports: 954.0; 951.0; 948.0
– Resistances: 962.0; 970.0; 975.0–980.0
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: New HOD close favors a gap-and-go; watch 960–962 for acceptance.
– Day 2–3: Over 970 continuation toward 975–980; loss of 954 likely backfill toward 948–951.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 965 (T1); 972–975 (T2); 982–985 (stretch)
– Entries:
– 954–956 pullback buy
– Momentum add on strong hold above 962
– Stop-loss: 947.5 (below prior intraday base)
4) ADI
– Supports: 277.1; 276.3; 275.9
– Resistances: 278.2; 279.5; 281.5
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: Expect a measured push over 278.2 if semis stay bid.
– Day 2–3: Over 279.5, path to 281+; below 276.3 risks a deeper fade to ~275.9.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 278.8 (T1); 280.4 (T2); 282.0 (stretch)
– Entries:
– 276.7–277.1 retest with higher low
– Break-and-hold above 278.2
– Stop-loss: 275.8 (below day’s mid-range)
5) AG
– Supports: 15.68; 15.55; 15.40
– Resistances: 15.88; 16.00; 16.20
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: Watch for 15.88–16.00 breakout if silver ETFs (SILJ/SIL/SLVP) keep firming.
– Day 2–3: Above 16, momentum to 16.20–16.35; loss of 15.55 likely retests 15.40.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 15.95 (T1); 16.15 (T2); 16.35 (stretch)
– Entries:
– 15.65–15.72 pullback into support with sector confirmation
– Break-retest above 15.88/16.00
– Stop-loss: 15.47 (beneath demand zone)
6) TMC
– Supports: 7.49; 7.46; 7.37
– Resistances: 7.56; 7.80; 8.00
– 30-minute outlook (2–3 days):
– Day 1: Strong close—look for an early probe of 7.56; acceptance opens 7.75–7.80.
– Day 2–3: Clearing 7.80 targets the 8.00 magnet; slip back below 7.46 weakens momentum.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 7.75 (T1); 7.95 (T2); 8.20 (stretch)
– Entries:
– 7.49–7.52 pullback with tight risk
– Break and hold above 7.56
– Stop-loss: 7.35 (below the 30-min base)
Risk management and notes
– Given we are trading 1–3 day momentum, lean on tight stops at/just below the listed supports and scale out at T1/T2. If the sector tailwind (semis, silver miners) persists, consider letting a runner aim for stretch targets.
– If the open gaps against the plan, wait for 30–60 minutes to let VWAP/structure set before entering.
Quick sector watchlist cues for confirmation
– Semis continuation: SMH/SOXX holding green and making higher highs favors LITE/TER/MPWR/ADI follow-through.
– Silver miners continuation: SILJ/SIL/SLVP/GDXJ and AGQ/JNUG firming supports long attempts in AG.
Summary: Likely upside over next 2–3 days
– Higher conviction: LITE, TER, MPWR, ADI, AG, TMC
– Strong bullish signals today: New or near-HOD closes (MPWR, LITE, TER), sector breadth (SMH/SOXX; SILJ/SIL), rising into the bell with clear levels overhead.
Trade safe and keep size appropriate to the volatility of each name.