Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (window analyzed: 2025-10-29 13:00–15:30 EST)
- Market tone: Index and large-cap tech ETFs (QQQ, VGT, TECL, BULZ) faded mid-afternoon and stabilized into the close, signaling a risk-off afternoon with selective late strength. Financials (GS, JPM) and Industrials/Chemicals (MMM, DOW) trended lower. Healthcare mixed-to-weak (LLY, UNH down; RNA flat-to-soft). Energy/Materials broadly soft (FSLR, CCJ, UROY, VAL down). Consumer Discretionary/Retail under pressure (SHOP, WSM, BOOT, W).
- Relative strength standouts into the close: Semis/AI hardware showed resilience and bid recovery vs sector ETFs—AVGO closed strong near highs; AMD recovered most of the dip; NVDA held firm. Communication Services mega-caps were steady (GOOG/GOOGL modest upticks). High-beta momentum pockets remained active (CRWV stair-stepped higher; NEGG maintained upper-range prices despite volatility; NBIS/NEBX had powerful rebounds).
- Pattern takeaways:
- Semiconductors: Outperformed their sector proxies late day (AVGO > NVDA ≈ AMD > ARM), hinting at potential follow-through if the macro tape steadies.
- Financials: Persistent selling (GS, JPM) suggests near-term resistance overhead—likely headwinds for broad risk appetite unless these stabilize.
- Retail/Discretionary: Persistent supply and weak closes (SHOP, WSM, W, BOOT) indicate risk of further digestion.
- Energy/Materials/Uranium: Offered little dip-buying (FSLR, CCJ, UROY) into the close—momentum not yet rotating back.
- Small/mid-cap momentum: Binary, with flushes followed by selective squeezes (NEGG strong, OPEN heavy). Expect two-way, headline-driven trading.
Note: Only intraday data was provided; 30-day/10-day context is inferred via today’s price/volume behavior relative to sector proxies.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 trading days)
Most likely to rise (momentum/RS-based):
– AVGO: Closed near highs with higher-lows into the bell; RS vs QQQ/semis.
– AMD: Bought on dips, reclaiming most of the mid-day slide; constructive structure if semis bid continues.
– GOOGL: Quiet accumulation intraday; steady green ticks vs broader tech fade.
– CRWV: Trend day up with strong volume and higher highs; buyers in control into the close.
– NEGG: Momentum tape with higher highs intraday; held upper third of the day’s range.
Strongest bullish signals today: AVGO, CRWV
Secondary but constructive: AMD, GOOGL, NEGG
Individual Stock Analysis
AVGO
– Key support (daily supply/demand zones via today’s structure):
– 382.20–382.40 (late support)
– 379.10–379.20 (midday pivot/high retest zone)
– 374.50–375.00 (session low area/major demand)
– Key resistance:
– 384.63 (HOD)
– 386.50–387.50 (extension/round-number zone)
– 391.00 (measured extension if momentum persists)
– 30-minute outlook (next 2–3 days):
– Base above 379–382, then probe 384.6; a clean hold over 384.6 opens 386.5/387.5 and potentially ~391 on momentum continuation.
– Swing targets (1–3 days):
– T1 384.6, T2 387.5, T3 391.0
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 382.3–382.6 or deeper buy 379.4–380.0 if market dips.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 379.00
– Wider swing: below 374.40
AMD
– Key support:
– 262.95–263.00 (late-session higher low)
– 261.75–261.85 (midday pivot/closing VWAP region)
– 258.00 (session low/major demand)
– Key resistance:
– 264.34–264.87 (late/mid HOD zone)
– 266.00 (round-number supply)
– 268.00 (measured push if semis rip)
– 30-minute outlook:
– Expect chop above 261.8 while buyers attempt a 264.9 retest. Break/hold over 265 opens 266–268.
– Swing targets:
– T1 264.9, T2 266.0, T3 268.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 263.0–263.3 on dips; add near 261.9 if strength returns.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 261.40
– Wider: below 259.80 (invalidates rebound structure)
GOOGL
– Key support:
– 272.87–273.00 (late-session floor)
– 272.36–272.40 (afternoon dip buy zone)
– 271.17 (session low; strong demand pivot)
– Key resistance:
– 273.74–274.00 (local supply shelf)
– 274.38 (HOD)
– 275.50–276.00 (extension/round-number supply)
– 30-minute outlook:
– Accumulation around 273; a hold above 273.7 likely tests 274.4 then 275–276 if indices stabilize.
– Swing targets:
– T1 274.4, T2 275.0, T3 276.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 273.0–273.2; add on reclaim/hold above 273.7.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 272.30
– Wider: below 271.00
CRWV
– Key support:
– 139.18–139.20 (late higher low)
– 138.17–138.20 (breakout retest zone)
– 136.05 (first sharp pullback low; trend guardrail)
– Key resistance:
– 139.75–140.00 (close/high zone)
– 140.30–140.33 (HOD/supply)
– 142.00 (measured extension if momentum accelerates)
– 30-minute outlook:
– Strong trend structure; look for a shallow pullback to 138.2–139.2, then a push through 140.3 toward 141.5–142.
– Swing targets:
– T1 140.3, T2 141.5, T3 142.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 139.2–139.4 on a controlled dip; secondary buy 138.2–138.5 if tested and held.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 138.00
– Wider: below 136.00
NEGG
– Key support:
– 68.73 (afternoon pullback low)
– 67.78 (session support; multiple tests)
– 66.70 (early base; risk guardrail)
– Key resistance:
– 69.66 (midday supply)
– 70.00–70.90 (round number/HOD band)
– 72.00 (extension target on momentum squeeze)
– 30-minute outlook:
– Momentum tape: expect tests of 69.3–69.7; through 70 triggers squeeze toward 70.9 then 72.
– Swing targets:
– T1 69.7, T2 70.9, T3 72.0
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 68.8–69.1 on dips; add on 70 reclaim with volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 67.70
– Wider: below 66.60 (invalidates long momentum structure)
Risk management and notes
– The tape showed broad afternoon selling; long setups work best if QQQ/VGT stabilize. If indices continue to leak, use tighter stops and smaller size.
– ATR-based sizing: Without 10–30 day ATR data, size positions using today’s intraday ranges as a proxy: AVGO ~2.4% trough-to-peak, AMD ~2.7%, GOOGL ~1.2%, CRWV ~3.1%, NEGG ~8–9%. Use smaller risk on higher-volatility names (NEGG).
– If Financials (GS, JPM) and Cyclicals (DOW, MMM) continue to weaken tomorrow, expect rotations to be narrower; focus on RS leaders (AVGO/AMD/CRWV).
This column uses only the provided intraday dataset for 10/29/2025; for higher conviction on 1–5 day swings, confirm these zones against your daily chart and recent 10–30 day moving ranges before execution.