Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-09-23 from 13:00 to 15:30 ET, using 30-minute bars as provided.
– Note: The dataset is intraday-only for the latest session. Where daily supply/demand zones are referenced, they’re inferred from today’s intraday structure and round-number pivots; validate against your daily charts.
Takeaways by sector/industry from the provided basket:
– Tech (QQQ, VGT): Broad tech was sideways-to-soft intraday (QQQ ~598 -> 598.07; VGT flat). Large-cap semis mixed: AMAT, LRCX, STX firmed into the close; NVDA flat; MPWR slightly bid. Software mixed: CRWD/NET/INTU drifted higher; SNOW/CDNS/SNPS faded. Tickers: QQQ, VGT, AMAT, LRCX, STX, NVDA, MPWR, CRWD, NET, INTU, SNOW, CDNS, SNPS.
– Industrials/Capex/Builders: Relative strength. CAT grinded higher; STRL closed near highs; PRIM held; ROAD/DY faded late. Tickers: CAT, STRL, PRIM, ROAD, DY.
– Consumer/discretionary: Mixed-to-soft. LULU and DUOL flat; SPOT faded; TSLA couldn’t reclaim morning damage; CVNA trended lower. Tickers: LULU, DUOL, SPOT, TSLA, CVNA.
– Datacenter/AI infra and digitals: APLD reclaimed VWAP and closed strong; NET/CRWD/INTU bid; Bitcoin miners modestly firm (IREN, CIFR, CLSK). Tickers: APLD, NET, CRWD, INTU, IREN, CIFR, CLSK.
– Energy/Solar: Weak across the board (FSLR, SEDG, FLNC all faded). Tickers: FSLR, SEDG, FLNC.
– Precious metals: Weak risk tone in miners (AEM, FNV; NUGT, GDXU lower). Silver (EXK) also soft. Tickers: AEM, FNV, NUGT, GDXU, EXK.
– Uranium/Nuclear: Mixed-to-strong. LEU pushed up into the close, URAA choppy, OKLO trended higher. Tickers: LEU, URAA, OKLO.
– Auto-tech/EV components: QS and AEVA showed momentum; OEMs/used car (TSLA/CVNA) lagged. Tickers: QS, AEVA, TSLA, CVNA.
Pattern highlights:
– Into-close accumulation: APLD, LEU, METC, QS, AEVA, NVTS, STX, AMAT, IBM showed higher lows into the final hour with closes near session highs—classic 1–3 day continuation setups when the next day’s open holds above the final hour’s VWAP.
– Risk-off pockets: Metals and solar sold rallies; any strength there faces overhead supply near today’s mid-day highs.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue up (momentum/continuation candidates):
– APLD, QS, AEVA, METC, LEU, NVTS
Strongest bullish signals today:
– APLD (strong reclaim and HOD close), METC (trend day and near-HOD close), LEU (relative strength vs URAA), QS (afternoon breakout with steady volume), AEVA (higher-highs sequence into close), NVTS (grind up with higher lows, testing 7.00).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Support/resistance derived from today’s intraday structure and key round levels; confirm on daily charts. Price action predictions use the 30-min structure and assume neutral to mildly supportive index backdrop.
1) APLD
– 30-min read: Clean recoveries from 23.60, higher lows, and a strong close at 24.42 near HOD—favors a day-2 push if 24s hold.
– Support: 24.05–24.10; 23.60–23.70; 23.10–23.20
– Resistance: 24.45–24.55 (HOD band); 25.00; 25.50
– 1–3 day targets: 24.95; 25.50; 26.20 (stretch if momentum persists)
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 24.05–24.20 with strength back above 24.30
– Breakout add above 24.55 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 23.55
– Swing: below 23.05
2) QS
– 30-min read: Morning flush reversed; stair-step higher into 13.75 with solid close at 13.70—setup for 14 test if dips are bought.
– Support: 13.55–13.60; 13.35; 13.10
– Resistance: 13.75–13.80; 14.00; 14.25
– 1–3 day targets: 14.00; 14.25; 14.60
– Entry ideas:
– Retest long 13.55–13.60 with reversal candles
– Momentum add through 13.80–13.85
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 13.30
– Swing: below 13.05
3) AEVA
– 30-min read: Trend up all afternoon, closing at HOD band (18.20). Volume supported the grind—favors continuation toward 18.5–19 if indices don’t fade.
– Support: 17.85–17.90; 17.60–17.65; 17.20
– Resistance: 18.20–18.25; 18.50; 19.00
– 1–3 day targets: 18.50; 18.90; 19.40
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 17.85–18.00 with reclaim
– Breakout add above 18.25 on expanding volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 17.55
– Swing: below 17.15
4) METC
– 30-min read: Strong trend day from ~30.7 to 31.97 with close near highs—momentum intact; watch 32 psych and half-dollar levels above.
– Support: 31.35–31.50; 31.00; 30.70
– Resistance: 32.00; 32.50; 33.30
– 1–3 day targets: 32.50; 33.00; 33.80
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback long 31.35–31.55 with higher-low confirmation
– Breakout add through 32.05
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 30.95
– Swing: below 30.65
5) LEU
– 30-min read: Relative strength within uranium/nuclear theme; steady bid and close near highs (304.33). If 302–303 holds, room to push into mid-300s supply.
– Support: 302.6–303.0; 299.7–300.0; 297.0
– Resistance: 304.8–305.1; 306.4; 309.0
– 1–3 day targets: 305.50; 307.50; 309.50
– Entry ideas:
– First pullback buy 302.8–303.2 with reclaim
– Breakout add through 305.20 on volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 299.5
– Swing: below 297.0
6) NVTS
– 30-min read: Higher-lows build and close 6.91; 7.00 magnet above. Power semi theme benefits if semis hold bid tomorrow.
– Support: 6.85; 6.78–6.80; 6.72
– Resistance: 6.95; 7.00; 7.15
– 1–3 day targets: 7.00; 7.10; 7.25
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback long 6.80–6.85 with reclaim over 6.90
– Breakout add through 6.95/7.00 with volume
– Stop-loss:
– Tighter: below 6.69
– Swing: below 6.60
Risk/confirmation checklist for next session
– Indices: AQQQ/VGT need to be flat-to-positive off the open to support continuation. A weak tape likely caps targets and favors taking partials earlier.
– Volume: Look for expanding volume on breaks of the listed resistance levels; fade the breakout if it’s on thin tape.
– Invalidations: Lose the first support band and hold below VWAP for 2+ bars on the 30-min—bias shifts to “buy-the-next-support-only” or stand aside.
This plan is designed for 1–3 day momentum swings with defined risk. Validate the intraday levels against your daily S/R zones before executing.