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Anticipation Breakout Tuesday 12/30/2025

December 30, 2025 4 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-12-29 15:30 to 2025-12-30 15:30)
– Scope note: The data provided are intraday snapshots over the last 1–2 sessions rather than 30 calendar days. The read below focuses on microstructure/30-minute trends and relative strength over the most recent trading windows.
– Market baseline: SPY was flat-to-slightly heavy into the close, suggesting a neutral tape with mild end-of-day distribution.
– Standout strength
– Data center/infra: EQIX pushed to session highs into the close with rising half-hour volume, showing clean relative strength vs SPY.
– Consumer staples/club retail: COST stair-stepped higher and closed near highs, bid all afternoon.
– Payments: MA finished strong, reclaiming and holding highs late.
– Large-cap biotech/pharma: LLY, REGN both firmed into the close; MDGL also bid late.
– Mixed to soft
– Semiconductors: AMD, TSM, MU all faded into the close; risk-on beta cooled.
– Defense: LMT, NOC, LHX mostly range-bound to slightly heavy; CW modestly firmer.
– Industrials/transport: FDX, URI muted; banks (JPM) flat.
– Digital infra dispersion: EQIX strong while DBRG bled all afternoon.

Notable intraday trends/patterns by group
– Rotation to high-quality defensives and asset-light cash engines (COST, MA, EQIX) while high-beta semis faded (AMD, TSM, MU).
– Biotech/pharma showed end-of-day accumulation (LLY, REGN, MDGL), typical of funds positioning ahead of catalysts/turn of year.
– Low-liquidity small caps showed chop and late-day sellers (AAOI, BE, LEU), suggesting selectivity remains key.

Tickers most likely to rise in the next 2–3 days
– EQIX, COST, MA, LLY, REGN, TDG
– Strongest bullish signals: higher-high/higher-low structure on 30-minute, close near HOD, late-session volume expansion vs prior half-hours, and clear relative strength vs SPY.

Individual Stock Analysis (levels are the nearest obvious zones inferred from recent daily/intraday structure and round-number context; execution is on 30-minute signals)

EQIX
– Supports: 765.5, 764.3, 763.9
– Resistances: 768.9 (HOD), 770.0, 772.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Favor a shallow pullback toward 765–766 that holds higher lows, then a push through 769–770. Continuation likely while above 763.9.
– Entries: 765.8–766.2 on a higher-low; add on a 770.1 break/hold.
– Stop-loss: 763.7 (beneath 763.9 demand).
– Targets (1–3 day): 770.5, 772.0, stretch 775–780 on a trend day.
finviz dynamic chart for  EQIX

COST
– Supports: 865.5, 865.0, 864.7
– Resistances: 867.8, 870.0, 872.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect an opening balance chop, then a grind higher if 865 holds. A decisive bid >867.8 opens 870–872.
– Entries: 865.8–866.3 on dip buys; momentum entry >868 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 864.4 (beneath session demand).
– Targets (1–3 day): 869.5, 872.0, 875.0 on follow-through.
finviz dynamic chart for  COST

MA
– Supports: 576.0, 575.7, 575.0
– Resistances: 577.35 (HOD), 579.0, 582.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a brief retest of 576 then continuation. A sustained break above 577.4 sets 579 then 582.
– Entries: 576.2–576.6 on higher-low confirmation; add through 577.5.
– Stop-loss: 574.9 (below structure).
– Targets (1–3 day): 578.5, 580.5, 582.5.
finviz dynamic chart for  MA

LLY
– Supports: 1080.7, 1079.5, 1078.6
– Resistances: 1082.4 (session high), 1084.0, 1086.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Bid into the close suggests small dip then push into 1082–1084. Trend intact while 1079–1080 holds.
– Entries: 1080.8–1081.2 on constructive dips; breakout add >1082.5 with rising volume.
– Stop-loss: 1078.9.
– Targets (1–3 day): 1083.5, 1086.0, 1090.0 if momentum broadens in healthcare.
finviz dynamic chart for  LLY

REGN
– Supports: 772.1, 771.6, 771.0
– Resistances: 773.8 (HOD), 775.0, 778.0
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Higher-low coil expected above 772, then probe 774–775. Strength persists while 771s hold.
– Entries: 772.2–772.6 on dip buy; add >774.
– Stop-loss: 770.9.
– Targets (1–3 day): 775.0, 778.0, 782.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  REGN

TDG
– Supports: 1314.9, 1313.5, 1312.4
– Resistances: 1317.13 (HOD), 1319.5, 1322–1324
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Tight uptrend; expect early retest of 1315–1316 then continuation into 1319–1322 if tape cooperates.
– Entries: 1315.0–1316.0 on higher-low; momentum add >1317.2.
– Stop-loss: 1312.8.
– Targets (1–3 day): 1319.5, 1322.5, 1328.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  TDG

Quick tactical notes
– Confirmation: For all names, look for 30-minute close above prior bar’s high on rising volume to confirm continuation.
– Risk management: Keep initial risk tight (0.3–0.6% below support for large caps here) given the neutral SPY backdrop and recent semis softness.
– Avoid: Chasing semis (AMD, TSM, MU) until they reclaim intraday VWAP and set higher lows on 30-minute; their late-day fades argue patience.

If you want, I can add or adjust levels once you share full daily history to refine daily supply/demand and ATR-based targets.

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