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Anticipation Breakout Tuesday 11/18/2025

November 18, 2025 5 min read

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-11-17 14:30 to 2025-11-18 15:30 using the 30-minute bars you provided. Note: you didn’t include 30-day daily candles, so the analysis emphasizes the most recent intraday momentum (which drives 1–3 day swings). Where “daily zones” are mentioned, I infer nearby supply/demand from the intraday structure and round-number pivots; please validate on your daily chart.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
– Healthcare/Biotech mixed, with notable late-day strength in SMID-cap biotech (QURE, FULC, UNCY, BLTE, JBIO, ERAS) while large-cap healthcare and managed care digested/slipped (LLY, ABBV, REGN, VRTX, ELV, CI, HCA, SYK, PEN). Pattern: speculative risk within biotech outperforms defensives/mega-cap health.
– Industrials/Aero/Transports soft-to-flat into the close (DE, TDG, FDX), signaling tepid cyclical appetite.
– Financials slightly heavy (CB) and data/analytics flat (FDS). COHN illiquid, no read-through.
– Metals/Gold mixed and indecisive (RGLD, AU, HYMC) — no clean trend.
– Consumer mixed to sideways (AZO flat, COKE drifted).
– Risk proxies: UVXY and TZA ticked up with heavy volume late — a mild risk-off tone and small-cap underperformance.

Notable late-session patterns:
– Biotech micro/small caps printed higher lows and strong closes (QURE, FULC, UNCY, BLTE, JBIO).
– Index hedges/vol (UVXY, TZA) firmed into the bell. If that persists, market beta may remain pressured short term.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
Likely upside candidates based on 30-minute momentum and strong closes:
– QURE, CORD, FULC, UNCY, BLTE, CRCD
Strongest bullish signals: QURE, CORD, FULC
– Secondary momentum/monitor: JBIO, ERAS
Context hedges if indices stay weak: UVXY, TZA (note: leveraged/inverse ETPs with decay — use smaller size/tighter risk)

Individual Stock Analysis (levels, plan, targets):
QURE
– Thesis: Series of higher highs/lows all afternoon, close near highs on rising volume — constructive for a 1–3 day continuation if 30 holds.
– Support: 30.00 (psych/last 30-min base), 29.74 (pullback low), 29.41 (session swing low).
– Resistance: 30.35 (late print), 30.62 (HOD), 31.00 (round-number daily supply area).
– 2–3 day path (30-min read): Above 30.00, look for a push to 30.35 → 30.62; a clean hold over 30.62 can magnet 31.00. Failure back below 29.57 likely yields a digestion back toward 29.4x.
– Swing targets: T1 30.35, T2 30.62, T3 31.00 (ATR-based stretch = close + ~1x your daily ATR(14) if momentum continues).
– Entry: 30.00–30.10 retest; add on 30.62 breakout with volume.
– Stop: 29.55 (below structure); tighter traders 29.70.
finviz dynamic chart for  QURE

CORD
– Thesis: Strong late-day trend with a decisive close near highs; buyers defended 50.50 and reclaimed 51s.
– Support: 50.50 (VWAP area/afternoon base), 50.00 (round), 49.20 (session low/supply turned demand).
– Resistance: 51.22 (close), 51.40 (HOD 51.3998), 52.00 (round/daily supply).
– 2–3 day path: Hold 50.50 → retest 51.40; break/hold above opens 52.00. Lose 50.00 and you risk a range-backfill toward 49s.
– Swing targets: T1 51.40, T2 52.00, T3 52.80–53.00 (if expansion equals ~1x daily ATR).
– Entry: 50.50–50.80 on a controlled pullback; or momentum add >51.40 with volume.
– Stop: 49.90 (beneath round + intraday structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  CORD

FULC
– Thesis: Persistent afternoon bid and strong close; microcap biotech momentum.
– Support: 9.62 (breakout pivot), 9.50 (psych/earlier demand), 9.48 (session shelf).
– Resistance: 9.80 (close/high area), 9.82 (HOD), 10.00 (major round supply).
– 2–3 day path: Consolidation under 9.80 → breakout attempt; through 9.82 enables a quick tag of 10.00. If it fades below 9.50, look for 9.30s before rebid.
– Swing targets: T1 9.82, T2 10.00, T3 10.30–10.40 (ATR-driven extension if volume persists).
– Entry: 9.62–9.70 pullback; momentum add on >9.82 reclaim.
– Stop: 9.44–9.48 (below structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  FULC

UNCY
– Thesis: Closed at HOD with a late ramp; thin float — momentum-friendly but volatile.
– Support: 5.74 (pullback low), 5.71–5.70 (base), 5.69 (session shelf).
– Resistance: 5.85 (HOD), 5.90 (micro round), 6.00 (round-number supply).
– 2–3 day path: Early probe of 5.85–5.90; sustained hold over 5.90 sets up 6.00 and potential squeeze. Lose 5.70 and it likely bases 5.50–5.60.
– Swing targets: T1 5.90, T2 6.00, T3 6.20–6.30 (stretch if momentum ignites).
– Entry: 5.72–5.78 on dip-and-hold; add on >5.90 with tape strength.
– Stop: 5.62 (below base).
finviz dynamic chart for  UNCY

BLTE
– Thesis: Trend day up with higher lows and a strong close just below local highs — constructive for continuation if 122–123 holds.
– Support: 122.51 (intraday pivot), 120.56 (midday demand), 119.25 (morning demand).
– Resistance: 124.79 (last print high), 125.24 (HOD), 126.00 (round/daily supply zone).
– 2–3 day path: Hold 122–123 → retest 124.8–125.2; over 125.2 opens 126–127. If it slips under 120.5, look for a deeper digestion.
– Swing targets: T1 125.00, T2 126.00, T3 127.50–128.00 (if range expands toward daily ATR).
– Entry: 122.8–123.5 on a controlled pullback; momentum add >125.25.
– Stop: 119.90 (beneath key demand).
finviz dynamic chart for  BLTE

CRCD
– Thesis: Steady intraday uptrend with buyers defending dips; closed near highs — setup for a measured push higher.
– Support: 46.95 (late pullback), 46.82 (14:30 close), 46.77 (intraday pivot).
– Resistance: 47.37 (HOC), 47.44 (HOD), 47.50 (round/nearby daily supply).
– 2–3 day path: Hold 46.9–47.0 and press 47.37–47.44; a clean breakout targets 47.50–48.00 zone. Lose 46.77 and it likely revisits 46.40–46.50.
– Swing targets: T1 47.44, T2 47.80–48.00, T3 48.40 (ATR-based expansion).
– Entry: 46.90–47.05; add through 47.44 with volume.
– Stop: 46.55 (below rising intraday structure).
finviz dynamic chart for  CRCD

Volatility/Inverse small caps (for context and hedging)
UVXY
– Strong late-day bid with higher highs into the close. If indices stay heavy, UVXY can extend.
– Support: 11.73, 11.70, 11.67. Resistance: 12.02, 12.10, 12.30.
– Plan: Consider as a hedge on equity longs; Stop below 11.67; Targets 12.02 → 12.30 → 12.50 if vol continues to expand.
finviz dynamic chart for  UVXY

TZA
– Firm close near highs; confirms small-cap underperformance.
– Support: 8.86, 8.85, 8.81. Resistance: 8.97, 9.00, 9.05.
– Plan: Hedge or tactical long if IWM weak; Stop below 8.81; Targets 9.00 → 9.05 → 9.20 on further risk-off.
finviz dynamic chart for  TZA

Risk Management and Execution Notes:
– Sizing: Keep single-name SMID/micro-cap biotech positions smaller; they can move 5–10% in a day. For UVXY/TZA, use reduced size due to decay and leverage.
– Triggers: I prefer add-on entries only on 30-minute closes above listed breakout levels, with increasing volume.
– ATR framing: For 1–3 day swings, aim to capture 0.5–1.0x your daily ATR(14) per leg. Without your daily ATRs here, the targets lean on visible intraday supply zones; calibrate to your ATRs before execution.
– Market tape: If UVXY/TZA keep climbing at the open, fade strength in cyclicals and be selective on long breakouts; if they fade, the long candidates above have cleaner continuation odds.

If you want me to layer these plans onto true daily/30-day levels and compute precise ATR-based targets, send the last 30 trading days of OHLCV for these tickers.

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