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Anticipation Breakout Tuesday 10/21/2025

October 21, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-10-21 10:00 to 15:30; most symbols show 13:30–15:30 30-minute bars)
– Scope note: Only intraday data for 10/21 was provided (no full last-30-days/daily history). The analysis below emphasizes today’s last two hours of price/volume, using those dynamics to infer 1–3 day momentum setups.

  • Semiconductors and Semi-Equipment:
    • Strong close-to-highs, steady accumulation in equipment/high-quality growth: KLAC, MPWR, AEIS each finished near session highs on rising into-the-close prints. NVMI flat; ADI faded modestly late; storage WDC and STX were mixed-to-soft. Pattern: rotation into semi capital-equipment leaders (KLAC, MPWR).
  • Healthcare/MedTech/Biopharma:
    • Distributors and services strong: MCK closed at HOD; HCA firm; MEDP and PODD trended up into the bell; SYK steady. Large-cap biotech REGN flat; smaller biotech mixed/sloppy (BEAM, RAPT down; NUVL late bounce).
  • Industrials:
    • ETN broke to HOD late with expanding volume; TDG firm; ROK faded. Pattern: selective strength in electrification leaders (ETN).
  • REITs:
    • PSA and PLD soft-to-flat into the close; COR flat. Rate-sensitives lacked bid.
  • Consumer/Discretionary and Staples:
    • COST, MCD, LOW, DKS, RACE mostly range-bound to slightly weak; no broad momentum.
  • Financials:
    • BLK weak; LPLA modestly firm; TFIN bid late. Mixed tape.
  • Big Tech/Megacaps:
    • META and TSLA range-bound; no decisive momentum on the 30-min reads.

Notable tape patterns today
– Leaders finishing at/near HOD with higher final bar volume: ETN, MPWR, KLAC, MCK, AXON, PODD, MEDP, GWRE. These show the kind of late-day accumulation I look for in 1–3 day momentum swings.
– Laggards into close: PSA, PLD, BLK, ROK, plus several small/micro-cap names with weakness or illiquidity.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
– Most likely to continue higher: ETN, MPWR, KLAC, MCK, AXON, PODD, MEDP, GWRE.
– Strongest bullish signals (close near HOD plus clean intraday structure): MPWR, KLAC, AXON, ETN.

Individual Stock Analysis
Note: With only today’s intraday snapshot available, support/resistance levels reference obvious intraday zones and nearby round-number/inflection areas. Entries favor pullbacks to support; targets key resistances and modest momentum extensions. Use smaller size if liquidity is limited.

1) ETN
– Today’s context: Broke to HOD into the bell; late-day volume healthy.
– Support: 374.20–373.80, 373.19, 372.68.
– Resistance: 375.10 (HOD), 376.00, 377.50.
– 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Favor an early pullback-to-hold 373.8–374.2 then push through 375.1. If 372.7 fails, momentum likely stalls.
– Swing targets (1–3 days): T1 375.8, T2 376.8–377.0, stretch T3 379.0.
– Entry: 373.9–374.3 on pullback or 375.2–375.4 on clean HOD break with volume.
– Stop: 372.6 (tighter), or 371.9 (looser) depending on size.
finviz dynamic chart for  ETN

2) MPWR
– Today’s context: Trend day; higher highs into close; closed at HOD.
– Support: 1027.35, 1026.33, 1024.20.
– Resistance: 1031.45 (HOD), 1034.00, 1038.00–1040.00.
– 30-min outlook: Look for a shallow dip to 1026–1028 to hold, then continuation through 1031–1032. Failure back below 1024 weakens the setup.
– Swing targets: T1 1032.5, T2 1035.5, stretch T3 1040.5.
– Entry: 1026.8–1028.0 on dip; or 1031.7–1032.0 on break/hold above HOD.
– Stop: 1021.0–1022.0 (below session base).
finviz dynamic chart for  MPWR

3) KLAC
– Today’s context: Persistent grind higher; closed near HOD.
– Support: 1151.70, 1149.75–1149.20, 1147.72.
– Resistance: 1153.88 (HOD), 1156.00, 1160.00.
– 30-min outlook: Expect a test of 1150–1151 to hold; push toward 1154–1156. Lose 1147.5 and momentum cools.
– Swing targets: T1 1155.0, T2 1157.5, stretch T3 1162.0.
– Entry: 1150.7–1151.3; or 1154.0+ on sustained HOD break with volume.
– Stop: 1147.3.
finviz dynamic chart for  KLAC

4) MCK
– Today’s context: Strong late-day ramp to HOD.
– Support: 784.35, 782.80, 782.19.
– Resistance: 785.64 (HOD), 787.00, 790.00.
– 30-min outlook: Buy dips above 783.5–784.1 for a push through 785.6–787. If it slips under 782, expect mean reversion instead of trend.
– Swing targets: T1 786.8, T2 788.5, stretch T3 792.0.
– Entry: 783.5–784.1 pullback, or 785.8–786.0 with strong tape above HOD.
– Stop: 781.8.
finviz dynamic chart for  MCK

5) AXON
– Today’s context: Higher into the close; strong prints above 700.
– Support: 702.3–701.9, 700.83, 699.50.
– Resistance: 705.33 (HOD), 708.00, 712.00.
– 30-min outlook: Favor a tight flag above 702–703 and then a pop through 705. If it loses 699.5, momentum likely pauses.
– Swing targets: T1 706.5, T2 709.5, stretch T3 714.0.
– Entry: 702.5–703.5 on dip; or 705.5 on clean break with volume.
– Stop: 699.2.
finviz dynamic chart for  AXON

6) PODD
– Today’s context: Solid trend up; finish near HOD.
– Support: 329.17–329.09, 328.65–328.55, 327.05–326.82.
– Resistance: 329.97 (HOD), 331.50, 333.00.
– 30-min outlook: Expect a minor retest of 328.8–329.2 then continuation. Loss of 327 weakens setup.
– Swing targets: T1 330.7, T2 332.0, stretch T3 333.8.
– Entry: 328.7–329.1; or 330.1 on HOD break-and-hold.
– Stop: 326.8.
finviz dynamic chart for  PODD

7) MEDP
– Today’s context: Stair-step higher; consistent bid.
– Support: 544.57, 543.92–543.15, 542.08.
– Resistance: 545.60–545.84, 547.00, 550.00.
– 30-min outlook: Look for a hold above 543.6–544.2 and push into 546–547. Below 542 risks a fade to 540s.
– Swing targets: T1 546.5, T2 548.5, stretch T3 551.0.
– Entry: 543.6–544.2; or 545.9–546.1 on strength above the band.
– Stop: 541.8.
finviz dynamic chart for  MEDP

8) GWRE
– Today’s context: Slow grind to HOD into the bell.
– Support: 252.95, 252.82–252.42, 252.02.
– Resistance: 253.99 (HOD), 254.50, 255.50.
– 30-min outlook: Expect a tight pullback into 253.0–253.3 and then a push into 254s. Below 252 loses momentum.
– Swing targets: T1 254.8, T2 255.8, stretch T3 257.0.
– Entry: 252.9–253.3; or 254.1 on a sustained HOD/round-number break.
– Stop: 252.0.
finviz dynamic chart for  GWRE

Risk notes and trade management
– If the market opens risk-off, wait for first 30–60 minutes to confirm that support zones are defended before initiating.
– Use scaling: 1/2 size on first support tag, add on confirmation through intraday VWAP or HOD with volume.
– Respect stops; these are short-term momentum swings meant for 1–3 day holds.

If you want, share the daily candles or the last 30 trading days for these tickers, and I’ll refine support/resistance with higher-timeframe supply/demand and ATR-based targets more precisely.

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