Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Analyzed intraday 30-minute bars from 2026-01-08 through 2026-01-13 16:00 EST (most symbols concentrated on 2026-01-13 afternoon).
- Leadership and rotation:
- Financial data/services outperformed into the close: SPGI, MCO, CBOE all pushed to/near session highs with expanding late-day volume. This is classic “quality bid” behavior into strength.
- Homebuilders and building products held firm: LEN, TOL, DHI, PHM, MHO, BLDR, IBP, BLD, EXP printed constructive higher-lows and late-day pushes; NAIL ETF also firmed. Tailwind from stable rates and strong order trends continues.
- Hotels/Leisure strong: HLT and MAR ticked up all afternoon with steady bids.
- Select industrials/materials steady-to-strong: GWW closed at highs; VMC, MLM in grind-up patterns; TT and HD/LOW firmed late day.
- Large-cap consumer/tech mixed-to-positive: TSLA closed on highs with rising volume; AMZN finished strong; GOOG/GOOGL consolidated. CVNA was a notable high-beta leader with a clean trend day higher.
- Laggards:
- Precious metals/miners faded into the bell: CDE, HL, NGD, USAS, RGLD drifted lower; GLTR and NUGT/JNUG signaled broad metals softness.
- Semis showed intraday distribution: ASML, LRCX, AMAT, AVGO, SIMO dipped midday, recovered some but closed mixed—near-term consolidation rather than leadership.
- Software mixed: MDB faded; CDNS flat-to-soft; TYL stood out positively.
Noticeable patterns:
– Late-day accumulation in SPGI, MCO, CBOE, GWW, HLT, LEN/IBP suggests institutional support into strength.
– Metals complex sold consistently in the last 90 minutes—likely further mean reversion or defensive selling near-term.
– Semis consolidated after strong prior runs—expect two-way trade until fresh catalysts.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely upside continuation:
– TSLA, AMZN, CVNA (consumer discretionary/growth momentum)
– SPGI, MCO (financial data/services momentum)
– LEN (homebuilder strength)
Also constructive but not detailed below: GWW, HLT, IBP, TYL.
Stocks showing strongest bullish signals: TSLA, SPGI, MCO, CVNA.
Individual Stock Analysis
Note: Levels derived from the provided 30-minute data; use your platform’s 10–14 day ATR for sizing targets. ATR-target templates are included.
1) TSLA
– Context: Closed at session high (447.75) with increasing late volume—classic continuation setup.
– Support: 446.2–446.3; 445.7–445.9; 443.9–444.1
– Resistance: 447.8–448.0; 449.5–450.0; 452.5
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Above 447.8 opens path to 449.8–450.0, then 452.5. Strong momentum can squeeze toward 455 if broader market supports.
– Bear/baseline pullback: Retest 446.2/445.7 zone likely gets bought if trend intact.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 449.8, 452.5, 455.0
– ATR-based: Close +0.5x ATR(14), +1.0x ATR(14), +1.5x ATR(14)
– Entry:
– Aggressive: 447.9–448.1 breakout with volume confirmation.
– Conservative: 446.3–446.6 pullback reclaim.
– Stop-loss: 444.7 (beneath 445 shelf) or tighter 445.2 for breakout adds.
2) AMZN
– Context: Strong close (242.72), persistent higher-lows all afternoon.
– Support: 241.85–242.10; 241.45; 240.70–240.75
– Resistance: 242.96–243.00; 244.00; 245.00
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Bull case: Hold above 242 -> push through 243.0 toward 244.0; continuation to 245.0 possible on broad tech strength.
– Pullback buys likely near 241.8–242.1.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 243.9–244.0, 245.0, 246.2
– ATR-based: Close +0.4x ATR, +0.8x ATR, +1.2x ATR
– Entry: 242.1–242.3 on dip, or 243.05 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 240.7–240.9 (below session demand).
3) CVNA
– Context: Trend day higher, higher highs into the close (468.45). High-beta leader.
– Support: 466.0–466.3; 463.2; 460.1
– Resistance: 469.5–470.0; 472.5; 475.0
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Momentum likely persists above 469.5 toward 472.5/475. Sharp pullbacks are common; watch demand at 466/463.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 470.0, 472.5, 475.0–477.5
– ATR-based: Close +0.6x ATR, +1.0x ATR, +1.5x ATR (CVNA ATR typically wider—size down).
– Entry:
– Breakout >469.6 with volume, or pullback buy 465.5–466.5.
– Stop-loss: 459.5–460.0 (below prior base).
4) SPGI
– Context: Closed near highs (542.16) after steady afternoon accumulation.
– Support: 541.2; 540.8–541.0; 540.6
– Resistance: 542.4; 543.5; 545.0
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Continuation above 542.4 targeting 543.5, then 545. Dips into 540.8–541.2 likely get defended if the rotation to “quality” persists.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 543.5, 545.0, 547.0
– ATR-based: Close +0.4x ATR, +0.8x ATR, +1.2x ATR
– Entry: 541.0–541.4 on dip or >542.5 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 539.8 (below intraday demand).
5) MCO
– Context: Strong finish (534.90) after persistent climb; mirrors SPGI factor bid.
– Support: 533.5; 532.7; 531.3
– Resistance: 534.9–535.0; 536.0–536.5; 537.5–538.0
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Push above 535 opens 536.5 then 537.5–538. Consolidation above 533.5 would be constructive.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 536.5, 537.8, 540.0
– ATR-based: Close +0.4x ATR, +0.8x ATR, +1.2x ATR
– Entry: 533.6–534.0 dip buy or >535.1 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 531.0 (below structure).
6) LEN
– Context: Homebuilders firm; LEN closed near highs (123.75). Sector breadth supportive (TOL/PHM/DHI strong).
– Support: 123.10–123.20; 122.71–122.80; 122.58
– Resistance: 123.75–124.00; 124.40; 125.00
– Next 2–3 day price action:
– Above 123.80, 124.4 then 125 in play. Sector momentum suggests shallow dips and grind higher.
– Swing targets:
– R-based: 124.4, 125.0, 126.0
– ATR-based: Close +0.4x ATR, +0.8x ATR, +1.2x ATR
– Entry: 123.2–123.4 pullback or >123.85 breakout.
– Stop-loss: 122.4–122.5 (beneath demand shelf).
Notes and risk management
– ATR guidance: If your platform’s 14-day ATR isn’t immediately available, scale targets as a fraction of recent daily ranges and adjust position size accordingly. For volatile names (CVNA, TSLA), use smaller size and wider stops; for steadier names (SPGI, MCO, LEN), tighter stops are viable.
– Confirmation triggers: Favor breakouts that hold above prior 30-minute highs with rising volume, or buy pullbacks that reclaim VWAP/structure quickly.
– If indices gap down, prioritize the pullback entries near support zones rather than chasing breakouts.
Sector watchlist (momentum long bias): GWW, HLT, IBP, TYL. Caution/avoid for longs near-term: CDE, HL, NGD, USAS (metals weak), SIMO/ASML/LRCX/AMAT/AVGO (semi consolidation—trade selective).