Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
Datetime range reviewed (EST): 2025-09-25 11:00–15:30.
Scope note: The dataset provided covers a single afternoon session (30-min aggregates), not a full 30 days. I emphasize intraday price/volume structure as a proxy for short-term momentum and likely 1–3 day continuation/reversion.
- Tech/Semiconductors broadly constructive:
- Megacap/Consumer Tech: AAPL pushed from 253.2 to 256.1 on strong mid-afternoon volume, finishing near the top third of its session range.
- Semis/Semi-cap: TSM firmed (275.1 → 276.5), AMAT bid (strong 199 handle with repeated 200 tests), TER steady up; KLAC slightly soft but stabilized into the close.
- Software/Cyber: CRWD held higher lows and mid-range close; INTU reclaimed 689–690 late.
- Hardware/Defense-adjacent Tech: AXON attempted a breakout to 723.2 and closed strong.
- Defense/Aerospace mixed-to-flat: NOC range-bound (586–589).
- Managed Care/Providers neutral-to-positive: MOH bid into the close; UNH, HCA, UHS largely range-bound; AJG (insurance broker) ground higher; MSCI, EG (re/insurance) edged up.
- Industrials (Rails) quiet: NSC, UNP both tight ranges, little directional thrust.
- Energy/Materials rotation:
- Coal weak: BTU sold off hard (25.46 → 24.62) on heavy volume—clear relative weakness.
- Gold royalty steady bid: FNV climbed to 213.8.
- Crypto-levered/momentum:
- IREN strong trend day (46.9 HOD test, closed 46.27) on heavy volume, suggesting continuation potential if crypto risk-on persists.
- SOS muted.
- High-beta momentum/small-mid caps:
- RGTI breakout with very heavy volume (30.4 → 32.7, close 32.54) closing near highs—textbook momentum continuation setup.
- LTBR squeezed to 19.9, closing near HOD.
- NEGG trended higher within a wide 43–45 range; buyers defended pullbacks.
- Select ADRs/OTCs and illiquids moved but remain thin (manage size carefully).
Notable patterns
– Rotation into tech and selective high-beta momentum (AAPL, TSM/AMAT, AXON, RGTI, IREN) while coal (BTU) lagged and gold (FNV) found steady bids.
– Volume expansion on breakouts (RGTI, LTBR) and midday pushes (AAPL, IREN) increases odds of 1–3 day follow-through.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely upside continuation candidates:
– AAPL, TSM, AMAT (semis/megacap tech breadth)
– AXON (breakout attempt closed strong)
– RGTI (high-volume breakout)
– IREN (strong trend day; crypto-beta)
– LTBR (squeeze continuation potential)
– NEGG (trend intact; watch 45 reclaim)
Strongest bullish signals today:
– RGTI: high-volume expansion, close near HOD.
– IREN: persistent higher lows, defended pullbacks, heavy volume.
– AAPL: heavy-volume push and hold near session highs.
– AXON: breakout probe to 723, strong close.
– AMAT/TSM: steady accumulation, repeated 200 (AMAT) and 277 (TSM) tests.
Individual Stock Analysis
Key levels are derived from today’s intraday structure and nearby psychological zones to act as near-term daily supply/demand references. Targets use measured moves toward resistance with session-range as an ATR proxy.
AAPL
– Support: 256.00; 254.60; 252.85.
– Resistance: 257.20 (HOD ~257.17); 258.50; 260.00.
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a dip-and-rip pattern—early test of 255.4–256.0, then a push into 257.2/258.5. Continuation >258.5 opens a 259.8–260.5 test.
– Entries: 255.4–256.0 on a controlled pullback; add on reclaim of 256.9–257.1.
– Stops: 254.4 (tight), or swing stop 252.7 (below session low).
– 1–3 day targets: 257.2; 258.5; stretch 260.0.
TSM
– Support: 276.00; 275.05; 274.06.
– Resistance: 276.80; 277.07; 278.20.
– 30-min outlook: Gradual grind higher while 276 holds; break/hold above 277.1 targets 278.2. Failure to hold 276 risks a retest of 275.1 then buyers likely step in.
– Entries: 276.0–276.2; alternate on 277.1 breakout/backtest.
– Stops: 274.8 (tight), 273.9 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 277.1; 278.2; 279.5.
AMAT
– Support: 199.00; 198.80; 197.65.
– Resistance: 200.00–200.10; 201.00; 202.20.
– 30-min outlook: Multiple 200 tests suggest a coil; clean break/hold over 200 likely pushes 201–202. Pullbacks to 199 should attract dip buyers while tech breadth stays firm.
– Entries: 199.0–199.3; add on 200.1 hold.
– Stops: 198.4 (tight), 197.5 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 200.1; 201.0; 202.2.
CRWD
– Support: 472.00; 470.50; 469.50.
– Resistance: 474.97; 475.33; 478.00.
– 30-min outlook: Constructive higher lows; expect chop then expansion. Reclaim/hold above 475 opens 478. Failure to hold 472 could mean a liquidity sweep to 470.5 before reversing.
– Entries: 472.0–472.5; breakout add on 475.1 hold.
– Stops: 469.2 (tight), 468.6 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 475.3; 478.0; 481.0.
AXON
– Support: 718.5; 715.0; 710.0.
– Resistance: 720.3; 723.2; 730.0.
– 30-min outlook: Breakout setup. Hold above 718–720 favors a 723.2 retest; through 723, momentum targets 727–730. Weak open into 715 likely bought if market risk-on persists.
– Entries: 716–718 on dip; add on 720.5 hold.
– Stops: 714.4 (tight), 709.5 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 723; 727; 732–735.
RGTI
– Support: 32.00; 31.40; 30.90.
– Resistance: 32.79; 33.50; 35.00.
– 30-min outlook: Classic momentum continuation. Consolidation just below HOD usually resolves higher if 32 holds. Watch for opening flag above 32.2 → 33+. Extended but volume supports further upside.
– Entries: 31.8–32.1 on dip; add on 32.8 breakout/hold.
– Stops: 31.2 (tight), 30.8 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 33.0; 33.8–34.0; 35.0.
IREN
– Support: 46.00; 45.50; 44.85.
– Resistance: 46.70–46.81; 47.50; 48.50.
– 30-min outlook: Trend day with higher lows; crypto-beta could drive follow-through. Hold >46 → 46.8 retest; through 46.8 aims 47.5+. Lose 46 and 45.5 is the must-hold for the trend.
– Entries: 46.0–46.2 on dip; breakout add through 46.8.
– Stops: 45.3 (tight), 44.8 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 46.8; 47.5; 48.5.
LTBR
– Support: 19.17; 18.50; 17.95–18.00.
– Resistance: 19.88; 20.50; 22.00.
– 30-min outlook: Squeeze conditions; expect volatile flags. A quick shake to 19.2–19.4 could set the next leg to 20–20.5. Only sustained loss of 18.5 would temper the setup.
– Entries: 19.2–19.4 on pullback; add on 19.9–20.0 hold.
– Stops: 18.7 (tight), 17.9 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 20.0; 20.5; 21.5–22.0.
NEGG
– Support: 44.00; 43.50; 43.00.
– Resistance: 45.00; 45.80; 46.50.
– 30-min outlook: Trend up within wide band; look for early test of 44 that holds, then 45 retest. Strong acceptance above 45 opens 45.8–46.5 quickly given tape velocity.
– Entries: 43.8–44.1 on dip; add on 45.1 hold.
– Stops: 43.2 (tight), 42.8 (swing; size small due to volatility).
– 1–3 day targets: 45.0; 45.8; 46.5.
Risk/positioning notes
– Many of the small/micro-cap names (e.g., LTBR, NEGG) are volatile with thinner books—size down and widen stops relative to large caps.
– Because only one session of data was provided, levels rely on today’s intraday structure and nearby psychological zones; confirm with your broader daily chart before execution.
– If tech breadth falters, prioritize AAPL/TSM/AMAT relative strength on pullbacks; if crypto risk-on accelerates, IREN tends to outperform.