Datetime window analyzed (EST): 2025-11-19 13:30 to 2025-11-20 15:30. Note: I only received intraday 30-minute bars for the last 1–2 sessions (not the full 30 days). Commentary below emphasizes the most recent 10 trading hours; “daily” supply/demand zones are derived from obvious near-term levels.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis:
– Biotech/Pharma: Mixed-to-weak breadth with late-day fades in many names (AMLX, ALXO, CELC, AVDL, INSM, MDGL, ARQT, ARVN, ACRV, MIST, TARA, OWLT, JBIO, FULC). Selective relative strength in quality/defensive therapeutics and targeted oncology: UTHR held firm near highs; NUVL ground higher and closed strong; VSTM closed at HOD with volume (small-cap momentum pocket). AXSM and JAZZ were choppy; NTRA and NUVB showed volume but faded late.
– Industrials/Engineering/Contractors: Clear risk-off into the close with lower highs and late selloffs in PWR, DY, FIX, CMI. That’s a notable rotation away from cyclicals late in the session.
– Defensive/Staples and Fuel Retail: Outperformance. CASY trended up all afternoon and closed near HOD; MUSA firmed and held gains.
– Tech/Info Services: Quality data/analytics names bid: VRSK trended higher and closed near the top of the day; IDN flat; CCOI improved intraday but modest late fade. Speculative AI small-cap (NUAI) spiked then retraced sharply—risk appetite uneven.
– Financials: BAP up intraday with a mild late pullback; FCNCA largely flat; FRFHF illiquid but firm.
– Materials: SQM (Lithium) weak with persistent fades; not attracting bids into the close.
– Takeaway: Late-day flows favored defensives and high-quality growth (CASY, MUSA, VRSK, UTHR, NUVL) while cyclicals and many high-beta bios were sold. Momentum longs are best in selective, liquid names showing higher closes and tight consolidations.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days):
– Most likely to push higher: CASY, VRSK, UTHR, NUVL, VSTM, MUSA. Secondary watch: BHVN.
– Strongest bullish signals:
– CASY: Closed at highs with steady accumulation and higher lows across the afternoon.
– VRSK: Trend day higher; higher lows, buyers into the bell.
– UTHR: Tight high-level consolidation just under breakout; very orderly tape.
– NUVL: Consistent grind higher; close near session highs.
– VSTM: Small-cap momentum close at HOD with volume expansion.
– MUSA: Firm drift higher; held gains late.
Individual Stock Analysis (setups for names likely to go up in 1–3 days)
Note on ATR: Without full 30-day data, targets use nearby resistance plus a conservative proxy of 1.0–1.5x recent intraday range.
1) CASY
– Daily levels
– Support: 551.90 (intraday demand), 550.60, 548.41
– Resistance: 554.64 (session HOD/supply), 556.00, 560.00
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Look for a minor pullback toward 552–553 to hold, then a push through 554.6–556. Momentum continuation favored while dips keep making higher lows.
– Entry: 552.0–553.2 on a controlled pullback or 555.0–556.2 on breakout/retest.
– Stop: 549.80 (beneath demand and afternoon higher low).
– Targets: 556.5, 560.0, 565.0 (upper target assumes ~1–1.5x recent range).
2) VRSK
– Daily levels
– Support: 222.10, 221.50, 221.00
– Resistance: 222.83 (HOD), 223.50, 224.80
– 30-min outlook: Expect a tight bull channel; buy dips toward 221.6–222.1 for a push through 222.8–223.5. Continuation while price holds above 221.5.
– Entry: 221.6–222.1 pullback or 223.0+ breakout with retest.
– Stop: 221.00.
– Targets: 223.2, 224.2, 225.5.
3) UTHR
– Daily levels
– Support: 474.26, 473.21, 472.50
– Resistance: 475.61 (HOD), 477.00, 480.00
– 30-min outlook: High-and-tight consolidation. A clean through 475.6–476 likely tags 477 then 480. If early dip, watch 474.3 for buyers.
– Entry: 474.3–474.9 pullback, or 476.0–476.3 breakout/retest.
– Stop: 472.80.
– Targets: 476.8, 477.8, 480.0.
4) NUVL
– Daily levels
– Support: 108.92, 108.47, 108.00
– Resistance: 109.62 (session high region), 110.00, 111.00
– 30-min outlook: Constructive grind; expect continuation if 108.9–109.0 holds. A push through 109.6 likely tests 110 then 111.
– Entry: 108.6–109.0 pullback buy or 109.7 breakout with retest.
– Stop: 108.20.
– Targets: 110.0, 110.8, 111.8.
5) VSTM
– Daily levels
– Support: 9.45, 9.38, 9.30
– Resistance: 9.60 (local supply), 9.80, 10.00
– 30-min outlook: Strong close at HOD with rising volume suggests follow-through. Expect an early test of 9.60; above that, momentum into 9.80–10.00. Dips to 9.42–9.50 should attract buyers if trend stays intact.
– Entry: 9.42–9.50 pullback or 9.62–9.65 breakout/retest.
– Stop: 9.28.
– Targets: 9.80, 9.95, 10.20.
6) MUSA
– Daily levels
– Support: 381.86, 381.35, 380.48
– Resistance: 383.58, 384.16 (HOD), 386.00
– 30-min outlook: Slow, controlled uptrend; expect dip-and-rip patterns. Holding above 381.8 keeps momentum intact toward 384–386.
– Entry: 381.9–382.3 pullback buy; add on 383.6 break with retest.
– Stop: 380.80.
– Targets: 383.8, 384.8, 386.5.
Secondary watch: BHVN
– Daily levels
– Support: 9.65, 9.56, 9.53
– Resistance: 9.82, 10.00, 10.20
– 30-min outlook: Stair-step higher; needs a clean reclaim of 9.82 for momentum. Dips into 9.60–9.66 can be bought if broader tape is supportive.
– Entry: 9.60–9.66 pullback or 9.84–9.86 breakout/retest.
– Stop: 9.48.
– Targets: 9.95, 10.05, 10.25.
Notes on names to avoid long near-term (based on late fades/weak tape): PWR, DY, FIX, CMI (industrial selloff); SQM (materials/lithium weakness); various small-cap bios with hard fades (NUAI, RIOX, ACRV, MIST, TARA, OWLT, BCAB, BFLY). These either need basing or a fresh catalyst.
Risk management:
– Keep position sizing modest and stagger entries, especially in small caps.
– Respect stops below identified demand zones; if supports break on volume, step aside.
– For breakout entries, insist on retests holding above prior resistance to avoid false breaks.