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Anticipation Breakout Thursday 10/09/2025

October 9, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

Datetime range analyzed (EST): 2025-10-08 15:30 to 2025-10-09 15:30. Note: The data provided are intraday 30-minute slices, largely from 2025-10-09. I emphasize the most recent 10 intraday bars and end-of-day flows as a proxy for near-term momentum.

  • Risk-on flows concentrated in hard assets and digital-asset proxies:
    • Gold: GLD pushed from 362.8 to 366.2 into the close on rising volume, signaling strong dip-bid and a potential continuation bid.
    • Crypto miners/broad crypto proxies ripped late with range expansion and volume clustering into the close: CLSK, CIFR, BITF, HIVE, WGMI, BKCH. Most closed near highs, a classic continuation footprint for 1-3 days if broader crypto stays bid.
  • Managed care/health insurers faded: UNH, HUM, ELV all stair-stepped lower into the close with persistent supply, suggesting continued defensive unwind near term.
  • Defense/aerospace leaned soft: LMT, NOC, TDY, LDOS drifted lower through the afternoon. AVAV held up relatively better but couldn’t reclaim early highs.
  • AI/automation and infra showed selective strength:
    • PLTR broke out and held gains with heavy liquidity and closing strength.
    • SYM stair-stepped to fresh intraday highs late.
    • EQIX was stable; HUBS faded into the bell.
  • Small/mid-cap momentum pockets:
    • APLD strong trend day with a late breakout and high-volume close.
    • ABAT late surge and higher close.
    • LIDR trend expanded with a strong close.
    • EVEX trended up through the entire afternoon and closed near HOD.
    • QNCX, PROK, EAF printed constructive ramps; VELO failed late (supply overhead).
  • Consumer/discretionary and transports mostly soft: BURL, JBHT faded.
  • Biotech mixed chop: BIIB flat; INSM slight fade; small-caps ORIC, PROK steady; TNDM and STOK weak.

Noticeable patterns
– Strong “close near highs on rising volume” continuation setups: PLTR, GLD, APLD, CLSK, CIFR, SYM, EVEX, LIDR.
– Sector rotation: risk bid into miners/AI/hard assets; de-risk in managed care and selected defense.

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2-3 trading days)

Most likely to continue higher
– PLTR, GLD, APLD, CLSK, CIFR, SYM
Secondary watch (bullish but slightly lower conviction due to liquidity/ATR constraints): EVEX, LIDR, EAF, QNCX, ABAT

Strongest bullish signals
– PLTR: Range expansion + heavy volume, held above intraday breakout levels.
– GLD: Persistent bid and closing strength; macro tailwind if real yields soften.
– APLD, CLSK, CIFR: Group strength, closing at/near highs with volume bulges.
– SYM: Persistent higher lows and higher highs intraday; close at HOD suggests follow-through.

Individual Stock Analysis

Note on levels: With only intraday data provided, daily support/resistance zones are approximated using obvious round numbers, intraday swing highs/lows, and recent supply/demand clusters that typically align with daily zones. Use your daily chart to refine.

PLTR
– Daily key support: 183.20–183.80 (prior breakout zone), 185.05–185.20, 186.20
– Daily key resistance: 187.62 (intraday high), 190.00 (psych), 193.00
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Bullish if price holds above 185.5–186.2. Momentum continuation likely with dips bought.
– Price targets: 187.6 (PT1), 190.0 (PT2), 193.0 (PT3; ~1 intraday range extension)
– Entries:
– Pullback buy 185.5–186.2
– Breakout add above 187.7 with volume
– Stop-loss: 183.2–183.8 (below breakout base)
finviz dynamic chart for  PLTR

GLD
– Daily key support: 363.8–364.0, 365.0, 365.9
– Daily key resistance: 366.3 (HOD), 368.5, 370.0
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Continuation likely if 365.0–365.3 holds; higher probability stair-step.
– Price targets: 367.0 (PT1), 368.5 (PT2), 370.0 (PT3)
– Entries:
– Buy-the-dip 365.0–365.3
– Momentum add >366.4 on uptick in volume
– Stop-loss: 363.7 (below demand shelf)
finviz dynamic chart for  GLD

APLD
– Daily key support: 28.30–28.65 (congestion), 29.10–29.35, 27.90–28.10
– Daily key resistance: 29.98–30.00, 30.80, 31.50
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Late-session breakout + volume supports follow-through if 29.10–29.35 holds.
– Price targets: 30.00 (PT1), 30.80 (PT2), 31.50 (PT3)
– Entries:
– Pullback 29.10–29.35
– Breakout add >30.00 with sustained tape
– Stop-loss: 28.45 (below volume shelf)
finviz dynamic chart for  APLD

CLSK
– Daily key support: 19.34–19.56, 19.75–19.90, 20.08
– Daily key resistance: 20.25, 20.50, 21.00
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Group tailwind; continuation likely while above 19.75–19.90.
– Price targets: 20.50 (PT1), 20.90 (PT2), 21.50 (PT3)
– Entries:
– Dip buy 19.75–19.90
– Momentum add >20.25
– Stop-loss: 19.34 (session low)
finviz dynamic chart for  CLSK

CIFR
– Daily key support: 17.34–17.40, 17.62–17.68, 17.83–17.94
– Daily key resistance: 18.02, 18.60, 19.00
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Strong close; expect push into 18.2–18.6 if 17.8–18.0 holds.
– Price targets: 18.20 (PT1), 18.60 (PT2), 19.00 (PT3)
– Entries:
– Pullback 17.80–17.95
– Breakout add >18.05
– Stop-loss: 17.34
finviz dynamic chart for  CIFR

SYM
– Daily key support: 65.70, 66.24, 66.68–66.73
– Daily key resistance: 67.21, 68.00, 69.00
– 30-min outlook (2-3 days):
– Uptrend intact; look for continuation while holding 66.7.
– Price targets: 67.60 (PT1), 68.50 (PT2), 69.50 (PT3)
– Entries:
– Dip buy 66.25–66.70
– Breakout add >67.25 with volume
– Stop-loss: 65.70
finviz dynamic chart for  SYM

Secondary Bullish Watch (abridged)

EVEX
– Support: 4.70, 4.80–4.86, 4.90 pivot
– Resistance: 4.92, 5.00, 5.20
– Plan: Buy dips 4.80–4.86; PTs 5.00/5.20; stop 4.70
finviz dynamic chart for  EVEX

LIDR
– Support: 3.20, 3.30–3.33, 3.14
– Resistance: 3.3955, 3.50, 3.80
– Plan: Buy 3.30–3.33 pullbacks; PTs 3.40/3.55/3.80; stop 3.20
finviz dynamic chart for  LIDR

Risk Management and Notes
– Many of these names (APLD, CLSK, CIFR, BITF, HIVE) are crypto-beta. Correlation risk is high; size positions accordingly and avoid over-concentration in the same factor.
– Use staggered entries and partial profits at PT1/PT2; trail stops under higher lows on 30-min.
– If the first hour next session fails to hold the listed demand zones, expect mean reversion instead of continuation; step aside or tighten stops.

If you want, I can overlay these levels on daily and 30-minute charts and compute 14-day ATR-based targets precisely once daily bars for the last 30 sessions are available.

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