Analyzed window (EST): 2026-01-28 17:30 to 2026-01-29 15:30
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Semiconductors and semi-equipment (TXN, MU, MKSI, WDC, STX, LRCX, KLAC, MPWR): mixed-to-weak late session. Several failed midafternoon pushes followed by fades (TXN 220.6→218.7; MU 437→432.4; WDC 282.3→274.7; MKSI 246→243.7). Equipment leaders (LRCX, KLAC, MPWR) held ranges but didn’t extend. Net: short-term digestion/distribution after prior strength; momentum traders should be selective.
– Biotech/Pharma/Healthcare (CELC, VRTX, GILD, ARGX, CORT, ATRA, CNTX, HCA): selective strength. Notable late-day range expansion in CELC to new HOD; VRTX grinded up and held; GILD steady bid. Smaller/micro-cap action mixed (ATRA firm, CNTX heavy sell). HCA slipped through the afternoon. Net: rotation favors quality large-cap/clinical catalysts; microcaps split.
– Industrials/Materials/Energy (ETN, LIN, GLW, GOLD, ASM, SND, CDLR): defensives bid, metals soft. LIN stair-stepped higher into the close. ETN faded intraday. GOLD and ASM sold off. GLW largely range-bound. Net: capital rotating into quality, avoiding metals miners.
– Financials/Payments/Data (MSCI, AXP, BAP, GROW): MSCI showed steady higher highs with volume expansion into the close—clear relative strength. AXP flat, BAP modestly higher, GROW small uptick. Net: data/index providers leading; card networks neutral.
– Telecom/Networking/Infra/China ADRs (ERIC, CIEN, GDS, CLPS, KARO): ERIC and CIEN slid; GDS flat-to-softer. CLPS marginal uptick, KARO drifted down. Net: no momentum edge here.
– Speculative <$5 cohort (IPWR, CNEY, HLP, MYND, BFRI, GROV): CNEY posted a clean afternoon breakout with surging volume; IPWR trended all session and closed near highs. MYND spiked late but liquidity thin. Net: actionable breakouts in a few names with rising volume.
Notable cross-tape pattern: late-day breakouts with volume expansion in MSCI, CELC, AVT, ARW, IPWR, CNEY—favorable for 1–3 day momentum follow-through.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to go up (strongest momentum signals today, volume confirmation, held VWAP/HLs):
– MSCI, CELC, AVT, ARW, IPWR, CNEY, LIN, VRTX
Strongest bullish signals: MSCI (persistent higher highs + volume expansion), CELC (late-day range expansion closing near HOD), AVT and ARW (trend day with higher lows and strong closing print), IPWR and CNEY (micro-cap momentum with closing strength), LIN (defensive grind higher), VRTX (steady accumulation).
Individual Stock Analysis and Trading Plan
Note: ATR-based targets are approximations for 1–3 day swings given current price behavior and typical volatility.
1) MSCI
– Support: 608.60 (15:30 low), 604.99 (15:00 pullback low), 603.88 (14:30 low)
– Resistance: 610.02 (HOD), 612.00 (round/overhead), 615.00 (near-term daily supply zone)
– Price action view (2–3 days, 30-min): Expect early dip toward 607–608; if 604–605 holds, trend continuation toward 611–613. A close above 610 opens 615 by day 2–3.
– Targets (1–3 day): T1 611–612, T2 615, stretch T3 620 (≈1x–1.5x daily ATR)
– Entry: scale 606.5–608.5
– Stop: 603.4 (below S2/S3 and afternoon base)
2) CELC
– Support: 111.21 (15:30), 110.33 (14:30), 109.73–109.92 zone (14:00 area)
– Resistance: 111.87 (HOD), 112.50, 113.50–114.00 (daily supply band)
– Price action view: Look for a controlled back-test into 110.8–111.1, then push through 112+. Holding 110.3 keeps momentum intact; over 111.9 can trigger 113+.
– Targets: T1 112.2, T2 113.5, T3 115 (≈ATR extension)
– Entry: 110.4–111.1
– Stop: 109.5 (below S3 zone)
3) AVT
– Support: 62.53 (15:30), 62.13 (14:30), 61.75 (14:00)
– Resistance: 62.64 (HOD), 63.00, 63.50
– Price action view: Strong trend day; look for a shallow pullback to 62.1–62.3 and continuation. Above 62.65, momentum can press into low-63s quickly.
– Targets: T1 62.90–63.10, T2 63.50, T3 64.00 (≈1x ATR)
– Entry: 62.10–62.30
– Stop: 61.60 (beneath VWAP shelf and S3)
4) ARW
– Support: 131.38 (14:30), 131.00 (round), 129.50–129.60 (13:30 base)
– Resistance: 132.20 (HOD), 133.00, 134.50–135.00 (daily supply)
– Price action view: Expect an opening retest 131.2–131.6; hold opens break above 132.2 toward 133+. Continuation likely if market stays constructive.
– Targets: T1 132.80–133.20, T2 134.00, T3 135.00 (≈1x ATR)
– Entry: 131.20–131.60
– Stop: 130.60 (below intraday pivot)
5) IPWR
– Support: 4.84 (14:30), 4.80 (14:00), 4.65–4.67 (13:30)
– Resistance: 4.91 (HOD), 4.95–5.00, 5.20–5.30
– Price action view: Trend intact with higher highs; an early dip to 4.78–4.84 that reclaims 4.90 sets up a 5.00 break. Watch liquidity; avoid chasing wide spreads.
– Targets: T1 4.98–5.05, T2 5.15, T3 5.30 (≈0.35–0.45 ATR)
– Entry: 4.78–4.84
– Stop: 4.66 (below S3/swing low)
6) CNEY
– Support: 0.912 (15:00 area), 0.900 (round), 0.872–0.882 (14:00 zone)
– Resistance: 0.950 (HOD), 0.980, 1.00–1.03 (daily supply/psych)
– Price action view: Strong volume breakout. Expect a backfill toward 0.90–0.92; hold leads to 0.95 retest and potential 0.98–1.00 break over 1–3 days.
– Targets: T1 0.96–0.98, T2 1.00, T3 1.05 (≈0.07–0.10 ATR)
– Entry: 0.90–0.92
– Stop: 0.872 (below prior demand)
7) LIN
– Support: 454.12 (15:30), 453.31 (14:30), 452.60–452.73 (14:00/13:30 zone)
– Resistance: 454.39 (HOD), 455.00–455.50, 457.00
– Price action view: Defensive uptrend; look for a minor dip to 453.2–453.7, then a grind through 454.4. Break/close >455.5 opens 457 in 1–3 days.
– Targets: T1 455.00, T2 456.50, T3 457.50–458.00 (conservative ATR)
– Entry: 453.20–453.70
– Stop: 452.10
8) VRTX
– Support: 475.00 (15:30), 474.02–474.31 (14:00 range), 473.86 (14:30)
– Resistance: 476.16 (15:00 high), 477.50–478.00, 480.00
– Price action view: Slow, steady bid. Early test of 474.8–475 likely; hold and reclaim 476.2 sets up 478. A close >478 adds 480+ over 1–3 days.
– Targets: T1 476.8–477.5, T2 479.0, T3 481–483 (≈1x ATR)
– Entry: 474.8–475.2
– Stop: 472.8–473.4 (below S3 and intraday base)
Additional notes and risk management
– Semi/equipment tape weakened late; if the group rolls over further, favor non-semi longs (MSCI, CELC, LIN, ARW/AVT) and keep semi exposure lighter (VRTX is healthcare; consider it a hedge vs semi beta).
– Microcaps (IPWR, CNEY) move fast with slippage risk—use smaller size and hard stops.
– If the market opens with broad risk-off, wait for reclaim of intraday VWAP/first-hour high before triggering continuation entries.
Potential watchlist (constructive but thinner/less clean today): GILD (steady accumulation), ATRA (controlled drift up), AVT/ARW already included as best-in-class distributors, LIN as defensive leader.