Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range reviewed: 2025-09-29 13:00–15:30, with a few symbols showing limited ticks earlier on 2025-09-26 and earlier intraday candles on 9/29)
– Note on data scope: You provided intraday 30-minute bars for a single session (plus a few scattered earlier prints). I’m emphasizing this session’s price/volume as the freshest proxy for 1–3 day momentum. Where “daily” supply/demand zones are cited, I anchor them to obvious round-number areas and today’s session zones that typically translate into near-term daily levels.
– Defense/Aerospace: Mixed. TDG firmed into the close (higher lows), while NOC slipped and couldn’t reclaim VWAP late. Net: stock-picking within the group; TDG shows better bid than NOC.
– Semiconductors: Mixed/slightly soft. TSM faded into the close; MRVL churned with lower highs; INTC had a midday recovery but cooled into the close. Net: no broad semi tailwind; pick spots selectively (INTC firmer than TSM/MRVL intraday).
– Healthcare (Managed care and providers): Mixed to soft. UNH/HUM/ELV/MOH chopped; UHS and HCA were range-bound. Standouts were distributors: MCK trended up; COR (Cencora) edged higher. Net: distribution > managed care for relative strength.
– Energy: Split tape. Refining strong/steady (MPC bid all session). Upstream gas GPOR ground higher. Metals/related IE dripped. Net: favor refiners and select E&P over metals/electric names.
– Industrials/Infrastructure: PWR pushed to fresh intraday highs and held them—leadership tone.
– Consumer discretionary: Strong. ULTA and AZO pushed higher into the bell—clear relative strength vs. broad tape.
– Small-cap/spec biotech and EV-adjacent: Momentum pockets with higher risk. MVST exploded on volume and held the breakout; ABAT stair-stepped up with heavy volume then digested—both show continuation potential. Many small-cap bios (SRRK, ZVRA, etc.) faded late—selectivity required.
– Software: WDAY climbed steadily with rising late-day volume—constructive for continuation.
Ticker Performance Prediction (likely upside next 2–3 days)
– Highest-probability continuation: ULTA, WDAY, PWR, MCK.
– Constructive with momentum risk: MPC, GPOR.
– Speculative momentum (higher risk/high reward): MVST, ABAT.
– Secondary watch (not detailed below): AZO, TDG, INTC.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups; supports/resistances are key zones; entries use patience on pullbacks; stops near invalidation)
ULTA
– Daily zones: Support 547, 545, 541. Resistance 550.2, 553, 560.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Late-day push to 550 on expanding volume suggests a shallow pullback then continuation. Expect early dip-buying near 546–547; hold above 545 keeps trend intact.
– Price targets (1–3 days): 552, 556, 560.
– Entry: 546.5–547.5 pullback or 550.2 break/hold with volume.
– Stop: 544 (tight); 541 (swing).
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WDAY
– Daily zones: Support 248, 247.2, 246. Resistance 250, 252, 255.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Stair-step higher all afternoon with higher close. Looking for a minor dip to 248–248.5, then attempt through 250; momentum expands above 250.
– Price targets: 250.5, 252.5, 255.
– Entry: 248.2–248.8 pullback; add on 250 break with volume.
– Stop: 246.7 (below structure).
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PWR
– Daily zones: Support 409, 408, 406. Resistance 410.36, 412, 415.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Higher lows and a close near highs = accumulation. Expect early check-back toward 408.5–409; hold keeps push into 411–412 likely.
– Price targets: 411.5, 414, 416.5.
– Entry: 408.8–409.2 on dip; or 410.4 reclaim/hold after brief shake.
– Stop: 406.8 (under demand shelf).
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MCK
– Daily zones: Support 760.6, 758.5, 756. Resistance 763.7, 766, 770.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Trend up, tight pullbacks, strong close. Dips should be sponsored near 760–761; acceptance above 764 opens 766–770.
– Price targets: 765, 770, 778.
– Entry: 760.8–761.8 on dip; or 763.7 break/hold.
– Stop: 757 (tight); 755.5 (swing).
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MPC
– Daily zones: Support 195.1, 194.6, 194.0. Resistance 195.8, 196.5, 198.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Steady bid with higher closes per bar; refiners showing relative strength. Expect drift higher if 195 holds; above 195.8 unlocks 196.5–198.
– Price targets: 196.2, 197.5, 199.
– Entry: 195.1–195.4 pullback; or 195.8 through with volume.
– Stop: 194.4 (below demand zone).
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GPOR
– Daily zones: Support 178.3, 177.8, 176.8. Resistance 179.6, 180.5, 181.8.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Persistent grind up; look for a shallow retest of 178.3–178.6 then attempt 179.6/180.5. Momentum improves if nat gas stays firm.
– Price targets: 180.0, 181.5, 183.0.
– Entry: 178.3–178.7 on dip.
– Stop: 177.5 (below higher-low pivot).
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MVST (high risk/momo)
– Daily zones: Support 4.00, 3.86, 3.75. Resistance 4.10, 4.30, 4.50.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Big breakout bar with surging volume and strong hold above 4.00—classic continuation candidate if 4.00 acts as a floor. Expect churn 3.98–4.08 then attempt 4.10/4.30.
– Price targets: 4.15, 4.30, 4.50.
– Entry: 4.00–4.03 test and hold; alternate: 4.10 break with volume.
– Stop: 3.84 (below breakout base).
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ABAT (high risk/momo)
– Daily zones: Support 4.95, 4.80, 4.60. Resistance 5.05, 5.25, 5.50.
– 30-min read and next 2–3 days: Strong run into 5.07, then healthy digestion. Continuation likely if price reclaims/holds >5.05 with volume.
– Price targets: 5.10–5.15, 5.25, 5.50.
– Entry: 4.95–5.00 higher-low build; add on 5.05 break/hold.
– Stop: 4.82 (beneath demand).
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Quick notes on names to avoid/monitor
– Semis (TSM, MRVL): late fade/indecision; avoid longs until they reclaim intraday supply and show higher lows.
– Managed care (UNH, HUM, ELV, MOH): choppy; wait for decisive breaks; COR and MCK were better within healthcare.
– Defense: NOC weak; TDG held better—consider only if TDG confirms above today’s highs with volume.
– Small-cap bios generally faded late; prefer only the liquid momentum outliers.
Risk management and execution
– For all setups, let price come to your levels; prioritize entries at/near support with tight invalidation.
– If entries are on breakouts, demand volume confirmation and be ready to exit quickly on failed reclaims.
– Targets above are staged; scale out into strength and trail stops under higher lows.