Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST window reviewed: 2026-02-02, 11:30–15:30)
Note on data coverage: Only today’s 30-minute intraday bars were provided. I’m basing the momentum read and 1–3 day swing expectations on closing strength/weakness, volume expansion patterns, and relative strength across the symbols in this window rather than a full 10–30 day history.
- Aerospace & Defense (NOC, LMT): Both showed midday bids but faded into the close (lower highs/lower closes late). NOC rejected ~686.5 and closed near 682.3; LMT couldn’t hold 637 and slipped to 635.7. This looks like near-term distribution/consolidation rather than active upside momentum.
- Financials/Insurance (MKL): Relative strength standout. Persistent higher highs into the close with a late-day push to new session highs (2035.75) and a close near the highs (2031.54). Constructive for follow-through the next 1–3 sessions.
- Tech hardware/components and distribution (AVT, LFUS): Both sold into the bell and closed on/near lows (AVT 62.98, LFUS 324.18). That’s supply-heavy action; bounces possible, but momentum bias is down unless they reclaim VWAP and prior mid-day highs.
- Media/Comm (TSQ): Clean expansion bar 14:30 with highest volume of the session, tagging 6.99, then a pullback into the close (6.81). This is a classic “attempted breakout then flag” setup; holding 6.80 keeps the bullish scenario alive.
- Healthcare/Biotech (TARA): Tight range, low volatility, slight late-day drift lower to 7.00. Neutral.
- Micro/small-cap/illiquid (SOAR, CLPS): SOAR had a ~10% intraday range with stabilization around 0.60 into the close and repeated tests of 0.611–0.613. Speculative squeeze candidate if 0.611 reclaims. CLPS is extremely illiquid with tiny prints—low-confidence signals.
Key patterns:
– Relative strength rotation into Insurance (MKL) against broad late-day softness in Defense and Components.
– One small-cap momentum attempt (TSQ) that needs quick reclaim above 6.90–6.95 to confirm.
– Speculative micro-cap volatility (SOAR) clustering just beneath first resistance—prime for a quick pop if bids appear.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
- Most likely to move up: MKL (strongest close/high-of-day pressure), TSQ (if it reclaims 6.90–6.95), SOAR (speculative squeeze above 0.611).
- Neutral-to-weak near term without reclaiming key levels: NOC, LMT, AVT, LFUS, TARA, CLPS.
Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing setups)
MKL (Markel Group) – Bullish continuation favored
– Key support (daily/intraday zones):
– 2026.9–2027.0 (15:30 bar low)
– 2020.7–2022.1 (15:00 dip zone/14:30 close)
– 2017.0–2015.1 (intraday swing low cluster)
– Key resistance (supply zones):
– 2035.8 (HOD)
– 2040.0 (round number/likely daily supply)
– 2046–2050 (extension supply band)
– 30-minute read and 2–3 day price-action outlook:
– Expect an early dip toward 2024–2027 that gets bought; reclaim of 2032 should retest 2035.8 quickly. Sustained holds above 2036 opens a grind into 2040–2045, with potential extension to ~2050 over 1–3 sessions.
– 1–3 day price targets (using today’s ~20-point intraday range as an ATR proxy):
– T1: 2036–2038
– T2: 2042–2045
– T3: 2050–2055
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 2024–2027
– Breakout add: >2036 on volume
– Stops:
– Tight: <2020.5
– Swing: <2016.8 (below 2017 pivot)
TSQ (Townsquare Media) – Breakout attempt needs reclaim
– Key support:
– 6.81 (last bar low/close)
– 6.79–6.785 (multi-bar base)
– 6.61 (session low/demand shelf)
– Key resistance:
– 6.90–6.92 (supply from pullback)
– 6.95 (pre-breakout gate)
– 6.99–7.00 (HOD/psych level)
– 30-minute read and 2–3 day price-action outlook:
– Likely early retest of 6.80–6.82. Hold there and reclaim 6.90–6.92 sets a quick probe of 6.95 and potentially 6.99–7.05. Failure to hold 6.79 risks a shakeout toward 6.61 before any bounce.
– 1–3 day price targets (using today’s ~0.38 range as guide):
– T1: 6.95
– T2: 7.00–7.05
– T3: 7.15–7.20 on strong momentum
– Entries:
– Pullback buy: 6.80–6.82 (look for seller exhaustion on 30-min)
– Breakout add: >6.95 with rising volume
– Stops:
– Tight: <6.79
– Swing: <6.74 (below base; gives ~6–10c room)
SOAR (Volato Group) – Speculative squeeze candidate
– Key support:
– 0.600–0.595 (closing cluster)
– 0.581–0.578 (15:30 demand)
– 0.571 (session low)
– Key resistance:
– 0.611–0.613 (repeated intraday rejection)
– 0.634 (session high 0.6336)
– 0.650 (round number/extension supply)
– 30-minute read and 2–3 day price-action outlook:
– Compression under 0.611 suggests a quick pop if bids punch through. A clean hold above 0.611 could speed-tap 0.630–0.634; momentum continuation has room into 0.65. Lose 0.595 and a flush to 0.58–0.571 becomes likely before any reversal.
– 1–3 day price targets (today’s ~0.063 range as proxy):
– T1: 0.615–0.620
– T2: 0.630–0.635
– T3: 0.650
– Entries:
– Starter: 0.595–0.600 on dips
– Add: >0.611 on confirmation
– Stops:
– Tight: <0.587
– Swing: <0.574 (below 0.5776–0.581 demand)
Risk and liquidity notes
– CLPS and SOAR are thin; use smaller size and hard stops.
– AVT, LFUS, LMT, NOC, TARA did not show strong end-of-day momentum; they become long candidates only on reclaim of intraday supply (e.g., AVT >63.50, LFUS >327.6, NOC >686, LMT >638.3, TARA >7.09) with volume confirmation.
If you share the prior 10–30 trading days, I can refine the daily supply/demand zones and ATR-based targets with higher confidence.