Datetime window analyzed (EST): 2025-12-12 and 2025-12-15, 10:00–15:30 ET (30-minute bars). Note: Only these two sessions were provided; where 30‑day/10‑day daily context isn’t in the file, I infer near‑term supply/demand from the intraday structure and recent ranges.
Overall sector and industry takeaways (focus on last 10 days’ momentum proxies from today’s tape)
– Insurance led defensives: buyers stepped in across carriers/brokers with higher closes and steady bids into the final hour (tickers: CB, PGR, AJG, KNSL, MKL, HCI, PLMR). That’s a classic relative-strength pocket for 1–3 day continuation.
– Defense/aerospace showed constructive strength: NOC, HII, LHX all stair-stepped higher; closes near session highs signal dip-buyers in control.
– Large-cap quality tech/software firmed: FFIV broke out and closed strong; INTU and ADBE held higher after mid-afternoon pushes. Suggests selective follow-through in software/infrastructure.
– Industrials mixed: DE grinded higher into the close; URI/CAT popped then faded—stick with names closing strong (DE).
– Precious metals miners faded late after midday pops (NEM, WPM, RGLD, FNV, GDXJ, SIL, PAAS, AG, HL, USAS). Broad PM basket showed supply into strength—near-term chop risk.
– Consumer/discretionary mixed: LULU kept most of its midday push; HD/WSM/PLAY lacked follow-through. Auto retail (LAD, GPI) popped then backed off—monitor but not leadership.
– Private equity/asset managers mostly soft into the bell (APO, KKR, GS), while quality financials (CB, PGR, AJG) outperformed.
Noticeable patterns
– Closes near HOD with rising last-hour volume in insurers (CB, PGR, AJG) and select tech (FFIV) = momentum continuation setups.
– Late-day fades in metals and some high-beta (CVNA, WBD) = avoid chasing until bases rebuild.
– Rotation shows preference for high-quality, cash-generative large caps over speculative beta.
Tickers most likely to rise in the next 2–3 days
– Strongest bullish signals: CB, PGR, FFIV
– Also constructive: LIN, VRTX, DE
Individual stock game plans (1–3 day swing)
1) CB (Chubb) – Insurance leadership; closed at HOD with steady ramp
– Key daily zones (from intraday pivots; verify on your daily):
– Supports: 311.54, 310.98, 309.15–309.95 zone
– Resistances: 311.92 (HOD), 313.00, 315.00
– 30‑min path (2–3 days):
– Base above 311.0–311.5 then push through 311.9 → 313.0. Hold above 313 sets up 315.
– If early dip to 310.9–311.1 gets defended, look for a “dip-and-rip” back to HOD.
– Targets (assume ~2.8 pt daily ATR): 313.0, 314.2, stretch 315.5
– Entry: 311.1–311.5 on intraday higher low, or 312.0–312.1 on clean HOD reclaim
– Stop: Below 309.9 (beneath demand zone). Tighter traders: 310.4
–
2) PGR (Progressive) – Higher highs all afternoon; close near HOD
– Key zones:
– Supports: 235.74, 235.53, 234.98
– Resistances: 236.13 (HOD), 237.00, 238.50
– 30‑min path:
– Above 235.7, a push through 236.1 opens 237–238.5 over 1–3 days.
– Pullback that holds 235.3–235.5 should get bought.
– Targets (ATR ~1.5): 236.7, 237.6, stretch 238.5
– Entry: 235.5–235.8 on a higher low; or 236.2 breakout with volume
– Stop: Below 234.9
–
3) FFIV – Breakout + strong close with expanding volume
– Key zones:
– Supports: 263.28, 262.53, 261.84
– Resistances: 265.03 (HOD), 266.50, 268.00
– 30‑min path:
– Hold 263.2–263.5 → retest 265. Break and hold above 265 opens 266.5–268.
– Failed breakout likely backfills to 262.5; buyers should defend first pullbacks if trend intact.
– Targets (ATR ~3.7): 265.8, 266.9, stretch 268.6
– Entry: 263.5–264.0 on a pullback-hold; or 265.1–265.3 on breakout + volume
– Stop: 261.7
–
4) LIN – Persistent bid; closed at/near HOD
– Key zones:
– Supports: 418.90, 418.00, 417.88
– Resistances: 419.22 (HOD), 421.00, 423.50
– 30‑min path:
– As long as price holds above ~418, expect 419.2 reclaim → 421 test; momentum could carry to 423–424 in 1–3 days if flows persist.
– Targets (ATR ~3.6): 420.4, 421.7, stretch 423.3
– Entry: 418.9–419.1 on a higher low; or 419.3–419.4 on HOD reclaim
– Stop: 417.7
–
5) VRTX – Higher highs, strong close; large-cap bio with clean structure
– Key zones:
– Supports: 454.74, 453.28, 451.50
– Resistances: 455.00–455.00+, 456.50, 459.00
– 30‑min path:
– Early hold above 454.7 favors a 455–456.5 push. Over 456.5, room to 458–459 over 1–3 days.
– Loss of 453.3 likely backfills to 451.5 where buyers should attempt defense.
– Targets (ATR ~4.7): 456.0, 457.6, stretch 459.3
– Entry: 454.8–455.1 on strong bid; or 453.6–454.0 on pullback with reversal candle
– Stop: 451.2
–
6) DE (Deere) – Constructive grind; buyers into the bell
– Key zones:
– Supports: 487.64, 486.88, 486.34
– Resistances: 488.39 (session high), 490.00, 492.00
– 30‑min path:
– Above 487.6, look for 488.4 retest. Break/hold opens 490. First pullbacks that hold 486.9 keep the uptrend intact.
– Targets (ATR ~3.2): 488.8, 490.2, stretch 491.8
– Entry: 487.6–487.9 on higher low; or 488.5 break with volume
– Stop: 486.2
–
Notes and risk management
– Liquidity matters: several OTC/illiquid names (e.g., ADYYF, MHUAF, microcaps) show sparse prints—avoid for short-term momentum.
– Metals/miners basket showed late supply—wait for higher lows and reclaimed VWAPs before trying longs (NEM, WPM, GDXJ, SIL, PAAS, AG).
– If the market opens soft, favor “buy the first higher low” near S1/S2 rather than chasing breakouts.
– Position sizing: target 0.5–1.0x your normal size on breakout entries; increase only if pullbacks are being bid and breadth confirms.
If you want, I can layer in precise 10- and 30-day daily SR levels and ATRs from your daily chart feed to tighten the targets and stops further.