Datetime range and data scope analyzed (EST): 2025-10-06 from 13:30 to 16:00 ET across all tickers you provided. Note: Only intraday 30-minute bars for this session were supplied; 30-day/10-day context is inferred from cross-sectional relative strength, closing behavior, and typical continuation/mean-reversion tendencies.
Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Defense/Aerospace and Specialty Insurance led into the close.
– Defense: GD 347.23 and AVAV 392.60 both ramped into session highs on rising volume; NOC closed firm at 619.38. This points to continued risk appetite for defense contractors.
– Specialty Insurance/Financials: KNSL 474.12 finished on the highs after a steady all-day climb; MKL 1958.44 closed near HOD with late strength.
– Large-cap Pharma/Biotech mixed with selective strength.
– Strength: ABBV 230.13 closed near the high; VRTX 403.31 turned up late; MDGL 442.50 broke higher mid/late-day.
– Soft: LLY 845.58, ALNY 451.86, ISRG 449.63, ICLR 190.32 faded late. Tools/consumables showed better risk-on tone: BIO 309.27, MTD 1344.64, RGEN 150.14 all pushed higher late.
– Industrials constructive.
– URI 987.47 closed near HOD; CAT 496.07 flat-to-soft; GWW 956.92 firm.
– Semis/Hardware weak to heavy.
– ASML 1044.28, MU 190.84, STX 243.29, ONTO 145.60 all bled lower into the close—pressure remains on high beta semis.
– Crypto complex mixed, but recovery intraday.
– COIN 385.83 reclaimed VWAP and pushed late; MSTR 359.54 modest grind higher; BKKT 40.98 faded late (volatility elevated).
– Consumers/Discretionary steady.
– VSCO 29.17 trend-up into the close; HSY 195.18 flat; RACE 491.02 sold late.
Takeaway: Late-day accumulation showed up in Defense (GD, AVAV), Specialty Insurance (KNSL), Select Pharma/Tools (ABBV, BIO, MTD, RGEN), and Industrial rentals (URI). Semis remained under distribution (ASML, MU, STX, ONTO). For 1–3 day momentum swings, I want strong-closing names in leadership groups with clean levels overhead.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to push higher:
– KNSL, AVAV, ABBV, URI, VSCO, BIO, MTD, GD
Strongest bullish signals (closing near HOD with constructive volume and sector tailwinds):
– AVAV, KNSL, URI, ABBV
Individual Stock Analysis and Trading Plan (1–3 day swings)
Note: Levels derived from today’s intraday structure (and round-number zones). Use opening drive and first-hour range tomorrow to validate.
1) KNSL (Specialty Insurance) – Close 474.12
– Supports: 470.80; 468.50; 466.00
– Resistances: 474.12 (HOD); 477.50; 480.00
– 30-min outlook: Holding above 470–471 on the morning pullback favors a push through 474 for 477.5, then 480 over 1–2 days. Lose 468.5 and momentum stalls.
– Entries: 471–472 on a backtest; or 474.20–474.50 on a clean breakout with volume.
– Stops: Tight 468.40; wider swing 466.00.
– 1–3 day targets: 477.50; 480.00; stretch 484–485 if momentum persists.
2) AVAV (Aerospace/Defense) – Close 392.60
– Supports: 387.50; 384.50–385.00; 381.50
– Resistances: 392.60 (HOD); 396.00–398.00; 400.00
– 30-min outlook: Flag breakout late with rising volume. Above 387–388, expect continuation. Through 392.6 opens 396–398, then 400 in 1–3 days.
– Entries: 388–389 pullback hold; or 392.80+ breakout.
– Stops: 384.40 (tight); 381.40 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 396–398; 400; stretch 405 if defense bid remains.
3) URI (Industrials/Rentals) – Close 987.47
– Supports: 983.90; 980.20; 979.70
– Resistances: 988.90 (HOD); 995.00; 1000.00
– 30-min outlook: Strong close near highs; above 983–984 likely grinds to 989–995. A clean hold over 985 with higher lows sets up a 1–3 day test of 1000.
– Entries: 984–986 pullback; or 989+ breakout continuation.
– Stops: 979.50.
– 1–3 day targets: 995; 1000; stretch 1006–1010 if industrials stay bid.
4) ABBV (Large-cap Pharma) – Close 230.13
– Supports: 229.10; 228.60; 227.90
– Resistances: 230.37 (HOD); 231.00–231.20; 232.50
– 30-min outlook: Late-day push with volume; over 229 hold suggests trend-up. A decisive break above 230.4 targets 231–232.5.
– Entries: 229.20–229.60 pullback; or 230.40+ breakout.
– Stops: 228.30 (tight); 227.80 (swing).
– 1–3 day targets: 231.20; 232.50; stretch 234.
5) VSCO (Consumer/Discretionary) – Close 29.17
– Supports: 28.80; 28.60; 28.30
– Resistances: 29.18 (HOD); 29.50; 30.00
– 30-min outlook: Steady trend day with a strong close. Holding 28.8–29.0 favors continuation to 29.5, then a 30 test within 1–3 sessions.
– Entries: 28.85–28.95 on backtest; or 29.20+ continuation.
– Stops: 28.55.
– 1–3 day targets: 29.50; 29.90–30.00; stretch 30.50.
6) BIO (Life Science Tools) – Close 309.27
– Supports: 307.57; 306.73; 305.87
– Resistances: 309.54 (intraday high); 311.00–312.00; 315.00
– 30-min outlook: Late ramp with expanding volume. Above 307.5, expect 309.5 retest; a breakout can extend to 311–312.
– Entries: 307.8–308.4 pullback; or 309.60 breakout.
– Stops: 306.30.
– 1–3 day targets: 311.00; 312.50; stretch 315.
7) MTD (Lab Instruments) – Close/High 1344.64
– Supports: 1340.90; 1335.90; 1333.20
– Resistances: 1344.64 (HOD); 1350.00; 1360.00
– 30-min outlook: Breakout close. As long as 1336–1341 holds, look for 1350 quickly; continuation can tag 1360 within 1–3 days.
– Entries: 1341–1343 pullback hold; or 1345+ continuation.
– Stops: 1335.00.
– 1–3 day targets: 1350; 1360; stretch 1372.
8) GD (Defense) – Close 347.23
– Supports: 346.15; 345.67; 345.12
– Resistances: 347.37 (HOD); 349.00; 350.00
– 30-min outlook: Higher highs with steady bid; above 346, continuation toward 349–350 is favored within 1–3 days.
– Entries: 346.20–346.60 pullback; or 347.40+ continuation.
– Stops: 345.10.
– 1–3 day targets: 349.00; 350.00; stretch 352.
What I’m avoiding long (short-term) given weak closes and sector headwinds
– Semis/Hardware: ASML, MU, STX, ONTO—persistent late selling and heavy sector pressure.
– High-beta software/cyber: ZS faded; CYBR soft; wait for bases.
– Metals/Materials: LAC heavy; BE reversal; NG weak—look for stabilization first.
Risk management notes
– If the first hour fails to hold support or breadth/sector leaders flip red, cut entries quickly; these are momentum-continuation setups.
– Size down around key macro prints or sector ETF inflections (e.g., XLI/ITA for industrials/defense; XLV/IBB for healthcare).
If you want, I can compute VWAPs and intraday anchored levels for each pick from the open to tighten entries further.