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Anticipation Breakout Friday 12/19/2025

December 19, 2025 5 min read

Overall sector and industry analysis (EST range covered)
– Data window analyzed: 2025-12-19 from 10:30 to 15:30 EST (30-minute bars; most tickers concentrated from 13:00–15:30).
– Market tone: Late-session risk-trim and liquidity pockets. Large-cap growth/tech churned to slightly lower into the close, insurance and managed care showed soft-to-mixed tapes, travel/leisure was resilient, and a handful of small/mid-cap healthcare and SPAC/special-situation names bid into the close.

Sector/industry takeaways
– Insurance/Brokers/Managed Care (CB, AON, AJG, ERIE, CI): Mixed-to-soft into the final hour. CI printed a sharp dip into 15:00, CB and ERIE bled lower, AON was essentially flat, AJG firmed late. This hints at rotational indecision rather than a wholesale defensive bid.
– Large-cap Tech/Software (META, HUBS, APPF, APPS, PI): META churned and slipped slightly into the close; HUBS and APPF trended lower with lower highs; APPS dipped; PI drifted lower/sideways. No broad momentum leadership from this group in the afternoon.
– Travel/Leisure/Services (BKNG, MAR, WING): BKNG stair-stepped higher and held; MAR flat-to-firm; WING faded after a midday pop. Net: premium travel/services names showed relative resilience (BKNG).
– Industrials/Materials (LIN, PPLT ETF): LIN held a tight, constructive range; PPLT was flat. Tone: defensive quality held up better than growth.
– Healthcare/Bio/Medtech (ISRG, UTHR, FBRX, SNSE, QNRX, GLSI): ISRG and UTHR were heavy-to-flat; select small/mid-cap biotech saw late bids (FBRX closed strong near highs). Mixed breadth with traders favoring single-name momentum.
– Small-cap/Spec/Other (AMCI, IPW, RPAY, QIPT, OLPX, AVS, FOXX, HIT, FEBO, etc.): Mostly illiquid/choppy. Notable strength: AMCI closed near session highs; IPW had a strong midday push then cooled; others were rangebound to soft.

Noticeable patterns
– Late-day fades in many large caps (META, CI, HUBS, APPF) contrasted with steady creeps higher in quality defensives (LIN) and select momentum singles (CASY, FBRX, AMCI).
– Breakout watch lists favor tickers that closed near session highs on rising activity and orderly higher lows (CASY, FBRX, AMCI, BKNG, LIN).

Ticker performance prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to push higher:
– CASY (strong close at highs, steady higher-highs/higher-lows into the afternoon)
– FBRX (closed near highs, reclaimed dips quickly)
– AMCI (built higher lows and closed near the day’s highs)
– BKNG (grinding higher with controlled pullbacks)
– LIN (quality, tight coil, buyers defending dips)

Strongest bullish signals: CASY, FBRX, AMCI

Note on levels/ATR: Your file contains only intraday bars for 12/19. I anchor supports/resistances to visible intraday swing points and psychological levels, and I use today’s high-low range as a proxy for short-term ATR for 1–3 day targets.

Individual stock analysis (1–3 day swing setups)

1) CASY
finviz dynamic chart for  CASY
– Supports: 555.45 (15:00 pullback low), 554.86 (14:30 low), 553.60 (13:30 close area). Deeper: 551.14 (session low).
– Resistances: 557.60 (HOD), 560.00 (psych), 563.00 (range extension).
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Constructive trend day that closed at highs. Expect a buy-the-dip early probe and a retest of 557.6, then 560. If 560 converts to support, 562–563 is next.
– 1–3 day price targets (today’s range ~6.5): PT1 558.5–560, PT2 562–563, PT3 566–568 if momentum persists.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 555.6–556.0 with scalp add on 557.7 break.
– Deeper dip buy 553.8–554.0 if tested quickly and reclaimed.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 553.4.
– Swing: below 551.0 (invalidates the intraday up-structure).

2) FBRX
finviz dynamic chart for  FBRX
– Supports: 28.80 (VWAP-ish congestion zone), 28.54 (15:00 low), 28.35 (session low).
– Resistances: 29.49 (14:30 spike high), 30.00 (psych), 30.80–31.00 (extension).
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Strong close near highs with rapid dip recoveries. Look for 29.50 test; above it, momentum can carry to 30.00/30.25. Consolidation over 29.00 would be healthy.
– 1–3 day price targets (range ~1.14): PT1 29.50, PT2 30.10–30.25, PT3 30.80–31.00 if volume expands.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 28.80–28.90 on a controlled dip; add through 29.50.
– Breakout buy through 29.50 with fast risk control.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 28.54.
– Swing: below 28.25 (loss of day structure).

3) AMCI
finviz dynamic chart for  AMCI
– Supports: 9.69 (14:30 close), 9.60 (afternoon floor), 9.59 (14:00 low).
– Resistances: 9.87 (15:00 high), 10.01 (14:30 high/psych), 10.20 (extension/overhead supply candidate).
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Steady higher lows and strong close. Expect an early 9.70–9.75 test; above 9.87, a quick attempt at 10.00–10.05. Holding 9.69 flips the tape constructive.
– 1–3 day price targets (range ~0.42): PT1 9.90, PT2 10.05–10.10, PT3 10.25–10.30 if buyers sustain.
– Entry ideas:
– Pullback buy 9.70–9.72 with add on 9.88–9.90 break.
– Breakout buy >10.01 only if volume confirms.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 9.60.
– Swing: below 9.58 (trend break).

4) BKNG
finviz dynamic chart for  BKNG
– Supports: 5410.80 (15:00 low), 5406.78 (13:30 close), 5401.07 (session low).
– Resistances: 5429.09 (14:30 HOD), 5440–5445 (psych/extension), 5455–5465 (range extension).
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Methodical ascent with shallow dips. A hold over 5410–5415 favors a push through 5429; clearing 5429 opens 5445, then 5465 if broader tape cooperates.
– 1–3 day price targets (range ~28): PT1 5429–5435, PT2 5445, PT3 5465.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 5410–5415 on a controlled dip.
– Add on 5429 break with momentum confirmation.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 5401.
– Swing: below 5395 (invalidates intraday higher-lows sequence).

5) LIN
finviz dynamic chart for  LIN
– Supports: 422.10–422.20 (15:30 print/low-end of range), 422.44 (15:00 low), 421.51 (session low).
– Resistances: 423.39 (HOD), 424.00 (psych), 425.00 (upper psych/extension).
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Tight coil with buyers defending dips. A base over 422.2 sets up a push to 423.4; above that, 424–425 over 1–3 days.
– 1–3 day price targets (range ~1.9): PT1 423.40, PT2 424.20, PT3 425.00.
– Entry ideas:
– Buy 422.1–422.3 with risk defined.
– Add through 423.4 on volume.
– Stop-loss:
– Tight: below 421.40.
– Swing: below 421.00 (breaks the coil).

Additional notes and risk management
– Liquidity matters: Several small caps in your list are thin; use limit orders and reduce size (e.g., IPW, FOXX, QIPT, OLPX, GLSI, QNRX).
– If the broader market opens weak, favor waiting for first 30–60 minutes to let supports confirm before engaging the breakouts.
– Without 30-day daily data, treat these levels as short-term guides; if you have the daily aggregates/ATR, I can refine the support/resistance zones to higher-timeframe supply/demand and adjust targets accordingly.

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