Overall Sector and Industry Analysis
– Datetime range (EST) analyzed: 2025-12-04 13:30 to 2025-12-05 15:30. Note: The upload contains intraday 30-minute bars for the latest session(s), not full 30 daily bars. I emphasize the most recent 8–10 intraday bars as a proxy for short-term momentum; daily supply/demand levels are inferred from today’s extremes, nearby round numbers, and recent intraday structure.
- Big picture:
- Semiconductors faded into the close on rising volume: ASML, AMAT, NXPI, MCHP, TXN, ON, MRVL, TER, CAMT, NVMI all slipped late, while QQQ was flat-to-soft into the bell. This signals distribution in chips after a strong run; be selective with longs here.
- Enterprise software mixed: ORCL finished strong with a high-volume ramp into 217.76, while CRWD, SNPS, CDNS, INTU slipped in the final hour. Rotation favored platform/software with catalysts (ORCL).
- Internet/e-commerce and ad-tech showed relative strength: SHOP closed near HOD (160.77), APP pushed to 693 into the close, DASH held gains. These names showed steady dip-buys and closing strength.
- Energy services weak: OIH, PUMP, AESI bled lower into the bell—no momentum long edge yet.
- Transports softened: SAIA, ODFL, JBHT drifted lower late—risk-off tilt for freight.
- Industrials heavy: CAT, DE, HUBB, PH, GWW edged down into the close—more evidence of late-day de-risking outside tech.
- Space/EVTOL mixed: RDW stair-stepped higher with expanding volume; RKLB held gains; JOBY, ACHR, EVTL faded late—favor the names holding higher lows (RDW/RKLB).
- Uranium UEC faded into the close—momentum paused.
- Discretionary retail mixed: AEO sold into close; RERE pushed higher late on volume (accumulation feel).
- Takeaway: Momentum rotated toward platform/internet (ORCL, APP, SHOP) and select space/industrial-tech (RDW). Chips broadly sold late—treat that group as a source of rallies-to-sell until it reclaims late-day supply.
Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Likely to move up (strongest momentum tells):
– ORCL – high-volume closing push, relative strength vs. tech peers.
– APP – higher highs into the bell, consistent bid in ad-tech.
– SHOP – strong close near HOD, steady 30-min higher lows.
– CYBR – stair-step advance into close, held gains.
– RDW – constructive intraday uptrend with range expansion.
Honorable mentions (need confirmation on open): RKLB (hold above 49.2), RERE (over 5.30 holds), STTK (micro-cap; only for experienced risk managers).
Individual Stock Analysis
Note on levels and targets: Without full daily history in the upload, I anchor to today’s intraday extremes, nearby round numbers, and conservative ATR estimates based on typical behavior. Treat targets as zones.
1) ORCL
– Supports: 216.23 (15:30 low), 215.91 (15:00 pivot low), 215.30 (14:30 low).
– Resistances: 217.84 (HOD), 219.00 (round), 220.50 (extension/supply).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Expect a dip-and-rip: early pullback toward 216.2–215.9, then push through 217.8; sustained above 218 opens a 219–220.5 magnet.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~3.5–4.0): T1 218.20–218.50, T2 219.80, T3 221.50.
– Entry: 216.3–216.7 on pullback; add near 215.9 if tested and defended.
– Stop-loss: 215.25 (below intraday demand); tighter traders 215.60.
2) APP
– Supports: 687.44 (15:30 low), 684.26 (14:30 pivot), 683.21 (14:00 low).
– Resistances: 693.00 (HOD), 700.00 (round), 710.00 (swing supply).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Momentum intact. Look for a shallow dip to 687–688 and a reclaim of 690; push through 693 targets 700-710 in 1–3 days if market risk holds.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~18–22): T1 695–697, T2 705, T3 718–720.
– Entry: 688–689 pullback or 693 breakout with quick follow-through.
– Stop-loss: 683.80 (beneath session demand and 14:00 pivot).
3) SHOP
– Supports: 159.82 (15:30 demand), 159.24 (14:30 low), 158.95 (round/structure).
– Resistances: 160.96 (HOD), 161.50 (minor supply), 163.00 (swing supply).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Buy-the-dip character intact. Expect a retest of 160 area; sustained holds over 161.0 sets a grind to 161.5–163.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~3.0–3.5): T1 161.20, T2 162.50, T3 164.00.
– Entry: 160.10–160.30 retest; secondary 159.50–159.70 if market wobbles.
– Stop-loss: 158.90 (below structure/round).
4) CYBR
– Supports: 477.08 (15:30 low), 476.22 (14:30 pivot), 475.56 (13:30 base).
– Resistances: 478.47 (HOD), 480.00 (round), 482.50 (swing supply).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Trend is orderly up. A pullback into 477–476.5 that holds likely fuels a 478.5 break and grind toward 480–482.5.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~10–12): T1 480.50, T2 486.00, T3 492.00 (if software bid persists).
– Entry: 477.0–477.5 on dip; breakout add above 478.5 with volume.
– Stop-loss: 475.40 (below session demand).
5) RDW
– Supports: 6.40 (15:30 zone), 6.25 (14:00 base), 6.19 (13:30 low).
– Resistances: 6.47 (HOD 15:00 close), 6.60 (minor supply), 6.80 (range extension).
– 30-min outlook (2–3 days): Constructive higher-lows. Look for 6.30–6.35 dips to be bought; reclaim 6.47 opens a push toward 6.60–6.80.
– 1–3 day swing targets (ATR ~0.40–0.50): T1 6.55, T2 6.75, T3 7.00.
– Entry: 6.30–6.35 pullback; add on 6.47 breakout with strong tape.
– Stop-loss: 6.18 (below intraday demand).
Context and risk notes
– Market tone: QQQ was flat-to-soft late. If chips continue to weigh, broader breakouts can stall; prefer names that showed closing strength (above).
– Execution: For breakouts, insist on volume expansion on the 30-min bar and avoid chasing extended candles; the dip entries listed offer better R:R.
– Risk: Keep risk per trade small (e.g., 0.5–1.0R) into Monday/Tuesday; if first thrust fails, step aside and let levels reset.
If you want, I can recompute levels and targets once full daily history and precise ATR values are available.