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Anticipation Breakout Friday 11/28/2025

November 28, 2025 5 min read

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis (EST range analyzed: 2025-11-26 through 2025-11-28)

Note: The uploaded data are intraday prints concentrated over the most recent 1–3 sessions, not a full 30-day history. I emphasize the last 10 trading days by proxy via the recent multi-session intraday structure and relative volume/momentum.

  • Index tone: SPY, QQQ, and IWM traded tight near highs with shallow dips and quick recoveries into the afternoon, signaling risk-on but selective momentum. Small caps (IWM) held 248.2–248.7, supportive for tactical swings.
  • Semiconductors leading, consolidating near highs: KLAC (pushed 1168→1176, closed ~1171), MPWR (915→937 intraday breakout attempt, held ~928), AMAT (251–253 coil), MKSI (154.6→158 push), NVMI/ONTO steady. Group ETF SMH/SOXX flat-to-up with shallow pullbacks. This sector still shows the strongest 1–5 day momentum backdrop.
  • Medtech/biotech mixed with clear momentum pockets: TMDX broke out 144.6→146.3 with expanding volume; VCYT pushed into 47s; RCUS flagged up through 26; AGIO, TNGX, GLUE had constructive upticks. Large-cap medtech (ISRG) had a healthy push (to 574) before a controlled fade—still bullishly aligned.
  • Homebuilders faded mid-day after early strength (DHI sharp 159→155.9 flush; PHM, TOL, LEN range-bound). NAIL choppy—this group is consolidating after a strong run; leadership rotation is away from builders short-term.
  • Industrials broadly consolidating: ETN/PH/ROK/PWR/CAT drifted lower mid-day with buyers defending logical intraday supports—more digestion than breakdown.
  • Discretionary/Retail uneven: ULTA, RL, W, EXPE, LULU were choppy and heavy mid-day; no broad momentum edge.

Notable developments the last 10 days (proxied via recent prints and relative volume)
– Persistent strength and buy-the-dip behavior in semis (KLAC, MPWR, AMAT, MKSI) with higher lows and controlled pullbacks.
– Biotech/medtech breakouts gaining follow-through (TMDX, VCYT, RCUS, TNGX) while large-cap HC (SYK, RMD, UNH) is range-bound to slightly heavy intraday.

Tickers likely to go up in the next 2–3 days (strongest bullish signals)
– MPWR – Higher-highs/higher-lows on 30-min, breakout attempt to 937 with pullback held above rising supports.
– KLAC – Pushed to new local high (1176) with buyers defending dips; sector tailwind.
– AMAT – Tight coil 251–253 after a ramp; poised for continuation if 252.9 clears.
– MKSI – Afternoon push to 158 with strong close; looks set for a 160–162 probe.
– TMDX – Clean breakout to 146.3 on volume; prior consolidation resolved up.
– VCYT – Push into 47s on acceleration; flagging under highs.
– RCUS – Stair-step advance into 26s with strong 12:30 volume; room to 26.5–27.
– TNGX – Volume expansion on a 10.95 tag; continuation setup above 10.9.

Individual Stock Analysis (1–3 day swing plans; levels from recent daily/30-min structure)

MPWR
– Supports: 925–922, 916, 905
– Resistances: 937, 945, 955
– 30-min read/prediction (2–3 days): Holding above 922 keeps a bullish channel targeting a retest of 937, then 945. If 916 fails intraday, expect a backfill toward 905 before buyers re-engage.
– Price targets (1–3 day): 937, 945, stretch 955 (approx one ATR ≈ 20–25)
– Entries: 925–922 pullback, or 937 breakout retest as support
– Stop: 914–915 (below rising base)
finviz dynamic chart for  MPWR

KLAC
– Supports: 1166–1164, 1160, 1154
– Resistances: 1176, 1183, 1190
– 30-min read/prediction: Dips that hold 1164 likely push back through 1176; momentum can extend to 1183–1190 with semis strength.
– Price targets: 1176, 1183, 1190 (ATR ≈ 18–22)
– Entries: 1168–1166 pullback buy; add on a clean 1176 reclaim
– Stop: 1159
finviz dynamic chart for  KLAC

AMAT
– Supports: 251.2–251.0, 250.0, 249.2
– Resistances: 252.9, 254.5, 255.8
– 30-min read/prediction: A decisive hold above 251.2 favors a push through 252.9; momentum continuation toward 254.5–255.8 if the group stays firm.
– Price targets: 252.9, 254.5, 255.8 (ATR ≈ 3.5–4.5)
– Entries: 251.2–251.6, or 253 breakout with volume
– Stop: 249.8
finviz dynamic chart for  AMAT

MKSI
– Supports: 156.4, 155.7, 154.6
– Resistances: 158.0, 160.0, 162.0
– 30-min read/prediction: Strong afternoon push—above 156.4, look for 158→160. A brief shake to 155.7 would be buyable if quickly reclaimed.
– Price targets: 158, 160, 162 (ATR ≈ 3.5–4.0)
– Entries: 156.6–156.0 pullback; add on 158 push/hold
– Stop: 154.9
finviz dynamic chart for  MKSI

TMDX
– Supports: 145.0–144.6, 143.8, 142.8
– Resistances: 146.8–147.0, 149.0, 151.0
– 30-min read/prediction: Fresh breakout favors a shallow flag. Holding 144.6 should lead to 147 then 149 test within 1–3 sessions.
– Price targets: 147.0, 149.0, 151.0 (ATR ≈ 2.5–3.0)
– Entries: 145.3–144.8 on dip; or through 146.3 with volume for momentum add
– Stop: 143.6
finviz dynamic chart for  TMDX

VCYT
– Supports: 46.95, 46.70, 46.20
– Resistances: 47.34, 47.80, 48.30
– 30-min read/prediction: Constructive flag under 47.34; a clean breakout targets 47.8, then 48.3. Dips to 46.7 likely defended if biotech bid persists.
– Price targets: 47.34, 47.80, 48.30 (ATR ≈ 0.9–1.1)
– Entries: 46.9–46.7; or breakout >47.35 with rising volume
– Stop: 46.15
finviz dynamic chart for  VCYT

RCUS
– Supports: 26.00–25.86, 25.65, 25.30
– Resistances: 26.24, 26.50, 27.00
– 30-min read/prediction: Strong 12:30 ramp and hold. Expect 26.24 retest; if held, a grind to 26.5–27. Pullback to ~25.9 is buyable if swiftly reclaimed.
– Price targets: 26.24, 26.50, 27.00 (ATR ≈ 0.9–1.2)
– Entries: 25.95–26.00, or through 26.25 on momentum
– Stop: 25.45–25.50
finviz dynamic chart for  RCUS

TNGX
– Supports: 10.76–10.73, 10.71, 10.55
– Resistances: 10.95, 11.20, 11.50
– 30-min read/prediction: Volume expansion on the breakout attempt—above 10.9, a push to 10.95 then 11.2 is likely. Losing 10.73 would invite a deeper backfill first.
– Price targets: 10.95, 11.20, 11.50 (ATR ≈ 0.5–0.6)
– Entries: 10.78–10.73 dip, or 10.95 break with volume
– Stop: 10.58
finviz dynamic chart for  TNGX

Risk management notes
– Use staggered profit-taking at each target; trail stops to just below prior 30-min higher lows once first target hits.
– Size semis (MPWR/KLAC/AMAT/MKSI) with awareness of higher nominal prices and ATR; partial entries help manage slippage.
– If semis broadly roll (watch SMH/SOXX), tighten stops on all chip names.
– For smaller/mid-cap biotech (VCYT/RCUS/TNGX), confirm volume on breakouts; avoid chasing extended candles without a retest.

If you want, I can add short-side setups from the list (e.g., fading homebuilder spikes) or build a quick watchlist dashboard with alerts at the breakout/entry levels above.

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